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CD24 September 2012 Crosstabs

CD24 September 2012 Crosstabs

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Published by: Casey Seiler on Sep 13, 2012
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Siena College Research InstituteSeptember 5-6, 9-10, 2012625 Likely Voters Congressional District 24MOE +/- 3.9%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherRight track
46% 71% 24% 44% 50% 45% 41% 50% 74% 17% 55% 43% 46% 46% 45% 47% 38% 51%
Wrong direction
48% 21% 71% 50% 43% 49% 53% 44% 20% 78% 36% 52% 47% 49% 47% 47% 56% 38%
Don't know/No opinion
7% 8% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 9% 5% 7% 5% 8% 5% 5% 11%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
49% 73% 31% 42% 48% 49% 49% 48% 87% 19% 57% 48% 46% 47% 50% 50% 40% 58%
Unfavorable
37% 17% 53% 42% 31% 39% 40% 35% 7% 67% 29% 45% 30% 37% 37% 38% 39% 33%
Don't know/No opinion
14% 11% 16% 16% 21% 13% 11% 17% 6% 14% 14% 7% 25% 16% 13% 11% 21% 10%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
44% 24% 60% 49% 39% 46% 43% 45% 11% 87% 34% 48% 44% 42% 46% 45% 52% 31%
Unfavorable
44% 67% 27% 40% 47% 44% 45% 44% 83% 2% 56% 44% 40% 44% 45% 46% 32% 59%
Don't know/No opinion
11% 10% 13% 11% 14% 11% 12% 11% 6% 11% 11% 8% 16% 13% 9% 9% 16% 10%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
7% 8% 4% 11% 6% 7% 10% 4% 8% 6% 13% 6% 6% 8% 6% 7% 3% 14%
Unfavorable
12% 13% 11% 11% 18% 11% 17% 8% 11% 12% 13% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 11% 11%
Don't know/No opinion
81% 79% 85% 78% 77% 82% 73% 88% 81% 82% 74% 83% 81% 79% 83% 80% 86% 75%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
57% 88% 33% 49% 59% 56% 54% 59% 89% 24% 71% 55% 53% 57% 56% 56% 47% 71%
Unfavorable
41% 11% 64% 49% 38% 42% 44% 38% 10% 75% 26% 44% 44% 42% 41% 42% 51% 28%
Don't know/No opinion
2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%
I'm going to read the names of several people in public life and I'd like for you to tell me whether you have a favorable opinion or an unfavorable opinion of each of the people I name.Q5. Barack ObamaPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ4. Ursula RozumPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ3. Ann Marie BuerklePartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ2. Dan MaffeiPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ1. Is the United States on the right track, or is it headed in the wrong direction?PartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligion
CD24 September 2012 Crosstabs 1 of 9
 
