Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Nguyn Th Vn Anh
Bo co
PHN TCH NGNH DC
Ngy 16/03/2011
Gi tr sn xut dc Vit Nam - Ngun: Hip hi sn xut, kinh doanh dc Vit Nam (VNCPA)
Ph thuc nhiu vo nguyn ph liu v thuc thnh phm nhp khu Tng kim ngch nhp khu NPL v thuc thnh phm 11 thng nm 2010 u tng trong nm 2010, t 1.414 t USD, chim 2.1% tng kim ngch nhp khu ca c nc. Thuc thnh phm (50% s thuc tiu th): Nhp khu thuc thnh phm tng 23% nhng vn thp so vi mc tng nm 2009. Do Vit Nam nhp mt lng ln Tamiflu phng i dch H1N1 nm 2009. http://www.smes.vn Trang 1
Nguyn ph liu (90%): C th thy tc nhp khu NPL tng nhiu hn so vi tc ca thuc nhp khu, chng minh kh nng sn xut ni a ngy cng ci thin v dn c kh nng thay th thuc nhp ngoi.
6 thng u nm Tng c nm
6 thng u nm Tng c nm
Kim ngch nhp khu thuc v nguyn ph liu - Ngun: Tng Cc Hi Quan Vit Nam, 2010
Cnh tranh trong ngnh ngy cng cao S lng doanh nghip Vit Nam tnh n nm 2010 c chng khong 200 DN nhng quY m cn nh (v vn v nh xng), ch yu sn xut thuc ph thng v phn phi (TP. H Ch Minh v H Ni chim hn 50% tng s nh thuc t nhn trn ton quc) cn nhiu trng lp dn ti cnh tranh cao trong th trng ni a. 3 nm sau khi Vit Nam gia nhp WTO, cnh tranh vi cc DN nc ngoi ngy cng cao. S lng DN nc ngoi ng k kinh doanh ti VN tng t hn 300 nm 2007 ln gn 500 DN nm 2010.
http://www.smes.vn Trang 2
Khc, 39%
Thn kinh 8% H hp 7%
Gy m hi sc, 5%
Tiu ha, 9%
http://www.smes.vn Trang 3
CC YU T NH HNG TI NGNH DC
Ngnh Dc chu s qun l cht ch ca nh nc v gi bn Gi dc phm chim khong 5.4% trong cng thc tnh ch s CPI. Ch s gi thuc v dc phm (MPI) c xu hng tng gim kh ging nh gi tiu dng (CPI), tuy gi dc phm khng c s dao ng ln bng. Nm 2010, t l tng ca gi thuc (5%) thp hn hn so vi t l tng ca CPI do B Y t sit cht hn cc quy ch qun l gi thuc. 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 CPI MPI
Thuc ni
Thuc ngoi
`
Cui nm 2010, bin php d tr quc gia c thc hin nhm n nh gi thuc nm ti. Hin 3 cng ty nh nc tham gia k hoch d tr ny l Cty Dc phm TW1, Dc phm TW2 v TW3 ang c sn c trong kho khong t 3.000 - 3.500 mt hng thuc d tr. Vi mc tng CPI nm 2011 d tnh mc 7-8% v quy ch cht hn, mc tng gi thuc ca nm ti c nh nc d kin s duy tr mc 3-5%. Gi Nguyn ph liu tng t bin vo qu 4/2010
NPL tho dc
Hn 80% NPL ng dc ca VN nhp t Trung Quc, v vy tnh hnh tho dc ti Trung Quc nh hng ln ti cc DN sn xut ng dc. Gi mt s NPL tho dc t Trung Quc tng mnh nm 2010, c bit l cy hi bo ch Shikimic acid. Gi cy kim ngn hoa cho thuc ung th tng 26%, loi cht lng tt tng 200%. Khan him nguyn liu th, giao thng gin on do bo tuyt vo thng 11 v 12, v i dch cm H1N1 y gi NPL tho dc t Trung Quc tng cao. Trong th trng ni a, gi NPL kim tin tho tng 37.5% ln 11,000 VND/kg so vi nm 2009.
