2001 Saras D. Sarasvathy, University of Washington
3While causal reasoning may or may notinvolve creative thinking, effectual reasoning isinherently creative. The simple task of cookingdinner may be used to contrast the two types of reasoning. A chef who is given a specific menuand has only to pick out his or her favoriterecipes for the items on the menu, shop for ingredients and cook the meal in their own well-equipped kitchens is an example of causalreasoning. An example of effectual reasoningwould involve a chef who is not given a menu inadvance, and is escorted to a strange kitchenwhere he or she has to explore the cupboards for unspecified ingredients and cook a meal withthem. While both causal and effectual reasoningcall for domain-specific skills and training,effectual reasoning demands something more – imagination, spontaneity, risk-taking, andsalesmanship.
Effectual reasoning: The process
All entrepreneurs begin with threecategories of means: (1) Who they are – their traits, tastes and abilities; (2) What they know – their education, training, expertise, andexperience; and, (3) Whom they know – their social and professional networks. Using thesemeans, the entrepreneurs begin to imagine andimplement possible effects that can be createdwith them. Most often, they start very smallwith the means that are closest at hand, andmove almost directly into action withoutelaborate planning. Unlike causal reasoning thatcomes to life through careful planning and
subsequent
execution, effectual reasoning livesand breathes execution. Plans are made andunmade and revised and recast through actionand interaction with others on a daily basis. Yetat any given moment, there is always ameaningful picture that keeps the team together,a compelling story that brings in morestakeholders and a continuing journey that mapsout uncharted territories. Through their actions,the effectual entrepreneurs’ set of means andconsequently the set of possible effects changeand get reconfigured. Eventually, certain of theemerging effects coalesce into clearly achievableand desirable goals -- landmarks that point to adiscernible path beginning to emerge in thewilderness.Yet, in our classrooms, we teach potentialentrepreneurs an extremely causal process – thesequential progression from idea to marketresearch, to financial projections, to team, to business plan, to financing, to prototype, tomarket, to exit, with the caveat, of course, thatsurprises will happen along the way. Seasonedentrepreneurs, however, know that surprises arenot deviations from the path. Instead they arethe norm, the flora and fauna of the landscape,
from
which one learns to forge a path throughthe jungle. The unexpected is the stuff of entrepreneurial experience and transforming the
Managerial Thinking -- Causal Reasoning
Distinguishing Characteristic:
Selecting between given means to achieve a pre-determined goal
GivenGoalGiven Means
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Figure 1
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Entrepreneurial Thinking -- Effectual Reasoning
Distinguishing Characteristic:
Imagining possible new ends using a given set of meansGivenGoalsNew meansare generatedM
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Strategic Thinking -- Creative Causal Reasoning
Distinguishing Characteristic:
Generating new means to achieve pre-determined goals
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