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IL 08 Survey Results

Q1

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion


of your member of Congress, Rep. Joe Walsh?

Q6

Favorable................39% Not sure ..................17%


Unfavorable ............44%

Q2

More likely....................................................... 29%

Do you support reelecting Republican Joe


Walsh to Congress or would you vote for
someone else?

Less likely ....................................................... 53%


No difference ................................................. 15%

Support reelecting Walsh................................ 39%


Someone else................................................. 51%

Not sure .......................................................... 3%

Q7

Not sure .......................................................... 10%

Q3

Q4

Q5

If your member of Congress voted to extend


the Bush tax cuts for millionaires, would that
make you more likely or less likely to vote for
them, or would it make no difference?

If the election were held today, and the


candidates were Republican Joe Walsh and
Democrat Tammy Duckworth, who would you
vote for?

If your member of Congress was supported by


the Tea Party, would that make you more likely
or less likely to vote for them, or would it make
no difference?
More likely....................................................... 31%
Less likely ....................................................... 46%

Walsh.............................................................. 41%

No difference .................................................. 21%

Duckworth....................................................... 50%

Not sure .......................................................... 2%

Not sure .......................................................... 9%


If your member of Congress opposed abortion,
even in cases of incest and rape or when the
health of the woman was in danger, would that
make you more likely or less likely to vote for
them, or would it make no difference?

Q8

If your member of Congress spent years in


court fighting against his wife who was suing
him for delinquent child support payments,
would that make you more likely or less likely
to vote for them, or would it make no
difference?

More likely....................................................... 24%

More likely....................................................... 11%

Less likely ...................................................... 33%

Less likely ....................................................... 52%

No difference .................................................. 40%

No difference .................................................. 34%

Not sure .......................................................... 3%

Not sure .......................................................... 4%

If your member of Congress voted for Rep.


Paul Ryans budget that would make cuts to
Medicare benefits, would that make you more
likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it
make no difference?

Q9

If your member of Congress said that the


reason President Obama was elected was
because he was Black, would that make you
more likely or less likely to vote for them, or
would it make no difference?

More Likely ..................................................... 30%

More likely....................................................... 10%

Less Likely ...................................................... 52%

Less likely ....................................................... 51%

No difference .................................................. 14%

No difference .................................................. 37%

Not sure .......................................................... 5%

Not sure .......................................................... 2%

August 13-14, 2012


Survey of 500 IL-8 voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Q10 If your member of Congress said that veterans


who speak publicly about their service are not
true heroes, would that make you more likely or
less likely to vote for them, or would it make no
difference?

Q13 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If


African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.
Hispanic .......................................................... 8%
White .............................................................. 77%

More likely....................................................... 10%

African-American ............................................ 3%

Less likely ....................................................... 52%

Other............................................................... 11%

No difference .................................................. 34%


Not sure .......................................................... 4%

Q11 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.


Woman ........................................................... 52%
Man................................................................. 48%

Q14 If you are 18-45 years old, press 1. If 46-65,


press 2. If older than 65, press 3.
18-45 .............................................................. 28%
46-65 .............................................................. 52%
Older than 65 .................................................. 20%

Q12 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,


press 2. If an independent, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 30%
Republican...................................................... 31%
Independent.................................................... 39%

August 13-14, 2012


Survey of 500 IL-8 voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender
Base Wom an

