To: Interested PartiesFr: Pete BrodnitzDate: October 2, 2012Re: Recent Polling ResultsThe results of our recent poll of likely general election voters in Hawaii show that with just over a monthuntil Election Day Congresswoman Mazie Hirono holds a 17-point lead over former Governor Linda Lingleand comfortably receives over 50% of the vote. BSG polling accurately
predicted Mazie Hirono’s 17%
victory margin over Ed Case in the Democratic Primary.
Hirono Expands Lead; Holds Majority
In the race for U.S. Senate, Hirono leads Lingle by 17%. Hirono receives a majority of the vote (54%),while Lingle receives 37%, 1% volunteer another candidate, and 9% are undecided. When we pushundecided voters to express a preference
, Hirono’s lead increases to 18%
. Hirono has more
definite
supporters (42%) than Lingle has
total
supporters (37%). Hirono
’s current lead represents an increase
from her 11% advantage in our July survey.
If the November general election for Senate were held today, and the candidates were Democrat Mazie Hirono and Republican Linda Lingle, for whom would you vote? (If
don’t know) Which candidate do you lean toward? (If support a candidate) Will you
definitely vote for Hirono/Lingle or probably vote for Hirono/Lingle?
All
Difference
+17
Democrat Mazie Hirono 54
Definitely Vote
42
Probably Vote 12
Republican Linda Lingle 37
Definitely Vote 26
Probably Vote 11
Other (vol.) 1
Don’t Know
9
Difference
+18
Democrat Mazie Hirono w/leaners
56
Republican Linda Lingle w/leaners
38
Other w/leaners
1
Don’t Know w/leaners
5
Voters Believe Lingle Would Help The Republicans Gain a Majority in the Senate
By more than 2-to-1, voters are more likely to believe that Lingle would be a vote for the Republicanagenda in Washington than think she will be Independent.
Which of the following better describes Linda Lingle?
All
Difference +31
If elected, she will be a
vote
for the
Republican agenda
in Washington. 60If elected, she will be
independent
of the
Republican Party
in Washington 29
Don’t Know
11
BENENSON STRATEGY GROUP
1000 Potomac Street, N.W., Suite 420Washington, D.C. 20007
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