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Press Release-NBP's Labor Day Poll of Statewide Races (1)

Press Release-NBP's Labor Day Poll of Statewide Races (1)

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Published by: tpmdocs on Sep 21, 2012
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11/05/2012

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For immediate release:
Date: 9/21/2012Survey: Nielson Brothers Polling (NBP) Statewide Survey, August 29-Sept 6, 2012Subject: Major South Dakota General Election RacesContact information: nbpolling@gmail.com, 605 496-0911Website: nielsonbrotherspolling .com
Republicans Extend Lead in Major South Dakota Races
In the Nielson Brothers’ annual Labor Day Survey, Republicans have extended their leads over Democratic rivals in major political races among likely South Dakota voters.Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney leads 53.9 to 38.7 percent over PresidentBarack Obama, with 7.4 percent undecided. Romney’s lead has increased since NBP’s Julysurvey in which he led by 6 percent.In the South Dakota US House race, Republican Representative Kristi Noem now leadsDemocratic challenger Matt Varilek 50.8 to 42.0 percent compared to her 47.4 to 45.6 percentadvantage in July.In the race for South Dakota Public Utilities Commissioner polled by NBP, incumbentRepublican Kristie Fiegen now leads Democrat Matt McGovern 47.0 percent to 36.5 percentwith 16.5 percent undecided. In NBP’s July survey, Fiegen led by two points.Respondents were asked to evaluate President Obama’s job performance. Overall, 42.9percent approve, with 25.8 percent saying they “strongly approve” and 17.1 percent saying they“somewhat approve.” Of the 57.1 percent who disapprove, 45.0 percent say they “stronglydisapprove.” The July NBP survey showed Obama’s approval rating to be at 45 percent. The NBP survey shows Representative Kristi Noem’s job approval to be at 54.7 percent. 28.6percent of respondents say they “somewhat approve” and 26.1 percent “strongly approve.” Onthe other hand, 25.7 percent of respondents say they “strongly disapprove” and 19.7 percent“somewhat disapprove.” NBP did not ask this question in its July poll.NBP also asked whether respondents supported the Republican or Democratic state Senatecandidate in their legislative district. 46.4 percent support the Republican candidate, 33.3percent support the Democrat, while 20.4 percent remain undecided. By comparison, in NBP’sJuly survey, 44.2 percent of likely voters chose the Republican, 34.8 percent chose theDemocrat, and 21.1 percent were undecided.“Through the national party conventions, South Dakota Republicans widened their leads in themajor races,” Paul Nielson, president of Nielson Brothers Polling said. “Republican voters arenow supporting their candidates more than the Democrats are supporting theirs. We saw asmall swing back toward Democrats during their convention, but overall South DakotaRepublican candidates appear to be consolidating their support and have added to their leads.”NBP surveyed a random selection of likely South Dakota voters August 29th through September 6 , 2012. The question on the presidential race drew 512 responses, with a 4.33 percent marginof error. The question on the US House race drew 509 responses, with a 4.34 percent margin of error. The question on the PUC race between Fiegen and McGovern drew 503 responses for a4.37 percent margin of error.

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