Quayle,
Lisa
From:
Sent:
To:
Cc:
Subject:Attachments:
Hoc,
PMT12
Friday,
April
01,
2011
4:17
AM
Miller, Marie
Casto,
Chuck; Monninger,John;
Collins,Elmo;
FOIA
Response.hoc
Resource
FW:
Request
for
Copy of
Source
Term
Sent
to
NARAC
MELCORE
Source
term
for
use
towards
Tokyo
Here
it
is.
RASCAL
was
not
used...thiswas developed
by
RES.
From:
Miller, Marie
Sent:
Friday,
April
01, 2011
4:55
AM
To:
Hoc,
PMT12
Subject:
Request
for
Copy
of
SourceTerm
Sent to
NARAC
When
I
reported
out
to
Chuck
et
al
that
you
had
provided
a
source
termto
NARAC,
he andJohn
Moninger
requested
a
copyof
the
RASCAL
runs
to
get
a
ideaof
the
source
term.
Can
you
pleasesend
a
copy
of
the
RASCAL
to
me for
our
use
here.
You
may
also
wantto
copy
John
M.
Chuck
C
and
Elmo
C.
1
Quayle,
Lisa
From:
PMT09
Hoc
Sent:
Thursday,
March
31,
2011
9:12
PM
To:
nitops@nnsa.doe.gov
Cc:
Hoc,
PMT12
Subject:
MELCORE
Source
term
for
use
towards
Tokyo
Attachments:
oledata.mso
Mr.
Hoglin,
The
following
information
is
provided
by
RES
in
response
to
a
PMT
request
of
3/30/11
to
provide
a
realistic,
up-to-date
estimation
of
source terms
for
dose
projections
to
address
future
potential radiological
releases
from
the
Fukushima
Unit
1 reactor
and the
Unit
4
spent
fuel pool.
The
source terms
herein
provided
are
based
on
MELCOR
analyses
that have
been
performed
fora similar
but
not identical
severe
accident event
for
a
BWRMark
I
reactor
and
spent
fuel pool.
The
spent
fuel
pool
analysis
did
consider
the
Fukushima
Unit
4
spent
fuel
pool
decay
heat
and
water
volume.
The
reactor
analyses
results
and
radiological
releases
attached
reflect the
Fukushima
Unit
1 reactor
core
inventories
adjusted
for
decay
since the
time
of
the accident
until
April
15,
2011
(as
requested
by
the
PMT).
The premise
of
the
calculation
based
on
discussions
with
the
PMT,
as
we
understand the
background,
is
that
a
hypothetical
event
may
potentially
occur
at
the
Unit
1
reactor
requiring
abandonment
for
some
24
hours,
during
which
water
injection to
the
Unit
1
reactor
and
Unit
4
spent
fuel
pool
is
interrupted
(ceased).
The question
then
is
posed,
"What
would
the
radiological
release
be
for
the
next
24
hours?"
After
24
hrs,
injection
is
assumed
to
be
resumed.
For
the
reactor analysis,
we
have
conservatively
assumed
that
core
damage
begins
promptly;
the
radiological
release
begins
at
the start
of
the
24 hour
period. We
have
also
assumed
that
the
initial
heat
up (on
or
about
March
1
1
th
and
1
2
th,
2011)
of
the
Unit
1 reactor
core already resulted
in
severe damage
to
70%
of
the core.
Certain radionuclides
havealready
been
scrubbed in
the
suppression
pool
and
are
no
longer
available
forthe
release.
The
attached
table provides
the
detailed
radiological
release.
For
the spent
fuel pool,
recent
information
from
the
RST
(3/31/11)
indicatesthat
the
Unit
4
spent
fuel pool
has
sufficient
level
to
maintain
the
spent
fuel
in
the
pool
to
remain
covered
for
approximately
5
days
at
saturated
conditions
(-100
C).
Our
analyses
indicate
that neglect
of
the
pool for
24
hours
will
not
lower
the water
level
sufficiently to
cause
any
significant
heat
up
of
the
spent
fuel
in
the
pool.
This
estimatehas
large
available
margins.
Therefore,
we
recommend that
no
spent
fuel pool
radiological
release
be
assumed
for
the event
being
considered.
1
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