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Beneath the Surface: Sept. 2009 Colorado Blogger Survey

Penry Pulls Away with Under-50 Voters, Evens McInnis among Older Crowd

Frazier Preferred by Under-40; Buck Wins Over-50, Gains in Every Demographic

Governor

(among participants indicating a preference, “None of the Above” excluded / July results in parentheses)

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Ages 18-39 (137 votes)

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Josh Penry: 64% (55%)

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Scott McInnis: 25% (32%)

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Dan Maes: 12% (13%)

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Ages 40-49 (87 votes)

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Josh Penry: 61% (51%)

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Scott McInnis: 29% (40%)

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Dan Maes: 10% (9%)

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Ages 50 and up (183 votes)

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Josh Penry: 46% (30%)

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Scott McInnis: 45% (58%)

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Dan Maes: 8% (12%)

U.S. Senate

(among participants indicating a preference, “None of the Above” excluded / July results in parentheses)

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Ages 18-39 (145 votes)

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Ryan Frazier: 41% (42%)

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Jane Norton: 27% (n/a)

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Ken Buck: 18% (14%)

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All Others: 14% (n/a)

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Ages 40-49 (82 votes)

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Ryan Frazier: 37% (39%)

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Ken Buck: 34% (11%)

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Jane Norton: 16% (n/a)

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All others: 13% (n/a)

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Ages 50 and up (181 votes)

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Ken Buck: 35% (18%)

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Ryan Frazier: 31% (28%)

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Jane Norton: 25% (n/a)

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All others: 9% (n/a)

Frazier, Buck, Penry Supporters Rate Agreement on Issues as Key Factor

McInnis, Norton, Wiens Lean on Candidates' Past Record

A new question in the Sept. survey asked readers to rate the primary factor for candidate support.Below are the candidates (who received at least 10 votes) listed by the top reason chosen by theirsupporters and the % of their supporters who gave that answer:

−

Agree on Key Issues:

Dan Maes (70%); Cleve Tidwell (67%); Josh Penry (58%); Ryan Frazier (57%);Ken Buck (54%)

−

Past Record:

Scott McInnis (52%); Tom Wiens (42%); Jane Norton (41%)

Frazier, Maes, Buck, Penry Supporters Favor Primaries

McInnis, Norton, Wiens Backers More Lukewarm to Intraparty Contests

The newest Republican entrant into the U.S. Senate race, heralded by many as the frontrunner becauseof her Washington ties, Jane Norton finished third overall in the September survey. But she won anarrow majority of votes among those who disagree that primary contests are good for the GOP.

U.S. Senate

: Are Primary Contests Good?

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Ryan Frazier supporters: 70% agreed, 11% disagreed

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Ken Buck supporters: 64% agreed, 16% disagreed

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Jane Norton supporters: 51% agreed, 39% disagreed

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Tom Wiens supporters: 50% agreed, 33% disagreed

Governor

: Are Primary Contests Good?

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Dan Maes supporters: 75% agreed, 10% disagreed

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Josh Penry supporters: 64% agreed, 18% disagreed

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Scott McInnis supporters: 51% agreed, 29% disagreed

No Surprises Here: Buck, Frazier Supporters Much Less Fond of NRSC Tampering

Along similar lines, the survey gauged participant opinions on whether national party organizationslike the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) should remain neutral in Coloradoprimaries. The question follows on the heels of controversy that NRSC reserved web domains for JaneNorton, that Norton was urged to run by John McCain, and that Norton shares professionalfundraisers with NRSC chief John Cornyn.

U.S. Senate

: Should the NRSC Remain Neutral?

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Ken Buck supporters: 84% agreed, 9% disagreed

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Ryan Frazier supporters: 79% agreed, 7% disagreed

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Tom Wiens supporters: 75% agreed, 17% disagreed

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Jane Norton supporters: 55% agreed, 35% disagreed

McInnis Tops Among Supporters' Confidence at General Election Success

As in July, participants also were asked whom they believe to be the strongest 2010 Republicancandidate for both the Governor's and U.S. Senate races. In the governor's race, confidence among thetwo leading candidates' supporters remained stable, while declining among Dan Maes' supporters. Inthe Senate race, Jane Norton supporters demonstrated the highest confidence. Ryan Frazier'sconfidence rating dipped slightly and Ken Buck's remained steady, while Cleve Tidwell's grew.

Governor

(July results in parentheses)

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Scott Mcinnis: 95% Confidence Rating (95%)

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Josh Penry: 80% Confidence Rating (82%)

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