uinnipiac University Poll/August 28, 2012 – page 2
President Barack Obama holds a narrow 52 – 45 percent lead over Gov. Mitt Romney, hisRepublican challenger, among Connecticut likely voters. Twelve percent of Obama voters and 12 percent of Romney backers say they might change their mind.The gender gap is yawning with women backing Obama 59 – 38 percent while men back Romney 53 – 45 percent. Independent voters are divided with 49 percent for Romney and 47 percent for Obama. Obama leads among all income groups except for a 49 – 49 percent splitamong voters making more than $100,000 per year. Voters in all age groups back the president.Obama gets a 51 – 46 percent favorability while Romney has a negative 41 – 44 percent.Vice President Joseph Biden gets a negative 38 – 43 percent favorability, compared to a negative30 – 33 percent for U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan. Another 37 percent don’t know enough about Romney’srunning mate to form an opinion.Connecticut voters say 43 – 35 percent that Biden is qualified to be president, compared to29 – 26 percent, with 44 percent undecided, for Ryan.The economy will be “extremely important” to their presidential vote, 58 percent of voterssay, higher than any other issue. Medicare will be “extremely important,” 41 percent say.Romney would do a better job on the economy, Connecticut voters say 49 – 44 percent.Obama would be better on Medicare, voters say 51 – 41 percent.“Although President Barack Obama is ahead of Gov. Mitt Romney, his 7-point lead is a far cry from his 23-point victory in 2008 over John McCain. We shouldn’t, however, expect to see thecandidates campaigning in Connecticut, which hasn’t voted for a Republican since 1988,” Dr.Schwartz said.“This smaller than expected margin for Obama could affect the Senate race. The Murphycampaign is hoping to benefit from Obama’s coattails, but right now they are not very long.”From August 22 – 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,472 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey,Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and the nation as a public service and for research.
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