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Riding-by-Riding Projection November 21 Aaron Ginsberg All Politics Is Local
ProvinceRegionRidingCPCLPCNDPGPCBQOTH
 Alberta Calgary
Calgary – Nosehill
64.14 16.7 7.57 11.16 0 0.16 Alberta Calgary
Calgary Centre
53.28 17.89 10.2 17.41 0 0.96 Alberta Calgary 53.8 15.19 13.01 16.88 0 0.87 Alberta Calgary
Calgary East
61.68 12.83 10.65 13.62 0 0.96 Alberta Calgary
Calgary Northeast
53.33 21.45 7.48 8.88 0 8.61 Alberta Calgary
Calgary Southeast
67.69 12.41 6.55 13.03 0 0.08 Alberta Calgary
Calgary Southwest
69.42 11 6.72 11.95 0 0.66 Alberta Calgary
Calgary West
56.25 21.55 5.79 13.94 0 2.22 Alberta Edmonton 57.82 17.79 13.36 10.78 0 0 Alberta Edmonton
Edmonton Centre
49.52 27.36 11.76 10.46 0 0.64 Alberta Edmonton
Edmonton East
46.36 19.57 24.1 9.3 0 0.41 Alberta Edmonton
Edmonton--Leduc
56.83 20.41 11.53 10.8 0 0.18 Alberta Edmonton 54.21 22.93 13.19 8.95 0 0.47 Alberta Edmonton 42.61 14.89 11.77 10.99 0 19.5 Alberta Edmonton 63.37 14.9 10.8 10.69 0 -0.01 Alberta Edmonton 40.91 13.65 34.46 10.04 0 0.68 Alberta Rural Alberta
Crowfoot
76.37 7.4 6.64 9.34 0 0 Alberta Rural Alberta 59.21 14.52 14 9.76 0 2.26 Alberta Rural Alberta
Lethbridge
63.3 11.74 12.44 9.32 0 2.94 Alberta Rural Alberta
Macleod
73.39 7.78 5.67 11.72 0 1.18 Alberta Rural Alberta
Medicine Hat
70.77 7.98 9.02 8.92 0 3.06 Alberta Rural Alberta
Peace River
62.59 9.33 12.13 9.68 0 6.02 Alberta Rural Alberta
Red Deer
70.95 7.96 9.35 11.31 0 0.17 Alberta Rural Alberta 72.71 6.89 8.29 11.48 0 0.38 Alberta Rural Alberta
Westlock--St. Paul
67.57 12.22 8.92 9.74 0 1.3 Alberta Rural Alberta
Wetaskiwin
72.97 7.56 7.62 11.09 0 0.5 Alberta Rural Alberta
Wild Rose
69.25 7.87 7.04 15.23 0 0.36 Alberta Rural Alberta
Yellowhead
68.05 6.61 10.88 11.88 0 2.34British Columbia Interior 29.51 9.96 48.01 13.12 0 -0.85British Columbia Interior 51.53 10.97 26.51 9.68 0 1.06British Columbia Interior 57.22 10.2 20.6 11.24 0 0.48
Calgary Centre-NorthEdmonton – St.AlbertEdmonton--MillWoods--BeaumontEdmonton--Sherwood ParkEdmonton--SpruceGroveEdmonton--StrathconaFort McMurray--AthabascaVegreville--WainwrightBritish ColumbiaSouthern InteriorCariboo--PrinceGeorgeChilliwack--FraserCanyon
 
Riding-by-Riding Projection November 21 Aaron Ginsberg All Politics Is Local
British Columbia Interior 42.59 12.32 35.25 10.67 0 -1.07British Columbia Interior 52.04 15.21 17.83 15.29 0 -0.61British Columbia Interior 56.16 6.59 25.69 12.44 0 -1.13British Columbia Interior 53.89 12.24 19.77 14.74 0 -0.9British Columbia Interior 48.2 10.92 24.21 16.05 0 0.38British Columbia Interior 60.94 6.93 20.01 12.67 0 -0.81British Columbia Interior 34.15 5.59 49.1 7.99 0 2.92British Columbia Lower-Mainland
Abbotsford
62.01 11.83 16.29 9.7 0 -0.09British Columbia Lower-Mainland 39.56 23.86 26.25 9.37 0 0.7British Columbia Lower-Mainland
Langley
56.2 12.03 19.27 11.98 0 0.26British Columbia Lower-Mainland 30.12 31.03 30.11 8.75 0 -0.27British Columbia Lower-Mainland 46.27 9.01 34.58 9.94 0 -0.05British Columbia Lower-Mainland 51.09 21.61 16.25 11.55 0 -0.75British Columbia Lower-Mainland
Surrey North
31.44 12.15 38.84 8.23 0 9.08British Columbia Vancouver
Burnaby--Douglas
31.95 20.73 38.77 9.02 0 -0.72British Columbia Vancouver 31.15 15.6 43.65 9.8 0 -0.45British Columbia Vancouver 50.31 20.34 19.31 10.69 0 -0.9British Columbia Vancouver 34.45 12.36 43.98 9.01 0 -0.05British Columbia Vancouver
North Vancouver
39.03 34.92 13.4 13.36 0 -0.97British Columbia Vancouver 50.85 13.6 24.34 10.23 0 0.73British Columbia Vancouver
Richmond
43.85 31.75 14.91 9.58 0 -0.34British Columbia Vancouver
Vancouver Centre
27.7 27.95 26.88 17.44 0 -0.21British Columbia Vancouver
Vancouver East
13.13 15.96 57.33 13.17 0 0.16British Columbia Vancouver 22.62 30.28 37.17 9.24 0 0.44British Columbia Vancouver
Vancouver Quadra
32.31 43.4 13.21 11.37 0 -0.55British Columbia Vancouver
Vancouver South
32.66 37.68 21.59 8.27 0 -0.46
Kamloops--Thompson--CaribooKelowna--LakeCountryKootenay--ColumbiaOkanagan--CoquihallaOkanagan--ShuswapPrince George--Peace RiverSkeena--BulkleyValleyFleetwood--PortKellsNewton--NorthDeltaPitt Meadows--Maple Ridge--MissionSouth Surrey--White Rock--CloverdaleBurnaby--NewWestminsterDelta--RichmondEastNew Westminster--CoquitlamPort Moody--Westwood--PortCoquitlamVancouverKingsway
 
