FL CD-26 October 2012 Poll
To: Interested PartiesFr: Pete Brodnitz, BSGRe: Recent
polling in Florida’s 2
Congressional DistrictDate: October 15, 2012Democrat Joe Garcia leads incumbent Republican David Rivera by 11% in our mid October poll in
Questions about Congressman Rivera’s ethics are taking a significant
toll on his re-election chances.
Garcia holds a double digit lead
The poll, taken in English and Spanish from October 9-11, shows Joe Garcia leading David Rivera 46% to35%. Two non-partisan candidates receive 3% combined. A combined 15% are undecided or refused tosay who they have voted for. Garcia leads among key subgroups: both women (+12%) and men(+10%), registered Democrats (+65%) and Independents (+45%), and both college graduates (+15%)and those without a college degree (+7%).[IF NOT YET VOTED]
If the November election for Congress were held today and the candidates were …
(names rotated) …for whom would you vote?
[IF UNDECIDED] Which candidate do you lean toward?[IF ALREADY VOTED] In the election for Congress, for whom did you vote?
, a Democrat 46
, a Republican 35 Angel Fernandez, no party affiliation 2Jose Peixoto, no party affiliation 1Refused 1
More voters side with Garcia than Rivera on key attributes
Garcia has a significant advantage on several important attributes. By 14% (43% to 29%), more voterssay Garcia will stand up and fight for people like them than think that about Rivera. Garcia also has an8% advantage on the economy, a key issue this year.
[INSERT STATEMENT] Does this apply more to Joe Garcia or David Rivera?
Will stand up and fight for people like you43 292521
Will strengthen Florida’s economy and create jobs
Rivera’s ethics violations are breaking through
Voters are hearing about Rivera’s ethical problems and
pulling away from him. Among those who hadheard or read about Rivera recently, the majority say what they heard has made them less favorabletoward Rivera (net -16%). The opposite is true for Garcia: the majority have heard positive coverage(net +23%).
BENENSON STRATEGY GROUP
1000 POTOMAC STREET NW, SUITE 420WASHINGTON, D.C. 20007