The Tarrance Group –
New York CD 18 (August, 2012)
Page
1
MEMORANDUM
TO
: F
RIENDS OF
N
AN
H
AYWORTH
C
OMMITTEE
N
ATIONAL
R
EPUBLICAN
C
ONGRESSIONAL
C
OMMITTEE
FROM
:
DAVE SACKETT
RE
: A
S
URVEY OF
V
OTER
A
TTITUDES IN
N
EW
Y
ORK
’
S
18
TH
C
ONGRESSIONAL
D
ISTRICT
DATE
: A
UGUST
30,
2012 ________________________________________________________________________
The Tarrance Group is pleased to present Friends of Nan Hayworth Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee with the key findings from a survey of voter attitudes in New York’s 18
th
Congressional District. These key findings are basedon telephone interviews with N=408 “likely” registered voters throughout the 18
th
district. Responses to this survey were gathered August 26-28, 2012 and the margin of error associated with a sample of this type is + 4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.
KEY FINDINGS
Congresswoman Nan Hayworth stands with fifty-one percent (51%) of the vote and a+9 point lead over her Democrat opponent on the ballot for Congress. Maloneyreceives 42% of the vote, and seven percent (7%) of district voters are undecided.
Hayworth demonstrates solid partisan intensity among Republicans, and is in a verystrong position among Independent voters, where she captures fifty-two percent(52%) of the vote and leads Maloney by +13 points.
Just as important, Hayworth is doing very well among all of the key battlegroundvoter groups in the district, and she leads her Democrat opponent on the ballot testamong both women and 18-34 year old voters.
Congresswoman Hayworth has done an excellent job of consolidating her positionamong voters in the new portion of the district. Her name ID is now up at 89% acrossthe entire new district, and she stands with a better than 50% favorable rating and jobapproval rating.
201NUnionStreet,Suite410 Alexandria,Virginia22314(703)684-6688(703)836-8256FAXdsackett@tarrance.com
T
HE
T
ARRANCE
G
ROUP
www.tarrance.com
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