Gender

Man

Walsh Favorability

Base Wom an

Man

Walsh v. Som eone


Else

Favorable 39%

35%

43%

Unfavorable 44%

45%

44%

Support reelecting 39%


Walsh

37%

41%

Not sure 17%

20%

13%

Som eone else 51%

51%

51%

Not sure 10%

12%

8%

Gender

Gender
Base Wom an

Man

Walsh/Duckw orth

Base Wom an

Man

Opposed Abortion

Walsh 41%

39%

44%

More likely 24%

26%

21%

Duckw orth 50%

51%

49%

Less likely 33%

31%

35%

10%

7%

No difference 40%

37%

43%

Not sure

5%

1%

Not sure

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

9%

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender

Gender
Base Wom an

Man

Voted for Ryan


Budget
More Likely 30%

27%

32%

Less Likely 52%

52%

52%

No difference 14%

13%

14%

Not sure

5%

8%

2%

Base Wom an
Voted to extend
Bush tax cuts for
m illionaires
More likely 29%

26%

32%

Less likely 53%

53%

53%

No difference 15%

17%

13%

Not sure

5%

2%

3%

Gender
Base Wom an

Man

Gender
Man

Supported by Tea
Party

Base Wom an

Man

Fighting against
paying child support

More likely 31%

27%

35%

More likely 11%

11%

11%

Less likely 46%

48%

44%

Less likely 52%

53%

50%

No difference 21%

21%

21%

No difference 34%

31%

37%

Not sure

4%

1%

Not sure

5%

2%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

2%

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Gender
Base Wom an

Gender
Man

Base Wom an

Said Obam a elected


because he w as
black

Man

Said vets w ho speak


publicly are not true
heroes

More likely 10%

7%

15%

More likely 10%

9%

11%

Less likely 51%

50%

51%

Less likely 52%

52%

52%

No difference 37%

42%

32%

No difference 34%

32%

36%

Not sure

1%

2%

Not sure

7%

1%

2%

4%

Party

Party

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Walsh Favorability

Walsh v. Som eone


Else

Favorable 39%

10%

75%

32%

Unfavorable 44%

73%

11%

49%

Support reelecting 39%


Walsh

7%

79%

32%

Not sure 17%

17%

14%

19%

Som eone else 51%

82%

14%

57%

Not sure 10%

11%

7%

11%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party

Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent
Walsh/Duckw orth
Walsh 41%

8%

84%

33%

Duckw orth 50%

86%

12%

6%

4%

Not sure

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Opposed Abortion

9%

More likely 24%

11%

41%

20%

53%

Less likely 33%

50%

20%

30%

15%

No difference 40%

34%

36%

47%

Not sure

4%

4%

3%

3%

Party

Party

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Voted for Ryan
Budget
More Likely 30%

14%

51%

25%

Less Likely 52%

75%

23%

56%

No difference 14%

5%

21%

15%

Not sure

6%

5%

4%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

5%

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Voted to extend
Bush tax cuts for
m illionaires
More likely 29%

14%

50%

24%

Less likely 53%

77%

24%

58%

No difference 15%

6%

23%

15%

Not sure

3%

3%

4%

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Party

Party

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Supported by Tea
Party

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Fighting against
paying child support

More likely 31%

11%

60%

24%

More likely 11%

13%

14%

6%

Less likely 46%

75%

14%

48%

Less likely 52%

67%

36%

52%

No difference 21%

10%

25%

26%

No difference 34%

19%

43%

39%

Not sure

4%

1%

3%

Not sure

1%

7%

3%

2%

4%

Party

Party

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Said Obam a elected
because he w as
black

Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent


Said vets w ho speak
publicly are not true
heroes

More likely 10%

8%

19%

6%

More likely 10%

9%

16%

6%

Less likely 51%

69%

33%

51%

Less likely 52%

68%

40%

49%

No difference 37%

22%

46%

42%

No difference 34%

19%

38%

42%

Not sure

2%

2%

1%

Not sure

4%

6%

3%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

2%

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Race

Race
AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Walsh Favorability

Walsh v. Som eone


Else

Favorable 39%

37%

39%

15%

42%

Unfavorable 44%

49%

45%

48%

33%

Support reelecting 39%


Walsh

35%

40%

12%

45%

Not sure 17%

13%

15%

37%

24%

Som eone else 51%

52%

51%

60%

48%

Not sure 10%

13%

9%

28%

7%

Race

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Walsh/Duckw orth

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Opposed Abortion

Walsh 41%

40%

43%

12%

39%

More likely 24%

22%

24%

10%

28%

Duckw orth 50%

55%

49%

80%

46%

Less likely 33%

23%

36%

24%

21%

5%

8%

7%

15%

No difference 40%

55%

37%

48%

49%

Not sure

3%

18%

3%

Not sure

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

9%

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Race

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Voted for Ryan
Budget
More Likely 30%

