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Nordic Outlook:Monetary stimulus is reducing downside risks

Nordic Outlook:Monetary stimulus is reducing downside risks

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Published by SEB Group
During the next couple of years, growth in the 34 countries that form the OECD will be lacklustre, but the risks of a deep recession have diminished, SEB’s economists write in the latest issue of Nordic Outlook.
During the next couple of years, growth in the 34 countries that form the OECD will be lacklustre, but the risks of a deep recession have diminished, SEB’s economists write in the latest issue of Nordic Outlook.

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Published by: SEB Group on Aug 28, 2012
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12/30/2013

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Increased monetary stimulusreducing downside risksNordic resilience, but in varyingdegrees
Nordic Outlook
Economic Research – August 2012
 
Contents
Nordic Outlook – August 2012 | 3
International overview 5Theme: The central bank toolkit 14The United States 16Japan 20Asia 21The euro zone 24The United Kingdom 29Eastern Europe 30The Baltics 31Sweden 33Denmark 39Norway 41Finland 44Economic data 46
Boxes
The roadmap to a euro zone political union 8More symmetrical risks 9Negative interest rates in practice 11Participation rate important to the Fed 18China boosting tensions in vicinity 22Growing mutual dependence in the euro zone 26Credit situation slowly thawing 30GDP overestimated in the second quarter 34The exchange rate and ination 36Currency interventions a possible tool i kronacontinues to strengthen 36Krona still reasonably valued 38 
 
4 | Nordic Outlook August 2012Economic Research
This report was published on August 28, 2012.Cut-o date or calculations and orecasts was August 23, 2012.Robert Bergqvist Håkan FrisénChie Economist Head o Economic Research+ 46 8 506 230 16 + 46 8 763 80 67Daniel Bergvall Mattias BruérEconomist Economist+46 8 763 85 94 + 46 8 763 85 06Ann Enshagen Lavebrink Mikael JohanssonEditorial Assistant Economist+ 46 8 763 80 77 + 46 8 763 80 93Andreas Johnson Tomas LindströmEconomist Economist+46 8 763 80 32 + 46 8 763 80 28Gunilla Nyström Ingela HemmingGlobal Head o Personal Finance Research Global Head o Small Business Research+ 46 8 763 65 81 + 46 8 763 82 97Susanne Eliasson Johanna WahlstenPersonal Finance Analyst Small Business Analyst+ 46 8 763 65 88 + 46 8 763 80 72SEB Economic Research, K-A3, SE-106 40 StockholmContributions to this report have been made by Thomas Köbel, SEB Frankurt/M and Olle Holmgren,Trading Strategy. Stein Bruun and Erica Blomgren, SEB Oslo are responsible or the Norwegian analysis.Thomas Thygesen and Jakob Lage Hansen are responsible or the Danish analysis.Johan Javeus (Theme) and Richard Falkenhäll (currency analysis), both Trading Strategy, have also contributed to the report.

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