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A Nag-Nag-Nag Publication
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2010 Newbury 'Totesport Trophy'Trends Guide
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Featuring:
Statistics, trends, in-depth race analysis,horse profiles
and Including
the Exclusive
Nag3 Ratings
Copyright: Gavin Priestley
totesport TROPHY (H'cap Hurdle)
2M 110YDS, GRADE 3, 4YO +
RACE HISTORY
One of the biggest ante-post betting races of the season the totesport Trophy has been known bymany names during it's life but is probably still most fondly remembered as The Schweppes. Italways attracts a big field and as such takes a bit of working out but with some fairly reliable trendsand a Cheltenham trial in particular that stand out as a decent pointer towards this race we should beable to narrow the field down quite a bit. Here goes....
RECENT TRENDSKiller stat:
All of the last 10 winners had finished in the top 2 in at least 1 of their last 2 runsAge
•
9 of the last 10 winners were aged 5-7yoBetting
•
9 of the last 10 winners came from the top 7 in the betting
•
9 of the last 10 winners returned 16/1 or under Class
•
All of the last 10 winners were rated less than 149
•
All of the last 9 winners had a top 3 finish in a class 2 or better handicap hurdleDistance
•
All of the last 10 winners had won a hurdle race at 2m - 2m1f Previous runs
•
9 of the last 10 winners had run between 1-4 times since October
•
9 of the last 10 winners had run 15 or less times over hurdles
•
None of the last 10 winners had won more than 2 races since October
Interesting Fact:
7 of the last 9 winners contested either the Pierse Hurdle or the H'cap Hurdle atCheltenham's end of January meeting.
Interesting Fact 2:
Paul Nicholls, David Pipe and Jonjo O'Neill haven't had a placed runner between them in the last 10 runnings of the race.
HOW THE LEADING FANCIES FIT THE TOP TRENDS
5-7yoRated lessthan 149Distancewinner
Top 2 in oneof last 2 runs
Top 3 finishin Cl.2 H'cap1-4 runssince Oct.
Blue Bajan
xx
P
x
P P
Mutual Friend
P P P P P P
Mamlook
P P P P P P
Songe
P P P P P P
Takeroc
P P P
x
P P
Ronaldo des Mot'
P P P P
x
P
Spirit River
P P P P
x
P
First Point
P P P
x
P
x
Simarian
P P P
xx
P
Ring The Boss
x
P P
x
P P
Stravinsky Dance
P P P
xx
P
Any Given Day
P P P P P P
Harry Tricker
P P P P P P
Frontier Dancer
P P P P P P
Manyriverstocros
P P P P
x
P
Get Me out of H'
P P P P
x
P
European Dream
P P P
x
P P
Fairyland
P P P P P P
Fushe Jo
P P P P
x
P
Numide
P P P
x
P P
Pascha Bere
P P
xx
P P
Arch Rebel
x
P P P
?
P
(18k)
P
Oldrik
P P P P P P
Chaninbar
P P P P
x
P
Last YearsWinner (at time of race) - 2008
Wingman
TRAINER RECORDS
(RUNNERS – WINS - PLACED)
N. HENDERSON2444GL MOORE722P HOBBS1508W MULLINS700P NICHOLLS600JJ O'NEILL600D PIPE400
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Tote Sport Trophy
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| Upload Date: | 02/13/2010 |
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