NPL Ty dc
Khng sinh, gim au v vitamin l nhng mt hng NPL c nhp khu nhiu nht. Nhn chung gi cc NPL kh n nh trong 3 qu u ca 2010, nhng cao dn ln vo qu cui. Nguyn nhn mt phn l do du tng gi cng vo thi im cui nm. Du th trn th gii gi gi trong khong 74-76 USD/thng trong 9 thng u nm, nhng bt 12% t 79 USD/thng (thng 10) ln 88.6 USD/thng vo thng 12. NPL dc chu nh hng gin tip, theo t l thun vi gi du th gii v trong nc. Trong nm 2008, khi gi du tng thm 30%, chi ph sn xut ca cc DN Dc tng 1.75% v gi thnh sn phm thm 2.68% (Tp ch khoa hc HQGHN). 9 thng u nm 2010, NPL khng sinh khng c nhiu bin ng. Nhng t thng 10, Cefaclor c gi tng t 4,255/kg ln 4,316 VND/kg, Sulfamethoxazol cng tng ln 198,000 VND/kg t gi 186,850 VND/kg ca thng 1 n thng 9. NPL ph bin nh Ampicilin v Amoxilin tng mnh 10.5% ln 693,000 VND/kg t 627,000 VND/kg. Mc tng NPL khng sinh kh rng, t 2-10% ty loi.
15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 Cefaclor Sulfamethoxazol Paracetamol Gi du 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
http://www.smes.vn Trang 5
Trong khi , gi NPL thuc gim au (Paracetamol) v vitamin C gim mnh (10% v 20%) trong 9 thng u nm, nhng cng tng mnh nht t thng 10/2010. Paracetamol tng t 68,000 ln 84,000/kg, vitamin C tng t 150,000 ln 210,000/kg. Gi NPL Vitamin v gim au tng trung bnh 20%. Cui nm 2010, 2 DN sn xut Vitamin NPL ln ca Trung Quc ng ca dn ti gi NPL Vitamin tng mnh vo qu 4/2010. Tnh hnh i dch cm H1N1 ang quay tr li, bo tuyt thng 11 v 12 lm tr tr kh nng vn chuyn ti Trung Quc, khan him nguyn liu th cng khin gi NPL t Trung Quc tng cao (40% NPL dc nhp t Trung Quc).
25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00 -5.00 -10.00 -15.00 -20.00 -25.00 -30.00 Vitamin B6 Vitamin B1 Vitamin C 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
http://www.smes.vn Trang 6
TRA
Traphaco
Khu vc min Bc c th phn ln nht (70% doanh thu), tip theo l khu vc min Trung.
im mnh ca Trafaco l ph sng ti tn tuyn x v tnh. Cng ty hin c 2 chi nhnh ti TPHCM v Nng v 34 i l c quyn.
Phn khc sn xut Ty dc Cc DN nh DHG, DHT, IMP, DHT, PMC tp trung sn xut khng sinh, vitamin v thc phm chc nng, gim au h st, cnh tranh cao trong phn khc v vi dc phm nhp khu. Cc cng ty c sn phm v a bn hot ng ging nhau (v d: DHG, IMP, PMC). Vi cc DN ny, quy m sn xut ln v h thng phn phi tri rng l nhng yu t quyt nh kh nng cnh tranh cao hay khng. Xt v quy m sn xut v h thng phn phi, DHG v IMP l cc DN mnh nht.
M DHG
Tn cng ty Dc Hu Giang
Sn phm chnh Mt hng c th phn ln nht l khng sinh, vitamin, gim au h st, tai mi hng. Khng sinh, vitamin, thc phm chc nng.
H thng phn phi Ln v hiu qu vi 7 cng ty phn phi ring, 43 i l, v 53 quy thuc ti cc bnh vin. Sn phm ca DHG c mt ti hu ht cc bnh vin trn ton quc. Cc nh phn phi c quyn cho IMP gm: Cty TNHH Dc phm Gia i, DP Long Giang, DP Quc t, DP Vnh Khang
IMP
Imexpharm
Khu vc B sng Cu Long v TP HCM l 2 a bn ln nht ca cng ty, chim 48% v 19% t trng doanh thu hng IMP.
http://www.smes.vn Trang 7
DHT
Dc H Ty
C mt trn 30 tnh thnh ca c nc. Ring ti a bn H Ty, cng ty c mng li ca hng n tt c cc x, phng. a bn tiu th ch lc l TP H Ch Minh v min Ty.
Phn phi sn phm qua cc cng ty dc khc: Cng ty c phn Dc phm Cn Gi, chi nhnh Dc TW2, TW3, cng ty Dc phm Nam H, Hi Phng. Cung cp sn phm cho cc cng ty kinh doanh dc phm (chim 63% doanh thu thun).
