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New Jersey US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results

New Jersey US Senate General Election Survey Topline Results

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Published by: JoeKyrillosforSenate on Sep 05, 2012
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09/05/2012

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September
4,
2012
MEMORANDUM
TO:
INTERESTED
PARTIES
FR:
DAVID
FLAHERTY 
MAGELLAN
STRATEGIES
RE:
NEW
JERSEY 
US
SENATE
GENREAL
ELECTION
SURVEY 
TOPLINE
RESULTS
________________________________________________________________________________________________
MagellanStrategiesarepleasedtopresentthetoplineresultsofa746nautodialsurveyoflikelygeneralelectionvotersinthestateofNewJersey.TheinterviewswereconductedAugust30
th
andSeptember3
rd
,2012.Thissurveyhasamarginoferrorof+/‐3.59%atthe95percentconfidenceinterval.Thissurveywasweightedbaseduponpastgeneralelectionvoterturnoutdemographics.ThesurveywascommissionedbyKyrillosforSenate.T1.AreyouregisteredtovoteasaRepublican,aDemocratoranindependentvoter?Republican....................................................................................26%Democrat......................................................................................39%Independent................................................................................35%T2.HowlikelyareyoutovoteintheupcomingelectionthisNovember?Extremelylikely.........................................................................90%Verylikely........................................................................................6%Somewhatlikely............................................................................4%
 
MagellanID#NJSEN083012NewJerseyUSSenateSurveyToplineResultsPage2of4
FieldDates:8/30/12‐9/3/12,MoE+/‐3.59%,746n
 
MagellanStrategies|1685BoxelderSt.Ste300|Louisville,CO80027www.MagellanStrategies.com|(303)861‐8585
T3.HowinterestedwouldyousayyouareintheNovemberelection?Ratingyourinterestonascaleof1to9,with9meaningyouareextremelyinterested,and1meaningyouhavenointerestintheelection,pressanumberbetween1and9thatbestdescribesyourinterestintheNovemberelection.9........................................................................................................70%8...........................................................................................................8%7...........................................................................................................7%6...........................................................................................................2%5...........................................................................................................4%4...........................................................................................................1%3...........................................................................................................1%2...........................................................................................................2%1...........................................................................................................5%Mean:8.11T4.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofBobMenendez?Favorable......................................................................................31%Unfavorable.................................................................................37%Noopinion....................................................................................27%NameID.........................................................................................95%HardNameID.............................................................................68%Neverheardof...............................................................................5%T5.DoyouhaveafavorableorunfavorableopinionofJoeKyrillos?Favorable......................................................................................21%Unfavorable.................................................................................18%Noopinion....................................................................................31%NameID.........................................................................................70%HardNameID.............................................................................39%Neverheardof............................................................................30%T6.DoyouapproveordisapproveofthejobBobMenendezisdoingasUnitedStatesSenator?Approve.........................................................................................34%Disapprove...................................................................................37%Unsure/Noopinion..................................................................29%
 
MagellanID#NJSEN083012NewJerseyUSSenateSurveyToplineResultsPage3of4
FieldDates:8/30/12‐9/3/12,MoE+/‐3.59%,746n
 
MagellanStrategies|1685BoxelderSt.Ste300|Louisville,CO80027www.MagellanStrategies.com|(303)861‐8585
T7.IftheelectionfortheUnitedStatesSenatewerebeingheldtoday,forwhomwouldyouvoteifthecandidateswereBobMenendez,DemocratorJoeKyrillos,Republican?BobMenendez............................................................................45%JoeKyrillos...................................................................................41%Undecided.....................................................................................14%DefinitelyBobMenendez.......................................................34%ProbablyBobMenendez........................................................11%DefinitelyJoeKyrillos..............................................................29%ProbablyJoeKyrillos...............................................................12%T8.Onmostpoliticalissues,doyouconsideryourselftobeconservative,moderateorliberal?Conservative................................................................................27%Moderate.......................................................................................51%Liberal............................................................................................16%Unsure/Noopinion.....................................................................6%T9.Whodidyouvoteforinthe2008Presidentialelection?BarackObama.............................................................................57%JohnMcCain.................................................................................37%Anothercandidate/Donotremember................................4%Didnotvote....................................................................................1%Unsure/Noopinion.....................................................................1%T10.Forstatisticalpurposes,areyouamanorawoman?Female............................................................................................56%Male.................................................................................................44%T11.Whichofthefollowingagegroupsappliestoyou?18‐34...............................................................................................15%35‐44...............................................................................................15%45‐54...............................................................................................23%55‐64...............................................................................................22%65+...................................................................................................25%

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