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To: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign CommitteeFrom: The Mellman Group, Inc.Re: Mazie Hirono Continues To Lead Hawaii Senate RaceDate: July 25, 2012
This analysis represents the findings of a survey of 800 voters representing the likely 2012 Hawaii general electorate who wereinterviewed by telephone July 18-22, 2012. The study uses a registration-based sample and has a margin of error of +/-3.8% at the95% level of confidence. The margin of error is higher for subgroups.
U.S. Rep. Mazie Hirono holds a commanding lead over former Governor Linda Lingle in the race tosucceed Senator Dan Akaka in the United States Senate.
Hirono Continues To LeadGovernor Linda Lingle In TheRace For U.S. Senate
Despite her televisioncampaign, which includeslaunching her own network,former Governor Lingle hasmade no headway cutting into
Hirono’s lead in this
overwhelmingly Democraticstate. Hirono leads Lingle by 19points (52% Hirono, 33%Lingle), which represents a 4-
point drop in Lingle’s vote since
our last survey, conducted in June (52% Hirono, 37% Lingle).
Hirono’s lead is part
icularly strong among women (+24 Hirono), voters under 40 years old (+27Hirono), and those at the lower end of the socio-economic spectrum (+30 Hirono). Hirono also
doubles Lingle’s vote among self
-described moderates (52% Hirono, 26% Lingle). Lingle has madeabsolutely no progress among Democrats, who make up 50% of the electorate, where she trails Hirono by an 80% to 9% margin. Indeed, Hirono garners more votes among Republicans (12%) than Lingledoes among Democrats (9%).
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