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Alberta mortgage rates update

The latest from news from the Canadian Mortgage Housing Corporation (CMHC) indicates that the housing
market outlook for 2008 is set to see lower demand for new and existing homes, while house prices will
rise by an estimated 4%.

Alberta mortgage debt rising

The rapid escalation in house prices combined with recent records for housing starts and sales have
resulted in a large increase in outstanding residential mortgage debt. From 2003 to
2005, mortgage debt in Alberta was increasing at an annualized rate of $3.2 billion. The
most recent data indicates that the annual gain in outstanding mortgage debt has
climbed by more than $11 billion, reaching a total of $59.4 billion. Looking forward,
lower demand for new and existing homes in Alberta will cause price growth to moderate substantially. As
a result, residential mortgage debt will stabilize.

House prices will increase

Despite a 24% increase in 2007, Alberta lost its status as Canadas resale price growth leader. Most of
2007s gain occurred in the first six months of the year when the market experienced listings shortages
and a record pace of demand. The second half was met with reluctant buyers and a sharp rebound in
supply, halting the pace of price growth. In such an environment, resale price growth will slow to only 4%
in 2008, the weakest gain in 12 years. With a return to more balanced conditions in 2009, price growth
will strengthen to 5.4%, reaching an average of $389,000.

Alberta key stats
Source: Stats Canada
Metric
Alberta
Canada
Population
2007
3,474,000
32,568,000
Consumer Price Index
Mar'08 (2002 = 100)
120
113
Average earnings
(Feb'08)
$45,105
$40,914
Unemployment rate
(Mar'08 )
3.4%
6.0%
Housing starts
(Mar'08)
55,100
243,000

Average
Residential
Resale Price

(annual %
change)
2007 (E)
$355,000
24.4%
$306,397*
10.6%
2008 (F)
$369,000
3.9%
$322,400*
5.2%
2009 (F)
$389,000
5.4%
$334,500*
3.8%

Mortgages
approved by
lenders,
residential 2006

Chartered
banks
$27,421,550,00
0
$152,478,903,00
0
Trust
companies
$1,287,091,000
$6,664,898,000

Life and
companies
other

$5,378,952,000
$30,225,144,000
Total
$34,087,593,00
0
$189,368,945,00
0

2007 E = estimated by the CMHC
* Canada calculation excludes Yukon and Northwest Territories
Data based on application received date
Mortgage approval data are gross and may not fully capture lending activities of credit unions, caisses populaires, other smaller
institutions and privately-insured loans in some areas
Quebec data is understated due to low response rate to the surveys in that province.
*Conventional Lending data only

Local Market Indicators
Census Metropolitan Area
Total Housing Starts
MLS
sales
MLS average price
Calgary
2007
13,505
32,176
$414,066
2008 (F)
11,000
30,500
$429,000
2009(F)
10,750
29,500
$450,000
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