PMC
Pharmedic
DMC, MKP, SPM, DCL u c th mnh 1 mng sn phm nht nh. DMC l DN hng u Vit Nam v thuc tim mch v ni tit. MKP l nh sn xut nguyn ph liu khng sinh duy nht ti Vit Nam. DCL vi sn phm vin nang v SPM c sn phm ch lc l Vitamin. Cc DN ny tuy gp t cnh tranh hn vi cc DN trong nc nhng phi i mt vi cnh tranh rt ln t dc phm nc ngoi. im ng ch l sn phm ch lc ca MKP v DCL u l NPL cung cp cho cc cng ty dc khc. iu ny cng chng minh cng nghip ha dc trong nc cha pht trin nhng cc DN ny cng nhn c s h tr ln ca nh nc trong k hoch khuyn khch pht trin ngnh ha dc ti nm 2020.
M DMC
Tn cng ty Domesco
Sn phm chnh Nh sn xut hng u Vit Nam v thuc tim mch v ni tit. Trong , hot ng sn xut thuc l ch o chim ti 52% doanh thu. Kinh doanh chim 48% doanh thu. DN duy nht trong nc sn xut NPL khng sinh bn tng hp (Ampicilin trihydrat v Amoxicilin trihydrat) p ng cho cc cng ty dc khc. Sn phm Vitamin Myvita chim 21.9% th phn ni a. Vitamin l nhm sn phm mnh ca cng ty. Sn xut sn phm vin nang (NPL) cho cc DN Dc trong nc v xut khu, cung ng 40% nhu cu vim nang NPL cho th trng ni a.
a bn hot ng Th trng H Ni chim khong 25% th phn, th trng thnh ph H Ch Minh chim khong 60%.
H thng phn phi Sn phm ca Domesco c tiu th trn khp c nc v xut khu sang Japan, HongKong, Lao, Campuchia, Philippine.
MKP
Mekophar
Khu vc TP HCM, H Ni v khu vc min Bc l 2 khu vc trng im vi 50% v 21% tng DT thun.
S dng h thng phn phi ca cc cng ty Dc phm TW, a phng v BV trn ton quc
SPM
S.P.M
Cng ty TNHH Dc Phm Thnh c quyn chu trch nhim phn phi ti cc hiu thuc v BV ti TP HCM v H Ni.
DCL
Dc Cu Long
Phn phi trc tip sn phm Capsule v NPL sn xut tn dc cho cc x nghip trong nc. Phn phi cho cc BV ch yu trn a bn TP H Ch Minh, Ty Nam B, B sng Cu Long
http://www.smes.vn Trang 8
`
Phn ngnh kinh doanh, phn phi Trong s cc cng ty nim yt, Vimedimex (VMD) l DN dn u phn khc ny v doanh thu (5645 t VN). Cc DN trong phn ngnh ny c c im chung l li nhun chim t trng rt nh trong doanh thu ca doanh nghip (LNST ca VMD chim 3-4% doanh thu), do ch yu l nhp khu y thc cho DN nc ngoi v kinh doanh.
M DBT
Tn cng ty Bn Tre
Hot ng chnh Kinh doanh thuc nhp khu t nc ngoi v thuc trong nc
a bn hot ng Th trng min Nam (chim khong 75% tng DT). Th trng Bn Tre DT chim khong 45% tng DT hng nm. Rng khp, c bit l khu vc H Ni, Hi Phng v khu vc ng bng sng Cu Long, TP H Ch Minh
H thng phn phi Cng ty c mng li phn phi ring vi 4 chi nhnh ln ti H Ni, Nng, Nha Trang, v TPHCM. Ring ti Bn Tre, Cty c 22 hiu thuc ti tt c 7 huyn v th x. 3 trung tm phn phi chnh ti HN, TPHCM, Nng, 21 chi nhnh ti cc tnh ln, 14 i l cp 1 ti cc tnh cn li. Sn phm c mt ti 18.000 nh thuc, bnh vin, phng khm
DVD
Vin ng
Chuyn mua bn quyn dc phm sau thu cc DN trong nc v nc ngoi sn xut (thng hiu Lily of France). Ni bt: Khng sinh Vidorigyl v Vidorovacyn, B gan Vidocenol. Kinh doanh hn 1000 chng loi thuc nhp khu v sn xut trong nc. 77% hng kinh doanh l ca cc DN khc. Chuyn xut nhp khu, y thc v phn phi Dc phm, NPL, thit b y t v ha cht xt nghim (90% doanh thu).