33%

31%

15%

26%

Less Likely 52%

46%

52%

55%

55%

No difference 14%

15%

13%

15%

15%

Not sure

5%

6%

5%

15%

4%

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Voted to extend
Bush tax cuts for
m illionaires
More likely 29%

37%

29%

22%

21%

Less likely 53%

43%

54%

70%

51%

No difference 15%

19%

14%

20%

Not sure

3%

3%

Race

7%

7%

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Supported by Tea
Party

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Fighting against
paying child support

More likely 31%

43%

32%

15%

19%

More likely 11%

23%

9%

15%

10%

Less likely 46%

40%

45%

70%

46%

Less likely 52%

37%

54%

75%

39%

No difference 21%

16%

20%

7%

35%

No difference 34%

36%

33%

10%

47%

Not sure

3%

7%

Not sure

3%

4%

4%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

2%

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Race

Race

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Said Obam a elected
because he w as
black

AfricanBase Hispanic White Am erican Other


Said vets w ho speak
publicly are not true
heroes

More likely 10%

10%

11%

3%

7%

More likely 10%

13%

10%

20%

4%

Less likely 51%

41%

52%

54%

43%

Less likely 52%

40%

55%

49%

37%

No difference 37%

46%

35%

36%

50%

No difference 34%

44%

30%

18%

59%

Not sure

3%

1%

7%

Not sure

3%

5%

13%

2%

4%

Age

Age

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Walsh Favorability

Walsh v. Som eone


Else

Favorable 39%

39%

38%

41%

Unfavorable 44%

41%

46%

44%

Support reelecting 39%


Walsh

41%

36%

43%

Not sure 17%

20%

16%

15%

Som eone else 51%

49%

53%

48%

Not sure 10%

10%

10%

9%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age

Age

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Walsh/Duckw orth

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Opposed Abortion

Walsh 41%

41%

40%

45%

More likely 24%

25%

22%

25%

Duckw orth 50%

48%

52%

48%

Less likely 33%

30%

33%

37%

11%

8%

7%

No difference 40%

45%

40%

32%

Not sure

4%

7%

Not sure

9%

3%

Age

Age

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Voted for Ryan
Budget
More Likely 30%

35%

25%

34%

Less Likely 52%

46%

54%

53%

No difference 14%

14%

15%

10%

Not sure

4%

6%

3%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

5%

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Voted to extend
Bush tax cuts for
m illionaires
More likely 29%

31%

24%

38%

Less likely 53%

46%

59%

49%

No difference 15%

20%

13%

11%

Not sure

3%

4%

3%

3%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Crosstabs

Age

Age

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Supported by Tea
Party

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Fighting against
paying child support

More likely 31%

32%

28%

37%

More likely 11%

16%

8%

11%

Less likely 46%

42%

48%

43%

Less likely 52%

39%

57%

55%

No difference 21%

23%

21%

17%

No difference 34%

41%

33%

26%

Not sure

3%

2%

2%

Not sure

4%

2%

7%

2%

4%

Age

Age

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Said Obam a elected
because he w as
black

Older
Base 18-45 46-65 than 65
Said vets w ho speak
publicly are not true
heroes

More likely 10%

14%

8%

12%

More likely 10%

14%

7%

11%

Less likely 51%

46%

53%

49%

Less likely 52%

45%

57%

49%

No difference 37%

39%

36%

37%

No difference 34%

38%

33%

32%

Not sure

2%

2%

Not sure

3%

4%

7%

August 13-14, 2012


survey of 500 IL-8 voters

2%

4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.


Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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