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World Economic ForumJanuary 2009
Global Risks 2009
 A Global Risk Network Report
COMMITTED TOIMPROVING THE STATEOF THE WORLD
 A World Economic Forum Report
in collaboration with
CitigroupMarsh & McLennan Companies (MMC)Swiss ReWharton School Risk CenterZurich Financial Services
 
 This work was prepared by the Global Risk Network of the World Economic Forum.
World Economic Forum
91-93 route de la CapiteCH-1223 Cologny/GenevaSwitzerland Tel.: +41 (0)22 869 1212Fax: +41 (0)22 786 2744E-mail: globalrisks@weforum.orgwww.weforum.org© 2009 World Economic Forum All rights reserved.No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmittedin any form or by any means, including photocopying and recording, or by anyinformation storage and retrieval system.
ISBN: 92-95044-15-0978-92-95044-15-9REF: 060109
 The information in this report, or on which this report is based, has been obtained from sources that the authors believe tobe reliable and accurate. However, it has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express orimplied, is made as to the accuracy or completeness of any information obtained from third parties. In addition, thestatements in this report may provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include anystatement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or a current fact. These statements involve known and unknownrisks, uncertainties and other factors which are not exhaustive. The companies contributing to this report operate in acontinually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance onthese statements. The companies contributing to this report undertake no obligation to publicly revise or update anystatements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise and they shall in no event be liable for anyloss or damage arising in connection with the use of the information in this report.
 
Figure 1: Global Risks Landscape 2009: Likelihood with Severity by Economic Loss
Likelihood
below 1% 1-5% 5-10% 10-20% above 20%
     2   -     1     0     b     i     l     l     i    o    n     1     0   -     5     0     b     i     l     l     i    o    n     5     0   -     2     5     0     b     i     l     l     i    o    n     2     5     0     b     i     l     l     i    o    n   -     1     t    r     i     l     l     i    o    n    m    o    r    e     t     h    a    n     1     t    r     i     l     l     i    o    n
      S    e    v    e    r      i      t    y      (      i    n      U      S       $      )
Based on an the assessment of risks over a 10 year time horizon by the Global Risk Network
Key:
Boxes indicate change since last year’s assessment
New risk for 2009DecreasedIncreasedStableLikelihood Severity
343635293031323320212223242526272812131415161718191113458910267
Source: World Economic Forum 2009
ECONOMIC
1 Food price volatility2 Oil and gas price spike3 Major fall in US$4 Slowing Chinese economy (6%)5 Fiscal crises6 Asset price collapse7 Retrenchment from globalization (developed)8 Retrenchment from globalization (emerging)9 Regulation cost10 Underinvestment in infrastructure
GEOPOLITICAL
11 International terrorism12 Collapse of NPT13 US/Iran conflict14 US/DPRK conflict15 Afghanistan instability16 Transnational crime and corruption17 Israel-Palestine conflict18 Violence in Iraq19 Global governance gaps
ENVIRONMENTAL
20 Extreme climate change related weather21 Droughts and desertification22 Loss of freshwater23 NatCat: Cyclone24 NatCat: Earthquake25 NatCat: Inland flooding26 NatCat: Coastal flooding27 Air pollution28 Biodiversity loss
SOCIETAL
29 Pandemic30 Infectious disease31 Chronic disease32 Liability regimes33 Migration
TECHNOLOGICAL
34 CII breakdown35 Emergence of nanotechnology risks36 Data fraud/loss
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elleobogam

si poruqe no la permiten. se supone que el foro debe difundir su información. Deseo saber cuales eran sus proyecciones en ese instante. Ya se acabo el 2010 y no permiten la descarga.

reply12 / 22 / 2010
aryasunu

How can I download this report? Please send information to aryasunu@gmail.com. Thank you.

reply05 / 10 / 2009
bksri1239561

hOW CAN i GET A DOWNLOAD OF THIS REPORT MY EMAIL id bksri123@rediffmail.com

reply04 / 19 / 2009
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