LDP
Dc Lm ng
Tnh Lm ng (cc nh thuc, c quan, bnh vin v trung tm y t huyn th trong tnh Ch yu pha Nam v Ty Nam B: TP HCM, Bnh Dng, Cn Th, Ty Ninh, ..., pha Bc c H Ni.
Cng ty hin c 3 chi nhnh ti H Ni, TP HCM, v Bo Lc, thc hin phn phi cho cc i l, siu th, hiu thuc, v bnh vin trn ton quc. C h thng phn phi nh thuc ring. Ngoi ra, cng ty u thu mua sm TBYT, tn dc ca cac BV. BV 115, Ch Ry, BV i hc Y TPHCM
VMD
Vimedimex
Cc cng ty kinh doanh, nhp khu v phn phi thuc - Ngun: DBT, DVD, LDP, VMD
http://www.smes.vn Trang 9
OPC TRA
OPC Traphaco
-0.2% 29.3%
108% 95.5%
126% 146%
Phn khc sn xut Ty dc Tr DMC, hu ht cc DN u t k hoch ra cho nm 2010. DN sn xut Ty dc tng trng doanh thu trung bnh 18-20%, LNST tng 20-25%. Trong , S.P.M c tng trng LNST n tng nht, 109% so vi nm 2009 nh 68 t li nhun t bn bt ng sn, gp vn d n v kinh doanh mt hng khc.
M Cng ty Tng trng Doanh thu 2010 17% 16% 22% -2% 38% 37% Tng trng LNST 2010 % K hoch Doanh thu % K hoch LNST
http://www.smes.vn Trang 10
`
Phn ngnh kinh doanh
Trong s cc DN kinh doanh, VMD trong khi li c mc gim LNST nhiu nht, 50%. Trong khi , LDP c mc tng trng n nh nht c v doanh thu v LNST (28% v 24%) v vt k hoch nhiu nht vi 143% doanh thu v 165% LNST k hoch. VMD l s t cc DN khng t d kin.
M Cng ty Tng trng Doanh thu 2010 3% 28% 11% Tng trng LNST 2010 % K hoch Doanh thu % K hoch LNST
Gi NPL tng dn ti suy gim li nhun gp ca cc doanh nghip sn xut, c bit l phn khc sn xut Ty dc C th thy t l gi vn bn hng trong doanh thu ca cc DN sn xut ng dc v Ty dc t khong 50% -70%. Do ch ng hn v ngun nguyn ph liu, cc DN sn xut ng dc t (hu nh khng) b nh hng bi tng gi NPL hn so vi DN sn xut Ty dc. Phn khc sn xut ng dc Gi kim tin tho, NPL ng dc tng nhng gi vn bn hng ca OPC v TRA u gim so vi nm 2009 (12% v 2%), theo , t l li nhun gp tng 11% v 2% tng ng. Nh vy NPL ng dc tng gi khng c nh hng ln ti tng trng li nhun gp ca 2 DN. Tuy nhin, vi t l gi vn bn hng thp hn v t l li gp cao hn, OPC hiu qu hn TRA trong qun l ngun NPL.
M Cng ty Gi vn bn hng/doanh thu 2010 51% 70% Li gp so vi 2009 T l li gp 2010 T l li gp so vi 2009
OPC TRA
OPC Traphaco
11% 22%
48% 31%
11% 2%
Phn khc sn xut Ty dc Nhn chung, cc DN sn xut Ty Dc c t l li gp nm 2010 kh cao, trung bnh 25-28%. Tuy nhin, so vi nm 2009, t l li gp ca cc DN c xu hng gim, c bit l cc DN sn xut khng sinh nhiu nh MKP (gim 4%) v SPM (5%) do gi NPL khng sinh v Vitamin tng mnh cui nm.
http://www.smes.vn Trang 11
Cng ty
Li gp so vi 2009
T l li gp 2010
T l li gp so vi 2009
Gi thuc thnh phm nhp khu tng dn ti suy gim mnh li nhun gp ca cc doanh nghip kinh doanh Thuc ngoi nm 2010 tng trung bnh 6%, DN b nh hng mnh nht l VMD vi t l gi vn bn hng tng 8% v t l li gp gim 8% so vi nm 2009.
