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My writer site
http://www.cforgrave.com/ 
 
pg. 0
 
MarketBOB'sAcademyAwards 2012Predictions
Oscar Pool Picks
© 20
12 by Sportscar Projects Ltd.
 
My writer site
http://www.cforgrave.com/ 
 
pg. 1
 
 
February 19, 2012
Have you seen all the moviesnominated for best picture for the 2012Academy Awards? My guess is:probably not. Box office hits werescarce in Oscar nominees this year,like the last several years. But fear not,for MarketBOB has gone beyond theusual box office #1 movies to help youpick the likely winners and perhapstake home the Oscar Pool cash thisyear.
The usual wisdom for making foolhardy
 predictions is to build up “expert” knowledge
from years of movie watching and cinemastudy and then make rational, learned observations about
which films and performances “should” win. Of course,
if you ignore the massive publicity campaigns, moviestar glad-handing and the power of momentum and massmedia, then you have no hope of picking winners.Make no mistake, movies are a business and Oscarwinners make money at the box office. The studios aredesperate for Oscars, not for the art and prestige of being anointed in the annals of cinema glory, but for thecash gained by attracting more bums into theater seats
 
My writer site
http://www.cforgrave.com/ 
 
pg. 2
 
and post-release revenues from DVD purchases andrentals (streaming and so on).The competition is fierce, to influence voters indirectly
(as blatant influence is forbidden, nudge nudge…) for 
votes. Then there is always the loose cannon of celebrity mouths, who can piss off voters with oneinnocent comment or a volume of desperate
campaigning and being labeled as “wanting the Oscar too much”.
The final force at work is the power of consensusreported in the media as all the pundits give theiropinions and make voters wonder just how stupid theyare for liking their own picks when it is obvious theinsiders have anointed another nominee.So, given the media momentum, critical massconsensus, celebrity star power and, oh yes, the actualperformances, I present below my personallyresearched, critically observed and celebrity influenced2012 Oscar Predictions. Where meaningful comment isneeded, I have added some rationale for my choices, butI have also posted some in-depth Oscar reviews of movies that never made #1 and thus, were notMarketBOB reviewed when first released.
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