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rel11a

rel11a

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Published by The Hill Newspaper

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Published by: The Hill Newspaper on Oct 01, 2012
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11/30/2012

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Interviews with 1,013 adult Americans conducted by telephoneby ORC International on September 28-30, 2012. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus orminus 3 percentage points.The sample also includes 883 interviews among registered voters(plus or minus 3.5 percentage points) and 783 interviews amonglikely voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points).The sample includes 756 interviews among landline respondentsand 257 interviews among cell phone respondents.
 
FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, OCTOBER 1 AT 4 PM
POLL 11
-1-September 28-30, 2012
 
1.Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as theRepublican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama and JoeBiden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?Obama/Romney/NeitherOtherNoBidenRyan(vol.)(vol.)Opinion
Likely Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201250%47%3%*1%Sept. 7-9, 201252%46%2%*1%Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 201248%48%2%*1%Aug. 22-23, 201249%47%2%*2%
Registered Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201250%46%3%*1%Sept. 7-9, 201253%45%2%*1%Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 201252%45%2%1%1%Aug. 22-23, 201252%43%3%1%1%Aug. 7-8, 201252%45%3%*1%June 28-July 1, 201249%46%3%1%*May 29-31, 201249%46%4%1%*April 13-15, 201252%43%5%1%1%March 24-25, 201254%43%3%**February 10-13, 201251%46%2%**January 11-12, 201247%48%3%1%1%December 16-18, 201152%45%2%1%* Nov. 11-13, 201147%51%2%**Sept. 23-25, 201149%48%2%1%*Aug. 5-7, 201149%48%2%**Apr. 29-May 1, 201154%43%2%1%*Oct. 27-30, 201045%50%3%*1%Apr. 9-11, 201053%45%1%**
QUESTION WORDING BEFORE APRIL, 2012: " If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party'scandidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean moretoward?" QUESTION WORDING APRIL, 2012 TO AUGUST 8, 2012: "Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Mitt Romney as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?”
POLL 11
-2-September 28-30, 2012
 
1.Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates, and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as theRepublican Party's candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama and JoeBiden, the Democrats, or Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?2.Do you support that candidate strongly, or only moderately?QUESTIONS 1 AND 2 COMBINEDOnlyNoStronglymoderatelyopinion
ALL RESPONDENTSLikely Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201270%26%4%
Registered Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201265%31%4%Aug. 7-8, 201262%36%1%May 29-31, 201260%40%*
OBAMA VOTERSLikely Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201274%26%*
Registered Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201270%30%*Aug. 7-8, 201265%34%1%May 29-31, 201267%33%*
ROMNEY VOTERSLikely Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201272%28%*
Registered Voters
Sept. 28-30, 201265%35%*Aug. 7-8, 201260%40%*May 29-31, 201251%49%*
 No opinion includes respondents with no preference in Question 1.
QUESTION WORDING APRIL, 2012 TO AUGUST 8, 2012: "Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Barack Obama as the Democratic Party's candidate, and Mitt Romney as the Republican Party's candidate. Who would you be more likely to vote for -- Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward?”
POLL 11
-3-September 28-30, 2012

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