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Cbsnewspoll 010912 Gop

Cbsnewspoll 010912 Gop

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Published by cbsnews
CBS News poll on the Republican presidential candidates, Jan. 9, 2012.
CBS News poll on the Republican presidential candidates, Jan. 9, 2012.

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Published by: cbsnews on Jan 09, 2012
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 CBS NEWS POLLFor Release: Monday, January 9, 20126:30 pm (ET)Romney Leads and Santorum Surges into the Top Tier, But Voters Want More Choices
January 4-8, 2012
On the heels of his win in the Iowa caucuses last week, Mitt Romney leads in the racefor the Republican nomination in this national poll. Newt Gingrich is in second, and RickSantorum has leapt into the top tier and is now right behind Gingrich. Santorum’ssupport has increased by 11 points since last month.
The poll finds dissatisfaction with the field of Republican candidates: 58% of Republicanprimary voters want more choices, up from 46% last October. 37% are satisfied.
Despite his lead, just 27% would be enthusiastic about Mitt Romney as the Republicannominee. 33% say they would be enthusiastic about Santorum as the nominee, and29% say the same about Gingrich. 17% would not vote for Gingrich if he were thenominee, compared to just one in ten who say that about Romney or Santorum.In the race for the nomination nationally, 19% of Republican primary voters support MittRomney, followed by Newt Gingrich with 15%, and Rick Santorum right behind him with 14%.This is an increase of 11 points for Santorum since last month, but a 5 point decline forGingrich.
2012 Republican Nomination for President
(among Republican primary voters)Now 12/11 11/11 10/25 10/3 9/16Mitt Romney 19% 20% 15% 21% 17% 16%Newt Gingrich 15 20 15 10 8 7Rick Santorum 14 3 2 1 3 1Ron Paul 10 10 5 8 7 5Rick Perry 6 6 8 6 12 23Jon Huntsman 4 1 1 1 2 1Someone else 19 19 14 12 10 11Undecided/Don’t know 13 17 17 14 18 22When voters who chose someone else are asked to choose a candidate from the current field,the race remains similar: Romney leads with 24%, followed by Santorum and Gingrich, eachwith 18%.Nationally, the race for the nomination remains fluid, and most voters have not completelysettled on their candidate. Among Republican voters who pick a candidate, 71% say it’s tooearly to say whether their mind is made up. 28% say they’ve made up their minds.Moreover, a majority of Republican primary voters continue to say they have reservations abouttheir candidate choice, and only 20% strongly favors their candidate.
Support for Candidate
(among Republican primary voters with a choice)Now 12/2011Strongly favor your candidate 20% 23%Like your candidate, but with reservations 59 62Dislike other candidates 20 13While the results of the Iowa caucuses dominated much of the news in the last week, 56% ofRepublican primary voters nationwide say the Iowa results are not important in their decisionabout whom to support in this election.
Dissatisfaction with the Republican Field
Even with the nominating process now officially underway, 58% of Republican primary votersare unsatisfied with the current field of candidates and wish they had more choices. Republicanvoters are now more unhappy with their choices than they were last fall.
Satisfied with Republican Candidates for President
(among Republican primary voters)Now 10/2011 9/2011 6/2011Yes, satisfied 37% 46% 43% 23%No, want more choices 58 46 50 71Republican primary voters are not especially enthusiastic about any of the current candidateseventually becoming the party’s nominee. 33% of Republican primary voters say they wouldenthusiastically back Santorum if he became the party’s nominee – the highest of anycandidate. A quarter would have reservations about him.Fewer Republican voters would enthusiastically back Romney (27%) or Gingrich (29%) as thenominee, and just 15% would be enthusiastic about Ron Paul. What’s more, 17% say theywould not vote for Gingrich if he were the nominee, and 20% say that for Ron Paul. Only one inten says they would not support Romney or Santorum.Republican primary voters would be least enthusiastic about Huntsman as the Republicannominee.
If …. Were the Republican Nominee Would you …?
(among Republican primary voters)Santorum Gingrich Romney PerryEnthusiastically support him 33% 29% 27% 17%Support him with reservations 26 33 40 35Support him only b/c he is the nominee 22 18 22 22Not support him 11 17 9 20Paul HuntsmanEnthusiastically support him 15% 12%Support him with reservations 35 27Support him only b/c he is the nominee 26 33Not support him 20 17
Overall, 27% of registered voters nationwide say they are more enthusiastic about the 2012presidential election compared to past elections. Despite dissatisfaction with the field ofcandidates, there is a 20 point partisan enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democratsabout voting in 2012.
Enthusiasm Now vs. Past Elections
(among registered voters)All Reps Dems IndsMore 27% 41% 21% 21%Less 24 24 24 25Same 48 35 53 53
Candidate Qualities: Electability
When asked directly which candidate has the best chance to beat Barack Obama next year,Romney remains at the top of the list -- and has gained on the other candidates in the lastmonth. Now, 49% say Romney has the best chance to win, up from 37% in December.Gingrich has dropped sharply on this measure, from 31% to just 13% now.
Which Candidate Has Best Chance of Beating Obama?
(Among Republican Primary Voters)Now Last monthRomney 49% 37%Gingrich 13 31Santorum 8 2Perry 5 5Paul 4 8Huntsman 1 2Fresh off his narrow victory in Iowa, most Republican primary voters (55%) now expect MittRomney to eventually be the Republican nominee for president– far ahead of any othercandidate. Registered voters nationwide agree.
Who Do You Expect To Be The Republican Nominee?
Rep Primary Voters All Registered VotersRomney 55% 48%Gingrich 9 7Santorum 7 7Paul 4 6Perry 3 3Huntsman 2 2Don’t know 20 26As was the case last month, Republican primary voters remain divided about which is moreimportant – half prefer a candidate who agrees with them on the issues (48%), but as many(47%) are looking for someone who has a good chance to win the presidency in 2012.

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