M Cng ty Gi vn bn hng/doanh thu 2010 78.4% 84% 98% Li gp so vi 2009 T l li gp 2010 T l li gp so vi 2009
9% 35% -81%
22% 16.1% 2%
Cng ty
H s n
T l vay di hn 11.6% -
OPC TRA
OPC Traphaco
0.23 0.4
http://www.smes.vn Trang 12
`
DHG IMP DCL DMC MKP SPM Dc Hu Giang Imexpharm Dc Cu Long Domesco Mekophar S.P.M 0.28 0.21 0.62 0.29 0.19 0.39 0.8% 1.9% 36.4% 14.8% 9.2% 9.6% 3.1% 1.38 1.27 2.63 1.4 1.24 1.64
Bin ng t gi v li sut nh hng mnh nht ti cc DN kinh doanh v phn phi Vi t gi tng v li sut u tng khong 5% nm 2010, chi ph ti chnh ca cc DN sn xut tng tuy nhin t l LNST khng gim nhiu. C s phn ha r rt trong nh hng ca bin ng t gi v li sut n cc DN.
16% 8% 19%
http://www.smes.vn Trang 13
1% 5% 2% 0.8% 3.8%
11% 8% 8% 8% 37%
7% 0.2% 3%
http://www.smes.vn Trang 14
`
C tc ca cc doanh nghip dc tng i cao v n nh Cc DN Dc nhn chung c kh nng chi tr c tc kh u v cao hn so vi mt bng chung.
M DBT DCL DHG DVD IMP LDP MKP OPC PMC SPM TRA VMD
C tc 2010 t 1: 10% tin mt, t 2: 10% tin mt, t3: 10% tin mt t 1: 15% tin mt, t 2: 10% tin mt t 1: 10% tin mt, t 2: 5% tin mt, t 3: 10% tin mt 25% tin mt t 1: 20% tin mt, t 2: bn u i 10:2, gi 20,000/cp 10% tin mt 6% tin mt t 1: 10% tin mt; t 2: 10% tin mt t 1: 5% tin mt, t 2: 2.8% tin mt 10.71% tin mt t 1/2011: 20% tin mt; 2010: c tc bng c phiu 5:1 9% tin mt
http://www.smes.vn Trang 15
DHT
Dc H Ty
Thay i nng sut trong phn khc ng dc Ngun: OPC, DHT, 2010
M IMP
Cng ty Imexpharm Nm 2010, Nh my Cephalosporine Bnh Dng sn xut thuc khng sinh dng lng i vo chy th. Khi nh my c a vo hot ng chnh thc, c tnh s mang li khong 200 t ng doanh thu. Hin IMP ang u t xy dng dy chuyn thuc tim Peni ti KCN VN Singapore, Hi Phng. Nh my mi Non Beta-Lactam d kin s hon thnh vo qu 2/ 2011 vi cng sut 4 t n v sn phm, gm 2 khu: Khu 1 c cng sut 2,5 t n v sn phm - theo tiu chun GMP WHO, khu 2 c cng sut 1,5 t n v sn phm - theo tiu chun GMP EU. D kin s gp khong 1 t dn v sn phm vo sn lng ca DHG nu t ht cng sut. Nh my sn xut vin nang Capsule II v Nh my sn xut khng sinh th h mi bt u i vo hot ng nm 2010. Nh my Capsule II chuyn sn xut v nang rng capsule, cng sut 2,25 t vin/nm v Nh my sn xut thuc khng sinh nhm Cephalosporin vi gi tr sn lng 500 t ng/nm. Hai nh my vi nng sut hot ng nm u cha cao do ang trong giai on chy th, vn s gp phn ci thin doanh thu DCL
DHG
Dc Hu Giang
DCL
Dc Cu Long
http://www.smes.vn Trang 16
`
DMC Domesco Ngy 9/8/2010, khnh thnh Cm Cng Nghip Dc k thut cao DOMESCO giai on 1 ti ng Thp. D n pht trin Cm Cng nghip Dc k thut cao c xy dng trn tng din tch l 111.320m2, gm Khu nh my thuc Ha Dc Non-betalactam; nh my thuc Ha Dc betalactam; khu sn xut Dc liu; khu sn xut cc ch phm.
AMV
Thit b y t Vit M
D n nh my sn xut dc v thit b y t ti Bnh Dng c khi cng vo gia nm 2010. y l nh my chuyn sn xut sinh phm chn on nh tnh phc v cho xt nghim HIV, vim gan B, lao t tiu chun GPM.
