• Embed Doc
  • Copy Link
  • Readcast
  • Collections
  • CommentGo Back
Download
 
NIPCC
vs.
IPCC
Addressing the Disparitybetween Climate Modelsand Observations:Testing the Hypothesis of AGW
Heartland Institute ICCC-6Washington, DC June 30, 2011
(Prof.) S. Fred Singer University of Virginia/ SEPP <singer@sepp.org 
>
 
ree aor esus:
“Gallia omnia est divisa in partes tres” 
 
•
1. Controversy about “Consistency” of Temp Trendsfrom Observations and GH Models
•
2. Overcoming the Chaotic Uncertainty of ClimateModels vs. Structural Uncertainties
•
3. News about Climategate, Hockeystick -- and whatwe can say about the reality of the temperature dataof the 20
th
century.
 
1. Disparity between Modeledand Observed Temperature Trends
•
Attribution
of observed warming trends to GH-gasincreases is based largely on claimed agreementbetween observed (tropical) tropospheric trends andmodeled ones [Santer et al., IJC 2008, Fig 6]. Weshow that the
claimed consistency is spurious.
•
IPCC-AR4 claims AGW (i.e., GHG warming) based on arapidly rising global mean surface (GMS) temperaturesince 1979. We can show that this is simply ameaningless “curve-fitting” exercise, depending onsuitable choices of forcings and model parameters.
of 00

Leave a Comment

You must be to leave a comment.
Submit
Characters: ...
You must be to leave a comment.
Submit
Characters: ...