Siena College Research InstituteSeptember 5-6, 9-10, 2012625 Likely Voters Congressional District 24MOE +/- 3.9%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
39% 12% 59% 45% 34% 40% 42% 37% 9% 76% 27% 43% 39% 36% 41% 39% 49% 25%
Unfavorable
56% 83% 35% 51% 60% 55% 55% 57% 88% 21% 69% 53% 54% 58% 55% 56% 47% 71%
Don't know/No opinion
5% 4% 6% 4% 6% 4% 3% 6% 4% 3% 4% 4% 6% 6% 4% 5% 4% 4%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
53% 79% 35% 47% 53% 54% 52% 55% 83% 23% 67% 51% 50% 53% 54% 53% 43% 70%
Unfavorable
42% 16% 60% 49% 40% 42% 45% 40% 14% 73% 28% 45% 44% 43% 41% 43% 53% 25%
Don't know/No opinion
5% 5% 5% 4% 7% 4% 4% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
36% 12% 58% 41% 33% 37% 41% 32% 10% 69% 24% 40% 37% 34% 39% 37% 48% 19%
Unfavorable
48% 77% 25% 45% 49% 48% 49% 48% 79% 14% 62% 47% 44% 54% 45% 46% 39% 69%
Don't know/No opinion
15% 11% 17% 14% 18% 14% 10% 20% 11% 17% 14% 13% 18% 12% 17% 16% 13% 13%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
75% 84% 66% 75% 73% 76% 76% 74% 83% 67% 82% 73% 75% 73% 77% 78% 70% 80%
Unfavorable
19% 11% 28% 19% 22% 19% 19% 20% 12% 28% 15% 21% 20% 22% 17% 18% 24% 16%
Don't know/No opinion
5% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 3% 6% 5% 5% 6% 4% 7% 5%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherBarack Obama on the Democratic line
55% 87% 31% 47% 58% 54% 52% 58% 89% 20% 71% 51% 53% 56% 54% 56% 44% 68%
Mitt Romney on the Republican line
36% 10% 56% 42% 28% 38% 38% 34% 5% 74% 23% 39% 37% 33% 38% 37% 44% 23%
Vol: Someone else
1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Vol: Not voting
1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Don't know/No opinion
7% 2% 11% 6% 9% 7% 7% 7% 4% 5% 4% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 10% 5%
Q10. If the 2012 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:PartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ9. Andrew CuomoPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ8. Paul RyanPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ7. Joe BidenPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ6. Mitt RomneyPartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligion
CD24 September 2012 Crosstabs 2 of 9
 
Siena College Research InstituteSeptember 5-6, 9-10, 2012625 Likely Voters Congressional District 24MOE +/- 3.9%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherRe-elect Buerkle
44% 22% 61% 50% 44% 44% 43% 45% 9% 89% 33% 46% 47% 43% 45% 46% 49% 34%
Prefer someone else
47% 70% 30% 42% 45% 48% 47% 47% 84% 5% 60% 48% 39% 48% 47% 50% 36% 56%
Don't know/No opinion
9% 8% 9% 8% 11% 8% 10% 8% 7% 6% 7% 5% 15% 9% 9% 5% 14% 9%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherDan Maffei on the Democratic line
43% 72% 22% 36% 41% 43% 43% 42% 60% 44% 33% 42% 43% 43% 34% 53%
Ann Marie Buerkle on the Republican line
43% 16% 66% 45% 38% 44% 42% 43% 30% 45% 45% 43% 42% 40% 56% 29%
Ursula Rozum on the Green Party line
7% 6% 6% 10% 11% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 9% 6% 8% 2% 13%
Vol: Someone else
0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0%
Vol: Not voting
1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Don't know/No opinion
6% 5% 6% 7% 9% 6% 6% 6% 3% 4% 12% 5% 7% 6% 7% 4%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherOther CD2010CD 252010MFMaffeiBuerkleSyracuseRest of OnondagaCayuga/Wayne/OswegoUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherAbsolutely certain; there's no chance I willchange my mind
53% 56% 55% 50% 41% 56% 60% 47% 56% 55% 56% 60% 41% 41% 63% 54% 54% 49%
Fairly certain; it's unlikely I will change mymind
33% 31% 32% 37% 43% 31% 29% 37% 32% 35% 33% 26% 45% 41% 27% 32% 31% 38%
Not very certain; I very well may change mymind
9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 6% 7% 11% 7% 12% 6% 9% 8% 11%
Not certain at all; there's a good chance Iwill change my mind
4% 4% 4% 4% 6% 4% 3% 5% 3% 4% 3% 3% 6% 6% 3% 5% 5% 1%
Don't know/No opinion
0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Q13. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]? Are you...PartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ12. If the election for Member of Congress from the 24th Congressional District was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:PartyPrevious Cong DistGenderRegionAgeReligionQ11. Ann Marie Buerkle is running for re-election to be a Member of Congress. As things stand now, would you vote to re-elect her or would you prefer someone else?PartyPrevious Cong DistGenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligion
CD24 September 2012 Crosstabs 3 of 9

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