Thay i nng sut trong phn khc Ty dc Ngun: IMP, DHG, DCL, DMC, AMV
Mc cnh tranh trong ngnh s tip tc tng Phn khc sn xut ng dc Nm 2010, Danapha gia nhp 5 DN ng dc c nh my t chun GMP. Hu ht cc c s cn li khng iu kin chuyn i vi hn cui nm 2010, v c nguy c s phi gii th. Nhn v gc cnh tranh, y l tn hiu tt cho cc DN ng dc ln, t chun. Nu B Y t khng thay i cc tiu chun GMP cho ph hp vi c th ngnh sn xut ng dc v li thi hn p dng GMP n nm 2015, phn khc ny s c nhiu thay i trong nm ti. Hn 400 n v sn xut nh t nhn s b gii th hoc chuyn i sn xut cho 5 DN t chun. Gim s lng DN nhng quy m sn xut s ln hn s khin cho cnh tranh trong ngnh khng km phn gay gt. Phn khc sn xut Ty dc Hin nay, ngnh dc ang c Nh nc u t xy dng n "Quy hoch chi tit pht trin Cng nghip Dc VN giai on n nm 2015 v tm nhn n nm 2020" nhm quy hoch, phn b cc nh my sn xut thuc trong nc theo hng khuyn khch sn xut thuc ph thng gim gi thnh sn phm v u tin cung ng cho h thng c s khm cha bnh cng lp. Nh nc ch trng tng ngun cung ng thuc cn bng cung - cu th trng dc phm bng vic tng s lng doanh nghip nc ngoi kinh doanh thuc 8,38% ln 540 DN, cng c ngun nguyn liu dc ti VN v tng cht lng, s lng thuc sn xut trong nc.... 5 nm k t khi gia nhp WTO, nm 2011-2012, thu nhp khu bnh qun i vi dc phm gim t 5% ch cn 2,5% s lm gia tng thm t 10-20% u thuc nc ngoi ng k ti VN. Vi cc chnh sch ny c a vo hot ng, s cnh tranh v pht trin ca phn khc sn xut v kinh doanh thuc ph thng s cng tng (do tng doanh nghip cnh tranh, gi c, v s lng thuc). V vy, nhiu DN ang chuyn hng kinh doanh, tp trung hn vo thuc c tr (c t l li cao hn). Bin ng v NPL, t gi v li sut Gi du tip tc leo thang, v d kin s t trung bnh 100-110 USD/thng trong nm 2011, tng 16% so vi mc trung bnh 75-80 USD/thng trong nm 2010. Cng thm vi thiu ngun NPL, bnh dch, v nhu cu ngy cng cao, gi NPL th gii ni chung v NPL dc ni ring s c xu hng tng. nh hng ca tng gi NPL qu 4/2010 s th hin r hn kt qu HKD ca qu 2/2011, do t l d tr ca cc DN kh ln trc dp ngh l m lch. T gi trong nm 2011 iu chnh tng 9.3% trong thng 2/2011, VND b ph gi tuy nhin khng nh hng tiu cc ti ngnh v li nhun ca cc DN do nhiu DN phi s dng USD vi t gi t do t trc nhp khu. D kin trong nm 2011, s kh c mt t iu chnh th 2, t gi USD trn th trng t do v chnh thc cng tin li gn hn sau n lc ca chnh ph. V vy, t gi khng phi l ni lo ln cho DN trong nm 2011.
http://www.smes.vn Trang 17
Trong thng 3/2011, li sut cho vay ngn hn phc v nhu cu sn xut -kinh doanh c nim yt mc 12% mt nm tng ng 2010, theo bo co ca Ngn hng Nh nc. Li sut cho vay tha thun theo c ch mi dao ng 12-14% i vi nhm ngn hng thng mi nh nc v khong 15-17% i vi nhm c phn. Li sut cho vay USD t bin ng hn. Cha c thng tin mi v kh nng tng li sut trong cc thng cn li ca nm 2011. Nu li sut tng, mt s doanh nghip vay ngn hn hoc di hn u t nh my c th s c chi ph ti chnh tng t bin nh DCL, DMC, LNST ca cc DN kinh doanh cng s b nh hng mnh. 4% tng li sut dn ti 33% gim LNST ca DCL v 55% vi VMD trong nm 2010. Gi xng tng ln 19,300 VND trong thng 2 s ko theo t l lm pht trong thng 3 v 4. Mt lot cc mt hng thit yu s tng gi, trong c dc phm. Tuy chu s kim sot ca nh nc, gi dc phm s phi tng t nht 5-10% theo tng ca CPI. Gi bn tng cng sn lng tng s b cho pht sinh chi ph ti chnh v gi vn bn hng, bo m li nhun tng trng n inh.
