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NDI June 2012 Survey Political Ratings ENG

NDI June 2012 Survey Political Ratings ENG

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Published by ტაბულა
NDI report about public attitudes in Georgia, results of June 2012 survey, part about Political party ratings
NDI report about public attitudes in Georgia, results of June 2012 survey, part about Political party ratings

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Published by: ტაბულა on Jul 16, 2012
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07/17/2012

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Public attitudes in Georgia:
Results of a June 2012 survey carried out for NDI by
CRRC
This research is funded by the Swedish InternationalDevelopment Cooperation Agency (Sida) 
Luis NavarroIan T. Woodward
NDI Georgia
 
Methodology - Current Wave
This research has been conducted over multiple waves. The funding for this wave was provided by the SwedishInternational Development and Cooperation Agency (Sida)
Current survey wave:
 –
Fieldwork dates: June 4
 –
June 22, 2012
 –
6,299 completed interviews
 –
A nationally representative sample including urban and rural areas as well as additional representativesamples of the self governing cities of Tbilisi, Kutaisi, Batumi, Poti and Rustavi as well as the Majoritariandistricts of Saburtalo, Isani, Samgori, Nadzaladvi, Gldani, Telavi, Kobuleti, Zugdidi and Gori
Sample design
 –
NDI and CRRC use a complex survey design with both stratification and clustering. There are sixteen macro-strata: Saburtalo, Isani, Samgori, Nadzaladevi, Gldani, Other Capital, Rustavi, Kutaisi, Batumi, Poti, Goridistrict, Telavi district, Zugdidi district, Kobuleti district, Other Urban, Other Rural. This included 609clusters of electoral precincts.
 –
Households are selected via random route sampling
 –
Respondents are selected using a Kish table
 –
Randomly selected households and individuals are not substituted
 –
All interviews are conducted face-to-face
The average margin of error does not exceed +/- 2%
 
Methodology
 –
Historical Waves
This research has been conducted over multiple waves. The funding for most waves was provided by Sida, however one wave wasfunded by the Eurasia Foundation and one by the British Embassy
Historical waves included in this presentation:
 –
February 2012
Fieldwork dates: February 22
 –
March 5, 2012
3,161 completed interviews
A nationally representative sample including representative samples of Tbilisi, Kutaisi, Batumi, Poti, Rustavi, TelaviDistrict 17, other urban and rural areas
 –
September 2011
Fieldwork dates: September 9-21, 2011
2,425 completed interviews
A nationally representative sample with additional representative samples in Tbilisi, Kutaisi, Batumi, Poti, Rustavi,Telavi District 17, other urban and rural areas
 –
April 2010
Fieldwork dates: April 11-26, 2010
2,053 completed interviews
A nationally representative sample, including an oversample of Tbilisi and representative samples in urban and ruralareas
The average margin of error for these waves is +/- 3%
Official turnout data and results
from the May 30, 2010 elections was obtained from the Central Election Commission’s website
http://www.cec.gov.ge

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1 hundred reads
Iveri Kutsnashvili added this note
Let's dig dipper: - 27% going to protest if Ivanishvili asks them means 1,000,000 ready to protest. If even 1/3 will really protest, we will get more than 300,000 protesters - comparable to recent Arab protests - 10% of active protesters mean at least 4-5 times more supporters for Ivanishvili - extrapolation from 80,000 protesters in Tbilisi where GDC should have at least 50% of support
Iveri Kutsnashvili added this note
Getting closer to reality but still significantly favors natsists
Levan Ramishvili liked this

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