Cilley for New Hampshire Governor
To: Interested PartiesFrom: Mike GehrkeDate: June 27, 2012Re: Recent New Hampshire Polling ResultsThe results of our recent poll of likely New Hampshire Democratic Gubernatorial primary voters show therace tied. Both Jackie Cilley and Maggie Hassan are largely unknown to Democratic primary voters buton several key issues, Cilley is on the side of a majority of Democrats and independents likely to vote in
the primary. In addition, Cilley’s standing among moderates and independents in this poll confirms
thefinding of every public poll released so far that Cilley is just as strong in a general election as MaggieHassan.
NH Gubernatorial Primary is Tied
Cilley and Hassan start out the race with low, but roughly equal name ID
34% of Democratic primaryvoters know enough to rate Hassan, while 29% know enough to rate Cilley. Both are personally popular
among voters who know them (Cilley’s net favorable rating is +25% while Hassan’s is +24%).
Maggie Hassan 34%Jackie Cilley 29%When asked who they would vote for if the primary election were held today, 20% of likely Democraticprimary voters choose Hassan, 20% choose Cilley, 10% say they would vote for Bill Kennedy and 50%are undecided.If the September 2012 Democratic primary election for Governor were held today, andthe candidates were ... for whom would you vote?
AllLikely Primary VotersKnow BothCilley & Hassan
Difference 0 +7
Jackie Cilley 20% 46%Maggie Hassan 20% 39%Bill Kennedy 10% 5%
Cilley Leads Among Voters Who Know Both Cilley and Hassan
Among voters who know both candidates. Cilley holds a 46%-39% lead. This is significant given thehead start Hassan has had both in forming her campaign and spending money
Since Hassan openedher campaign in October, she has spent nearly $300,000
more than four times as much as Cilley has.
However, Hassan’s name ID is only slightly higher than Cilley’s and she trails by 7% among voters who
know them both.
Cilley on Right Side of Tax Issues For Democratic Primary
There is a clear consensus among voters on a constitutional amendment prohibiting an income tax in thefuture: Just 26% say they support such an amendment while 69% say they are opposed. In addition, amajority of Democratic primary voters are opposed to having gubernatorial candidates take a pledge to
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