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Commodity Modeling and Pricing; Methods for Analyzing Resource Market Behavior
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Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice,Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.Preface. Acknowledgments.PART ONE:Dynamics of Commodity Price Behavior. CHAPTER 1: Indirect Inference and Long Memory: A New Truncated-Series Estimation Method—Armand Sadler, Jean-Baptiste Lesourd, and Velayoudom Marimoutou. CHAPTER 2: Procyclicality of Primary Commodity Prices: A Stylized Fact?—A. Behrooz Afrasiabi. CHAPTER 3: Nonlinear Features of Comovements between Commodity Prices and Inflation—Catherine Kyrtsou. CHAPTER 4: The Oil Price and the Dollar Reconsidered—Sadek Melhem and Michel Terraza.PART TWO:Inventory Dynamics and Price Behavior. CHAPTER 5: Time-Varying Ratios of Primary and Scrap Metal Prices: Importance of Inventories—Irene M. Xiarchos. CHAPTER 6: Metal Prices and the Supply of Storage—Paul Crompton and Irene M. Xiarchos. CHAPTER 7: Testing for Temporal Asymmetry in the Metal Price-Stock Relationship—Eugene Kouassi. CHAPTER 8: Do Fluctuations in Wine Stocks Affect Wine Prices?—James O. Bukenya.PART THREE:Dynamics of Resource Markets. CHAPTER 9: Dynamic Quadratic Programming in Process Control—Bruce A. Bancroft. CHAPTER 10: Pollution Taxes and Price Control in the US Coal Market: A Rent Minimization Model—Chin W. Yang and Ming-Jeng Hwang. CHAPTER 11: A Forecasting Simulation of Coal in Indonesia’s Energy Future—Ukar W. Soelistijo. CHAPTER 12: Structural Decomposition Analysis of Changes in Material Demand in the U.S. Economy—Adam Rose and Chia-Yon Chen.PART FOUR:Environmental Resource Dynamics. CHAPTER 13: Linking Trade and the Environment in China—Haixiao Huang. CHAPTER 14: Critical Needs in China’s Water Resources—Andres Liebenthal. CHAPTER 15: Public Input in Rural Land Preservation: Modeling Preference Asymmetries in Stated Preference Data—Robert J. Johnston and Kelly Giraud Cullen. CHAPTER 16: African Women in Mining Partnerships—Brigitte Bocoum. EPILOGUE: Conclusions and Perspective—Walter C. Labys. List of Contributors. Index.Peter Schaeffer is Professor of Economic Policy at West Virginia University and served as a director of the Division of Resource Management, which includes the Division of Agricultural and Resource Economics, from 1993 to 2006. He was a visiting professor of regional and environmental economics at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich, and a visiting scholar at the International Labour Organization in Geneva.Resource commodity markets play a central role in economic development, international trade, and global economic and political stability. The onset of globalization and the spectacular growth and industrial development of China, India, and other Southeast Asian countriesalong with an increased use of agricultural commodities for ethanol productionhave significantly added to total resource commodity demands and caused unprecedented price increases. Today, the economic analysis and modeling of world commodity markets is more important than ever before.Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert cont
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