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UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

UPI/CVoter Release: 3

Issues of Overall Economic Crisis: 1

Embargo: September 12
th

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UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

Issues of Overall Economic Crisis: 1

MAJORITY OF LIKELY VOTERS SAY OBAMA NEEDS TIME TO FIX ECONOMY
'Obama not Romney will recover economy' 'George Bush to blame more than Obama for economic mess'
How important is the particular issue of Overall Economic Crisis? Can't Say/No opinion 0% 1% Extremely Important 88% 91% Somewhat Important 12% 8% Not Important at all 1% 0% Total 100% 100%

Confirmed Voters Likely Voters

Who can handle the issue of Overall Economic Crisis better? Obama or Romney? Can't Say/No opinion Confirmed Voters Likely Voters 6% 14% Both of them are equally good at this 5% 7% Neither of them can handle this 13% 28%

Obama 35% 33%

Romney 42% 19%

Total 100% 100%

Which of these recent Presidents do you hold responsible for the ongoing Economic crisis? Can't Say/No opinion 12% 21% Bill Clinton 8% 4% George Bush 44% 50% Barack Obama 36% 25% Total 100% 100%

Confirmed Voters Likely Voters

Were four years enough for Obama to bring economic recovery or does he need longer to turnaround the economy? Can't Say/No opinion 5% 17% Obama had enough time 49% 31% Obama needs more time 46% 52% Total 100% 100%

Confirmed Voters Likely Voters

(Base: 1003 respondents; those who said they are sure or somewhat sure to vote; may or may not have decided which candidate to support. Data is weighted to known census profile)

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UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

Analysis If all the likely voters would just go out and fill the ballot booths on November 6, President Obama will cruise his way to a second term. More than half of all likely voters 52% quizzed in a UPI/C-Voter opinion poll say Obama needs more time than four years to fix the doddering U.S. economy. Only 31% say four years were enough to steady the ship which, by implication, he hasn't. Of course, the uphill gets steeper for Obama and his advantage slips away among the confirmed voters. While 46% confirmed voters say he needs more time to fix the economy, almost half 49% say that he has had his chances already. The voter sentiment behind the disparate figures is not difficult to comprehend. Likely voters that may not turn up at the voting booth are more Democratic leaning than Republican given their demographic largely low-income, ethnic minorities. Among likely voters, Obama has nearly a 2 to 1 advantage by 33% to 19% over Romney as the man who voters believe can pull the country's economy out of the woods and show the path to prosperity. Unsurprisingly, among confirmed voters, Romney holds an edge on the same question by 42% to 33%. For all the Republican attacks on Obama for his suggestion that he inherited a bad economy, voter sentiment bears the president out. More voters confirmed and likely blame Obama's predecessor George W. Bush for the ongoing economic crisis than they blame Obama. As many as 44% confirmed voters pin the blame on Bush while 36% hold Obama responsible. Among likely voters, the figures are Bush 50% and Obama 25%. Strikingly, the economic crisis is the biggest issue of concern for all the voters. Among likely voters, a massive 91% say it is extremely important and 8% say it is somewhat important. The figures are only marginally lower for the confirmed voters: 88% say it is extremely important and 12% say it is somewhat important.

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UPIpoll Release

US Elections 2012

UPI Poll Methodology The figures are result of the question "Who will you vote for if the presidential election were held today? Would you say Yes, for sure or May be, but I am unsure at the moment or you are sure not to vote at all. The question was asked to all registered voters and analysed after screening only for the respondents who confirmed that they will vote or showed likeliness to vote in the coming elections. Those respondents who are confirmed to vote but undecided on which candidate to support are analysed as undecided. Each two-week rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 3000 registered voters. Results from September 3rd through September 9th are based on seven day rolling averages with approximately 1400 registered voters each; Margin of error is 3 percentage points. The table totals sometimes might end up 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data by Computer.