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PPP Release MA 91612

PPP Release MA 91612

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Published by: masslive on Sep 17, 2012
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Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: information@publicpolicypolling.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE September 16, 2012INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAILinformation@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE
Warren gains 7 points on Brown in a month, takes 2 point lead
Raleigh, N.C. – 
Things have been going Elizabeth Warren's way in the MassachusettsSenate race over the last month. She's gained 7 points and now leads Scott Brown 48-46after trailing him by a 49-44 margin on our last poll.Warren's gaining because Democratic voters are coming back into the fold. Last monthshe led only 73-20 with Democrats. Now she's up 81-13. That explains basically theentire difference between the two polls. There are plenty of Democrats who like ScottBrown- 29% approve of him- but fewer are now willing to vote for him. That's probably because of another finding on our poll- 53% of voters want Democrats to have control of the Senate compared to only 36% who want Republicans in charge. More and moreDemocrats who may like Brown are shifting to Warren because they don't like the prospect of a GOP controlled Senate.Brown's approval numbers have actually improved since our poll last month. 55% of voters approve of him to 34% who disapprove. He continues to dominate the race withindependents, leading 56-35, and he's taking 94% of the Republican vote. 56% of votersthink he's ideologically 'about right' to only 29% who think he's too conservative. And49% consider him to be more an 'independent voice for Massachusetts' than the 40% whothink he's more a 'partisan voice for the national Republican Party.' Brown continues to be one of the more popular Senators in the country and he's doing what he needs to do inthis campaign, but his party label may end up being more than he can overcome.Warren's image has seen some improvement in the last month. She has a +8 netfavorability at 51/43, up 5 points from last month when she was at 46/43. That reversesthe trend of her numbers falling in every poll we'd done this year up until now. Again thedifference is Democrats becoming more enthusiastic about her. She's gone from a 75/16spread with them last month now up to an 81/12 one.“The Massachusetts Senate race remains a toss up,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But the momentum is clearly on Elizabeth Warren’s side now.”PPP surveyed 876 likely Massachusetts voters from September 13
th
to 16th. The marginof error for the overall survey is +/-3.3%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by anycampaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted through automatedtelephone interviews.
 
September 13-16, 2012
Survey of 876 likely Massachusetts voters
September 13-16, 2012
Survey of 876 likely Massachusetts voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Massachusetts Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator ScottBrown’s job performance?55%
 Approve
..........................................................
34%
Disapprove
......................................................
12%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Ellizabeth Warren?51%
Favorable
........................................................
43%
Unfavorable
....................................................
6%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q3
The candidates for Senate this fall areDemocrat Elizabeth Warren and RepublicanScott Brown. If the election was today, whowould you vote for?48%
Elizabeth Warren
............................................
46%
Scott Brown
....................................................
6%
Undecided 
.......................................................
Q4
Do you think that Scott Brown is too liberal, tooconservative, or about right?7%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
29%
Too conservative
.............................................
56%
 About right 
......................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5
Do you think that Elizabeth Warren is tooliberal, too conservative, or about right?44%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
2%
Too conservative
.............................................
49%
 About right 
......................................................
5%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q6
Do you think the Republican Party in general istoo liberal, too conservative, or about right?11%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
56%
Too conservative
.............................................
26%
 About right 
......................................................
8%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q7
Do you think the Democratic Party in general istoo liberal, too conservative, or about right?45%
Too liberal 
.......................................................
7%
Too conservative
.............................................
43%
 About right 
......................................................
4%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q8
Do you think Scott Brown has been more anindependent voice for Massachusetts or apartisan voice for the national RepublicanParty?49%
 An independent voice for Massachusetts
.......
40%
 A partisan voice for the national RepublicanParty 
...............................................................
12%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q9
Do you have a higher opinion of Scott Brown or John Kerry?46%
Scott Brown
....................................................
44%
John Kerry 
......................................................
6%
Like both equally 
.............................................
4%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q10
Would you rather that Democrats or Republicans had control of the US Senate?53%
Democrats
......................................................
37%
Republicans
....................................................
10%
Not sure
..........................................................
 
September 13-16, 2012
Survey of 876 likely Massachusetts voters
September 13-16, 2012
Survey of 876 likely Massachusetts voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q11
Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?13%
Very liberal 
......................................................
21%
Somewhat liberal 
............................................
35%
Moderate
.........................................................
23%
Somewhat conservative
..................................
8%
Very conservative
...........................................
Q12
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.50%
Woman
...........................................................
50%
Man
.................................................................
Q13
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.38%
Democrat 
........................................................
17%
Republican
......................................................
45%
Independent/Other 
..........................................
Q14
If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.84%
White
..............................................................
16%
Other 
...............................................................
Q15
If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.9%
18 to 29
...........................................................
21%
30 to 45 
...........................................................
48%
46 to 65 
...........................................................
22%
Older than 65 
..................................................

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