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Franklin & Marshall College Poll

Franklin & Marshall College Poll

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Published by Public Opinion

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Published by: Public Opinion on Sep 26, 2012
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05/13/2014

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For immediate release September 26, 2012 
Franklin & MarshallCollege Poll
SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANSSUMMARY OF FINDINGSPrepared by:Center for Opinion ResearchFloyd Institute for Public PolicyFranklin & Marshall College
BERWOOD A. YOSTDIRECTOR, FLOYD INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICYDIRECTOR, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCHHEAD METHODOLOGIST, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLG. TERRY MADONNADIRECTOR, CENTER FOR POLITICS AND PUBLIC AFFAIRSDIRECTOR, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLANGELA N. KNITTLESENIOR PROJECT MANAGER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
 
PROJECT MANAGER, FRANKLIN & MARSHALL COLLEGE POLLKAY K. HUEBNERPROGRAMMER, CENTER FOR OPINION RESEARCH
September 26, 2012
 
 2
Table of Contents
KEY FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................3
 
T
HE
P
RESIDENTIAL
E
LECTION IN
P
ENNSYLVANIA
......................................................................3
 
T
HE
US
 
S
ENATE
E
LECTION IN
P
ENNSYLVANIA
..........................................................................6
 
S
TATE
I
SSUES
:
 
V
OTER
ID
AND THE
S
ANDUSKY
I
NVESTIGATION
.................................................7
 
METHODOLOGY .....................................................................................................................8
 
ATTACHMENT A .....................................................................................................................9
 
ATTACHMENT B ...................................................................................................................10
 
MARGINAL FREQUENCY REPORT .....................................................................................11
 
The Franklin & Marshall College Poll is produced in conjunction with the PhiladelphiaDaily News, WGAL-TV (South Central PA), Pittsburgh Tribune Review, WTAE-TV(Pittsburgh), WPVI-TV6/ABC (Philadelphia), Times-Shamrock Newspapers, HarrisburgPatriot-News, and Lancaster Newspapers. It may be used in whole or in part,provided any use is attributed to Franklin & Marshall College.
 
 
 3
Key Findings
The September 2012 Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds President Barack Obamawith a comfortable lead over his Republican challenger Mitt Romney. President Obama’s leadover Mitt Romney has increased during the past month. The president enjoys significantadvantages over Romney in his personal popularity and most voters believe he betterunderstands their concerns. The president is also thought to be better prepared to handle specificaspects of the presidency, including handling the economy. In the US Senate race, incumbentDemocrat Bob Casey, Jr. leads the Republican challenger Tom Smith by a wide margin,although many voters remain undecided at the moment and the race appears much closer amonglikely voters.
 
The Presidential Election in Pennsylvania 
President Obama has led Mitt Romney in every Franklin & Marshall College Poll sinceSeptember 2011 (see Figure 1). The president currently leads Romney among registered voters inPennsylvania 50% to 39% with 6% undecided. The president’s advantage is slightly narroweramong likely voters, 52% to 43%, with 3% undecided. President Obama leads in most regions of the state, including Philadelphia, Allegheny County, and the southeast, and he has comfortableleads among young voters, non-whites and women (see Attachment A). Mitt Romney holds anadvantage among conservatives, Protestants, and born-again Christians.

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