Riding-by-Riding Projection November 21 Aaron Ginsberg All Politics Is Local
British Columbia Vancouver 40.05 26.11 19 15.63 0 -1.04British Columbia 29.96 30.44 28.12 11.77 0 -0.53British Columbia
Nanaimo--Alberni
43.22 9.03 34.07 13.62 0 -0.19British Columbia
Nanaimo--Cowichan
34.51 6.57 47.45 12 0 -0.79British Columbia 39.52 30.07 15.37 15.27 0 -0.48British Columbia 41.96 4.84 42.53 11.24 0 -0.82British Columbia
Victoria
24.99 18.17 43.12 14.06 0 -0.59Manitoba Rural Manitoba
Brandon--Souris
57.81 9.91 17.02 14.82 0 0.2Manitoba Rural Manitoba
Churchill
35.84 29.94 24.38 6.5 0 3.09Manitoba Rural Manitoba 61.88 12.79 16.3 8.77 0 0.01Manitoba Rural Manitoba
Portage--Lisgar
70.5 10.47 7.01 10.16 0 1.62Manitoba Rural Manitoba
Provencher
66.87 12.72 10.8 8.78 0 0.57Manitoba Rural Manitoba
Selkirk--Interlake
57.88 7.71 26.51 8.05 0 -0.4Manitoba Winnipeg 52.85 24.99 13.93 8.89 0 -0.91Manitoba Winnipeg 41.61 6.36 43.4 8.47 0 -0.08Manitoba Winnipeg
Kildonan--St. Paul
50.6 15.51 26.51 7.4 0 -0.27Manitoba Winnipeg
Saint Boniface
43.36 34.5 14.5 7.97 0 -0.58Manitoba Winnipeg
Winnipeg Centre
22.11 17.45 46.72 12.72 0 0.76Manitoba Winnipeg
Winnipeg North
21.87 13.08 57.54 7.55 0 -0.3Manitoba Winnipeg
Winnipeg South
43.39 34.48 13.94 8.05 0 -0.11Manitoba Winnipeg 39.42 40.16 12.04 9.26 0 -1.13New Brunswick ALL
Acadie--Bathurst
18.53 22.14 55.04 5.58 0 -1.54New Brunswick ALL
Beauséjour
31.38 44.38 16.48 9.26 0 -1.76New Brunswick ALL
Fredricton
40.76 32.79 17.13 10.61 0 -1.55New Brunswick ALL
Fundy Royal
51.33 18.86 21.89 9.34 0 -1.67New Brunswick ALL 33.98 41.07 19.23 7.36 0 -1.89New Brunswick ALL
Miramichi
39.7 36.4 17.22 7.13 0 -0.71New Brunswick ALL 34.1 40.71 16.36 10.39 0 -1.81New Brunswick ALL 55.29 21.37 16.64 8.06 0 -1.61
West Vancouver--Sunshine Coast--Sea to Sky Country
VancouverIsland
Esquimalt--Juan deFuca
VancouverIslandVancouverIslandVancouverIsland
Saanich--GulfIslands
VancouverIsland
Vancouver IslandNorth
VancouverIsland
Dauphin--SwanRiver--MarquetteCharleswood--St.James--AssiniboiaElmwood--TransconaWinnipeg SouthCentreMadawaska--RestigoucheMoncton--Riverview--DieppeNew BrunswickSouthwest
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deleted_fbuser_1297222099

What are these projections based on?

reply01 / 29 / 2010
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