Use your Facebook login and see what your friends are reading and sharing.
Pardee Center for International Futures's Documents
Taps and Toilets: How Greater Access Can Radically Improve Africa's Future
Access to safe water and sanitation is a fundamental component of human development. In Africa, more than 350 million people lack access to safe drinking water and over 530 million do not have access to safe sanitation. It appears increasingly likely that the continent will fall short of relevant Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).
Category:ResearchReads:117Uploaded:08 / 29 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionThe Database of IFs
This paper provides a basic survey of the database of the International Futures (IFs)modeling system. It provides short notes on primary sources used by the project. It then provides a brief introduction to the data analysis tools of the International Futures system.It concludes with a complete listing of the data series available, by category and subcategory, with source information. Prepared by Anwar Hossain With Barry Hughes
Category:(not categorized)Reads:228Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionThe Database of IFs UPDATE
This chapter provides basic information about most of the data sources used in creatingthe IFs database. In all cases, data from the original sources have been processed by the IFs project into the standard format of the IFs database to facilitate ease in analysis across series (for instance, by using a fixed country set with standard country names and codes; relying upon a format that uses rows for countries and columns for years, with one dataseries per table). Data have frequently been converted into standard units used by IFs (for instance, millions for population data, billions for economic data, and billions of barrels of oil equivalent for energy).
Category:(not categorized)Reads:318Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionThe Structure of IFs
This paper provides a basic survey of the structure of the International Futures (IFs) modeling system. It touches briefly on motivation, purposes, and design considerations that have given rise to the IFs system and directed its evolution. It then provides a basic introduction to each of the component submodels of IFs, directing interested readers to more information as desired. Barry B. Hughes with Anwar Hossain, Mohammod Irfan
Category:(not categorized)Reads:637Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionUniversal Social Accounting Matrices (SAMs)
This paper describes work underway in creating and using an integrated model for the analysis of long-term, global social support for human development. The paper describes a specific effort within the larger project, namely the creation and use of universal social accounting matrices (SAMs). Barry B. Hughes and Anwar Hossain University of Denver Evolving Document—May, 2003 Version Draft: Do Not Cite or Quote Suggestions Welcome
Category:(not categorized)Reads:126Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionProductivity in IFs
This report is Part 1. The manuscript reviews the literature around productivity growthand maps the approach to representing that growth in International Futures (IFs) Barry B. Hughes Graduate School of International Studies University of Denver May, 2005
Category:(not categorized)Reads:96Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionIndices in IFs
This report is Part 2. It gives special attention to indices and variables around governance, the knowledge society, infrastructure, and globalization, but its general purpose is to explore the forecasting of economic growth. It is a companion piece to the more general report on the modeling of multifactor productivity. Barry B. Hughes Graduate School of International Studies University of Denver May, 2005
Category:(not categorized)Reads:119Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionThe IFs Preprocessor
This paper documents the approach taken within the International Futures (IFs) modeling system to initiating and linking the physical and monetary sides of the model. In particular, it provides documentation of the data pre-processor that builds the initial dataload for the model. Barry B. Hughes (with Mohammod T. Irfan on Education)
Category:(not categorized)Reads:83Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionPatterns of Potential Human Progress: Reducing Global Poverty
The series explores prospects for human development – how human development appears to be unfolding globally and locally, how we would like it to evolve, and how better to assure that we move it in desired directions. It was funded by Frederick S. Pardee and is a part of the Pardee Center for International Futures. Each volume is global, long-term, and integrated in perspective across a wide range of human development systems (i.e., demographic, economic, energy, agricultural, environmental, and socio-political systems). The first volume focuses on poverty reduction, recognized in the Millennium Development Goals to be the foundational human development goal. The second volume focuses on Advancing Global Education.
Category:(not categorized)Reads:705Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collectionForecasting Global Economic Growth with Endogenous Multifactor Productivity: The International Futures (IFs) Approach
The International Futures (IFs) modeling project has developed an approach toendogenizing productivity for forecasting purposes within an extensive system of models,building on a variety of advances in theoretical and empirical foundations. The approachcombines attention to technological change in a systemic leader with a non-linearrepresentation of convergence potential in other countries and additive shifts inproductivity tied to a wide range of drivers in multiple categories. Other modules in thelarger system of models endogenously determine most of the drivers in the productivityformulation, but model users can additionally manipulate them directly for what-if analysis. Barry B. Hughes Graduate School of International Studies University of Denver Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures December 2007
Category:(not categorized)Reads:130Uploaded:08 / 26 / 2011ShareAdd to collection
