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SEPT18MUHLPOLL

SEPT18MUHLPOLL

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Published by: jmicek on Sep 19, 2012
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Muhlenberg College/ 
 Morning
Call 
 2012 Pennsylvania Presidential Election
Survey
 
Release
Date
 September 18,
2012
 Survey
Methodology
 
Number of Interviews: 640 Likely Voters in the Commonwealth of PennsylvaniaMargin of Error: +/-4% at a 95% level of confidenceFielding Dates – September 10– 16, 2012Method of Interviewing: Live telephone interviewersMethod of Sampling: Pennsylvania Voter Registration Files- Individuals whovoted in at least 1 of the last 8 general or primary elections in Pennsylvania ORwho had registered to vote in the state since 2009.Likely Voter Screens: (1) Currently Registered; (2) Expressed Likelihood (Q1;Q2)Weighting: The data was weighted by gender and region of the state.Totals may not equal 100% due to roundingInstrument Design: Dr. Christopher P. Borick of the Muhlenberg College Instituteof Public Opinion in conjunction with staff members of the
 Morning Call
.
CONTACT:
 
Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion 484-664-3066
 
 
FREQUENCY REPORT AND SURVEY INSTRUMENT
 INTRODUCTIONQ1: Thank you. Which of the following categories best describes your current voting status?Are you registered as a ? (READ LIST)August 2012
September 2012
Democrat 49%
49%
Republican 40%
39%
Independent 10%
8%
Other Party 2%
4%
Not Registered (END SURVEY) Na
Na
Not Sure (END SURVEY) Na
Na
Q2: How likely are you to vote in the midterm elections this November? Are you definitelygoing to vote, very likely to vote, not too likely to vote or definitely not voting in theNovember Election?August 2012
September 2012
Definitely Going to Vote 84%
82%
Very Likely To Vote 16%
18%
Very Likely To Vote (END SURVEY) Na
Na
Definitely not voting (END SURVEY) Na
Na
Not Sure (END SURVEY) Na
Na
Q3: Next, I would like for you to rate the performance of a few political officials. For eachname that I read, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the way he is doing his job.First, President Barack Obama?August 2012
September 2012
Approve 43%
47%
Disapprove 47%
44%
No Opinion 10%
9%
Q4: How about Governor Tom Corbett?August 2012
September 2012
Approve 30%
30%
Disapprove 46%
46%
No Opinion 24%
25%
 
 
Q5: and Senator Bob Casey Jr.?August 2012
September 2012
Approve 37%
37%
Disapprove 28%
31%
No Opinion 35%
32%
Q6: Now, I would like to ask your overall impression of a few political figures. For each name Iread, please tell me if your impression of him is favorable or unfavorable.First, Mitt RomneyAugust 2012
September 2012
Favorable 37%
40%
Unfavorable 49%
48%
Neutral/Not Sure 13%
12%
Haven’t heard of him <1%
<1%
Q7: Next, Barack ObamaAugust 2012
September 2012
Favorable 48%
50%
Unfavorable 45%
42%
Neutral/Not Sure 7%
7%
Haven’t heard of him 0%
<1%
Q8: How about Joe Biden?August 2012
September 2012
Favorable 38%
44%
Unfavorable 45%
42%
Neutral/Not Sure 16%
13%
Haven’t heard of him 1%
1%
Q9: and Paul Ryan?August 2012
September 2012
Favorable 34%
37%
Unfavorable 35%
41%
Neutral/Not Sure 26%
18%
Haven’t heard of him 5%
4%

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