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CA-09 Tarrance Group for Ricky Gill & NRCC (Oct. 2012)

CA-09 Tarrance Group for Ricky Gill & NRCC (Oct. 2012)

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Published by Daily Kos Elections

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 11, 2012
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03/11/2014

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MEMORANDUM
 
TO
:
RICKY GILL FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE
 
NATIONAL REPUBLICAN CONGRESSIONAL COMMITTEE
 
FROM
:
DAVE SACKETT
 
RE
:
KEY FINDINGS FROM A SURVEY OF VOTER ATTITUDES IN THE NINTH
 
CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT OF CALIFORNIA
 
DATE
:
OCTOBER 
3,
 
2012 ________________________________________________________________________ 
The Tarrance Group is pleased to present the Ricky Gill for Congress Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee with the key findings from a survey of voter attitudes in the Ninth Congressional District of California. These key findings are based ontelephone interviews with N=409 “likely” registered voters throughout district. Responses tothis survey were gathered September 30 – October 2, 2012 (pre-debate) and the margin of error associated with a sample of this type is + 4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.
KEY FINDINGS
 
Republican candidate Ricky Gill has overtaken Democratic Congressman Jerry McNerneyand holds a +1 point lead on the ballot test for Congress. Forty-six percent (46%) of districtvoters indicate they would vote for Gill, while only forty-five percent (45%) indicate theywould vote for McNerney. There are nine percent (9%) of voters in the district that areundecided on the ballot test.
 
 
Gill has made significant gains among DTS and Independent voters in the district, and nowleads McNerney by over twenty points. Gill’s ballot strength among Republicans isapproaching ninety percent, and he is also taking twelve percent (12%) of the vote amongregistered Democrats away from McNerney.
 
 
Despite a 16 point overall name ID gap, Gill now has dramatically better image ratingsamong district voters than McNerney does. Both candidates have favorable ratings of approximately thirty-five percent, but McNerney’s unfavorable ratings are twice as high asGill’s unfavorable rating.
 
201 N Union Street, Suite 410Alexandria, Virginia 22314(703) 684-6688(703) 836-8256 FAXdsackett@tarrance.com
 
T
HE
T
ARRANCE
G
ROUP
 
www.tarrance.com

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