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Friday, September 21, 2012NO SIDE LEADS 44% TO 38% ON PROP. 32PAYROLL DEDUCTIONS INITIATIVE.LARGE PROPORTION UNDECIDED.MIXED VIEWS OF STATE’S NEWPENSION REFORM LAW.
IMPORTANT: Contract for this service issubject to revocation if publication or broadcasttakes place before release date or if contents aredivulged to persons outside of subscriber staff prior to release time. (ISSN 0195-4520)By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin FieldProposition 32, the ballot initiative to reduce special-interest influence campaign spending in state politics, is shaping up to be a major heavyweight battle.A new survey conducted jointly by The Institute of Governmental Studies at (IGS) UC Berkeleyand
The Field Poll
finds 38% of likely voters inclined to vote Yes, but a slightly larger proportion(44%) intending to vote No. A relatively large proportion (18%) are undecided.The poll finds that how voters view the influence of labor unions and corporations in state politicscorrelates with their voting intentions on Prop. 32. While pluralities of likely voters think bothgroups have too much influence in state political matters, more are critical of corporations (67%)than labor unions (47%). Voters who think labor unions have too much influence are more likely to be supportive of Prop. 32, but among the larger segment who think corporations have too muchinfluence the No side has the advantage.The poll also finds voter opinions of the state’s new pension reform law designed to rein in stateand local public sector employee pension costs are mixed. Statewide 18% of voters believe thechanges in the law went too far, 39% feel they were about right, and 26% say it didn’t go far enough. Another 17% have no opinion. Views about the law are also related to voter preferences of Prop. 32.These are the topline findings from The Institute of Governmental Studies UC Berkeley
conducted September 6-18 among a representative sample of likely voters in the upcoming November 6 statewide election.
Voter preferences on Prop. 32 overall and across key subgroups
The survey finds 38% of likely voters now disposed to vote Yes and 44% inclined to vote No. Arelatively large 18% were undecided at the time of the survey.