http://www.smes.vn Trang 18
KHUYN NGH U T
Cc doanh nghip ngnh Dc nhn chung c quy m vn ha nh, ngoi tr DHG, u di 1000 t, khng ng gp nhiu vo t trng VN-Index. Nm trong phn ngnh c tnh cnh tranh cao c trong v ngoi nc, li c % R&D (Nghin cu & Pht trin) thp nn tng trng a phn nh vo tng trng c hc hn l t ph v sn phm mi c gi tr ln. u im ca ngnh dc l c hng li t qu trnh tng trng chung ca nn kinh t vi xut pht im thp v s bo h ca Nh nc nh mt nhm ngnh thit yu quan trng. Ngnh Dc khng ph hp vi Nh u t lt sng ngn hn do thanh khon khng n nh, thp hn trung bnh nhiu ngnh ch cht khc, v quan trng hn l thiu thng tin t bin. Trong nhng giai on th trng iu chnh mnh, ngnh CP ngnh dc cng suy gim t hn nn cng khng c nhiu c hi bt mnh nh cc ngnh mang tnh cht chu k khc. Ngnh Dc ph hp hn i vi NT gi tr, nm gi trung v di hn do dng tin tng i n nh v c tc cao. Trong nhm ngnh dc, chng ti khuyn ngh NT tp trung vo cc cng ty thin v sn xut (hn l phn phi) vi cc dng sn phm c cht lng R&D cao, thin v thuc c tr c kh nng thay th thuc ngoi nhp, v h thng phn phi mnh c bn bun v bn l. y cng thng l cc cng ty c quy m ln nht trong ngnh vi tim lc ti chnh di do, c kh nng lin tc ti u t, m rng nng lc cnh tranh trong tng lai. Mt s doanh nghip NT c th tham kho nh:
TRA Sn phm chnh Kh nng t ch NPL cao Sn xut ng dc C ngun cung cp nguyn liu ti Sapa, hin t p ng 30% nhu cu NPL DHG Sn xut Ty dc 80% NPL chnh l nhp khu SPM Sn xut Ty dc NPL chim 60-70% gi thnh sn phm Thng 5/2009, nh my mi theo tiu chun C-GMP vi vn u t 180 t ng c a vo hot ng, d tnh c th t ti a cng sut nm 2011-2012 Sn phm Myvita xut khu sang cc nc M, Nga, Malaysia, bt u c th phn ti y. 601 54,500 VND 10% 5,978 VND u t di hn
Hin ang xy dng nh my sn xut thuc ng dc GMP ti Hng Yn vi din tch trn 31.000m2, tng vn u t 70 t ng.
Ti tn tuyn x, huyn
Nh my mi Non BetaLactam d kin s hon thnh vo qu 2/ 2011 vi cng sut 4 t n v sn phm. Ln v hiu qu vi 7 cng ty phn phi ring, 43 i l, v 53 quy thuc ti cc bnh vin. 1,220 114,000 VND 10% 14,608 VND u t di hn
http://www.smes.vn Trang 19
Sn xut ng dc OPC Doanh thu (T VND) % tng trng Gi vn bn hng (T VND) % doanh thu Li gp (T VND) T l li gp EBIT (T VND) % doanh thu LNST (T VND) T l LNST 313.8 -16% -162.1 51.66% 151.6 48.31% 63.6 20.27% 49.3 16% TRA 859 14.99% -596.5 69.44% 262.4 30.55% 91 10.59% 66 8% DHG 2035.7 17% -1006.7 49.45% 1029.1 51% 436.1 21.42% 381.1 19% IMP 764 16%
Sn xut Ty dc DMC 1043 -2% -728.3 69.83% 314.7 30% 113.3 2.33% 81.9 8% SPM 349.7 37% -231 66.06% 118.6 34% 146.6 41.92% 130.4 37% DCL 701.5 22% -555.8 79.23% 145.6 21% 58.9 8.40% 55.6 8% MKP 894.7 38% -709.6 79.31% 185.1 21% 89.6 10.01% 70 8%
Sn xut khc AMV 10.2 82% -5.4 52.94% 4.7 46% 2 19.61% 1.9 19% MKV 33 21% -20 60.61% 13 39% 1.9 5.76% 1.6 5%
