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Gravis Florida (September 2, 2012) Presidential Poll

Gravis Florida (September 2, 2012) Presidential Poll

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Published by Doug Kaplan
Gravis Marketing Poll conducted post Tampa Convention. State of Florida
Gravis Marketing Poll conducted post Tampa Convention. State of Florida

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Categories:Types, Research
Published by: Doug Kaplan on Sep 04, 2012
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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09/13/2013

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Florida ResultsFlorida Results 
For 9/2/2012For 9/2/2012 Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407--242242--18701870
Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing and Capitol Correspondent conducted a telephonesurvey of 1,288 likely or somewhat likely voters in the state of Floridaon the afternoon and early evening of September 2, 2012. The ques-tions covered preference for a given presidential candidate, the FloridaU.S. Senate Race between Connie Mack and Bill Nelson, and GovernorRick Scott’s performance rating. The full list of questions are given onpage 3. Overall, Romney holds a 48.0% to a 46.7% lead over Obama,with a margin of error of about 2.7%.
Analysis
 How is the Republican National Convention Helping Romney?
The Republican National Convention does not appear to have helpedRomney, with Romney at the same 48% take as he was on our August20th poll. Over this time frame, Obama hasgained 1.7% from his 45% August 20th take.
 Does there continue to be a Gary Johnsoneffect?
The August 20th poll indicated a Johnson ef-fect of –1.7% on Romney and –0.5% forObama. The September 2nd results indicate adecreased Johnson effect on Romney to –0.2%, while increasing the take from Obamaby 0.6%. Depending upon how the unsuregroup end up voting, the Johnson effect con-tinues to be a potential factor.
Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407--242242--18701870
Obama, Romney, Other?Obama Romney Unsure orOther0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%
   %   o   f   T  o   t  a   l
5.2%48.0%46.7%
Presidential Election
Obama, Romney, Other?
ObamaRomneyUnsure or Other46.1%47.8%2.3%3.8%
Presidential Electionwith Johnson
Obama, Romney, Johnson?
ObamaRomneyJohnsonOther or Unsure
 
 
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Florida ResultsFlorida Results For 9/2/2012For 9/2/2012 
Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407--242242--18701870Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407--242242--18701870
 How is Rick Scott Doing?
The August 20th poll gave Rick Scott an approval rating of 35% and a 38% disapproval rating. Overall, his approvalrating has deteriorated over the past two weeks, with themost current approval reading dropping to 33.9% and a dis-approval rating increasing to 40.1%.
The Senate Race: Connie Mack or Bill Nelson
The August 20th poll gave Bill Nelson a 46% to 38% leadover Connie Mack. The race has narrowed over the past twoweeks, with the most recent reading giving Nelson a 43.4%to 41.6% lead. The convention appears to have helped Nel-son.
The Presidential Election: How Does It Look by Gender?
Romney continues to hold a double digit lead among men,while Obama currently holds about a seven point leadamong women. The tabulations are reported below.Thanks for reading. There is a lot of detail not reported inthis two page summary. Please call with questions

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