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IL-17 POS for Bobby Schilling & NRCC (Oct. 2012)

IL-17 POS for Bobby Schilling & NRCC (Oct. 2012)

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Published by Daily Kos Elections

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 16, 2012
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01/23/2013

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M E M O R A N D U M
TO:
INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM:
GLEN BOLGER/JIM HOBART
RE:
KEY FINDINGS – ILLINOIS CD 17 SURVEY
DATE:
OCTOBER 16, 2012
 Methodology
Public Opinion Strategies completed a survey of 400 likely voters in Illinois’ newly drawn 7 
h
Congressional District October 14-15, 2012 on behalf of the Schilling for Congress Campaignand the NRCC. Three hundred twenty (320) interviews were conducted with landlinerespondents and 80 interviews were conducted with cell phone respondents. The survey has amargin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.
 Key Findings
 
1.
 Bobby Schilling enjoys a solid image in the district.
Congressman Bobby Schilling has an image of 45% favorable/34% unfavorable.Schilling is extremely popular with Republicans (81% fav/3% unfav) and his image withIndependents mirrors his image with the overall electorate (46% fav/34% unfav).2.
Cheri Bustos’ image is underwater.
Cheri Bustos’ introduction to voters in this district has not been successful, as her imagecurrently sits at 34% fav/38% unfav. Bustos’ image with Independents (29% fav/47%unfav) is particularly problematic for her.3.
 Mitt Romney trails President Obama by six points in the district.
Looking at the Presidential ballot, 44% of voters back Mitt Romney while 50% areBarack Obama supporters. The President won this district with 60% of the vote in 2008,so he is running well behind his previous margin.4.
Schilling is over 50% on the Congressional ballot and leads by seven points.
Running well ahead of Mitt Romney in the district, Schilling has a solid lead onCheri Bustos (51% Schilling/44% Bustos)
 .
Only four percent of voters are undecided.Support for Schilling is driven by overwhelming support from Republicans(94% Schilling/3% Bustos) as well as a twenty-six point lead with Independents(58% Schilling/32% Bustos).

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