Kinh doanh v phn phi LDP 279 28% -234 83.87% 45.1 16.1% 24.3 8.71% 18.6 7% VMD 5645.6 11% -5551.8 98.34% 93.9 2% 11.8 0.21% 12.4 0% DBT 433.7 3% -340 78.40% 93.7 22% 3.6 0.83% 11 3%
K hoch Doanh thu 2010 (T VND) % k hoch K hoch LNST 2010 (T VND) % k hoch
9 113.33% 3 63.33%
http://www.smes.vn Trang 20
Sn xut ng dc OPC Tng ti sn (T VND) 379.28 TRA 579.3 DHG 1685.18 IMP
Kinh doanh v phn phi LDP 120.87 VMD 2578.23 DBT 214.23
750.75
Hng tn kho
Tng n (T VND)
103.88
86.58
185.94
229.77
328.13
465.11
172.87
161.14
199.46
219.81
26.3
385.06
198.31
531.29
208.15
98.44
4.55
5.77
5.89
10.91
55.14
69.52
278.59
2449.30
85.29
140.90
11.61%
292.70
14.86% 349.53
0.76% 1220.07
1.95% 589.61
14.8% 3.1%
545.63 0.29 1.40 4.03 2.76 24,300 5,072 4.8 0.8
9.23% 601.20
36.44% 9.57%
325.89
413.87
7.21% 24.73
23.18% 2.20%
12.68
56.11% 120.87
9.75% 0.02%
128.93
34.57% 1.48%
73.33
H s n n by ti chnh
ROE (%) ROA (%) Gi (28.02.2011) EPS (c bn) PE PB Beta
0.23 1.30
17.65 13.06 34,800 6,031 5.77 0.99 1.09
0.40 1.66
21.60 13.45 50,000 5,672 8.82 1.85 0.75
0.28 1.38
32.77 22.96 114,000 14,608 7.80 2.62 0.33
0.21 1.27
14.21 10.86 48,900 7,372 6.63 0.99 0.68
0.39 1.64
30.91 17.81 54,500 5,978 9.12 1.36 0.23
0.62 2.63
17.61 7.49 28,500 5,953 4.79 0.91 0.82
0.19 1.24
17.43 14.60 47,300 7,750 6.10 1.07 0.40
0.19 1.23
16.85 16.12 12,700 155 81.94 1.18 1.86
0.46 1.86
26.22 14.89 21,900 1,566 13.98 1.78 0.48
0.58 1.58
99.85 44.37 38,800 9,560 4.06 1.49 0.49
0.95 20.00
24.57 1.08 26,700 14,100 8.04 1.41 0.50
0.66 2.92
31.43 8.27 24,000 3,465 6.93 0.98 0.48
0.86
http://www.smes.vn Trang 21
TR S CHNH: 39 Ng Quyn, Hon Kim, H Ni Tel: (84-4) 22205678 (ext: 408) Fax: (84-4) 22205680 Email: research@sme.vn Website: http://www.smes.vn
CHI NHNH TP. HCM: 11 Trn Quc Tho, Qun 3, HCM Tel: (84-8) 39308708 Fax: (84-8) 39308707 Email: research@sme.vn Website: http://www.smes.vn
* Tt c nhng thng tin nu trong bo co phn tch ny c xem xt cn trng, tuy nhin Cng ty C phn Chng khon SME (SMES) khng chu bt k mt trch nhim no i vi tnh chnh xc ca nhng thng tin c cp n trong bo co. Mi quan im cng nh nhn nh phn tch trong bn tin cng c th c thay i m khng cn bo trc. Bo co ch nhm mc tiu cung cp thng tin m khng hm khuyn co ngi c mua, bn hay nm gi chng khon. Ngi c ch nn s dng bo co phn tch ny nh mt ngun thng tin tham kho SMES c th c nhng hot ng hp tc kinh doanh vi cc i tng c cp n trong bo co. Ngi c cn lu rng SMES c th c nhng xung t li ch i vi cc nh u t khi thc hin bo co phn tch ny Bo co ny c bn quyn v l ti sn ca Cng ty C phn Chng khon SME (SMES). Mi hnh vi sao chp, sa i, in n m khng c s ng ca SMES u tri lut. Bn quyn thuc Cng ty C phn Chng khon SME, 2010
http://www.smes.vn