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Newspoll in the field 27-29 October
Primary vote: ALP 36, Coalition 412PP: ALP 46, Coalition 54PM approval: 35, disapproval 51Preferred PM: Gillard 45, Abbott 34Asian Century white paper
Excerpts of McKew’s book
in Fairfax papers26 Oct
Coverage of Maxine McKew’s book.
 24 Oct SMH covers union poll. 23 Oct Kevin Rudd announces campaign t-shirt competition. 22 Oct Union polling leaked to the Australian.21 Oct Maxine McKew calls for the ALP to bring back Rudd as a prominentpublic force, in an interview before the release of her book. 19 Oct Aust wins seat on UN Security Council.18 OctPhillip Coorey 
“
KEVIN Rudd has beat a steady drumbeat this week. He began bytweeting about his sick cat. On Wednesday, he used his considerablepopularity to campaign in the marginal seat of Banks, in south-western Sydney. On Wednesday night he conducted a wide-ranginginterview on the ABC program Lateline in which he called for an endto personal attacks pervading politics and a return to policy debate.This morning on Brisbane radio, he lamented the slow pace of reformin the Labor Party, recounted the trauma of losing the leadership, andexpressed hope that the mining tax, watered down after he wasdumped as leader, would make the revenue it was forecast to make.Mr Rudd was dumped in June 2010 in the middle of a fight with themining companies over his mining tax. His supporters freely admit theformer prime minister is repositioning himself for the leadership butinsist there will be no challenge and the caucus must come to realiseit needs him to win the next election.
”
 18 Oct Kevin Rudd on ABC Radio in Brisbane 17 Oct Kevin Rudd interview on Lateline, calling for more civility in politics 17 Oct Robert McClelland criticises 
role of PM’s office in Australia
Daykerfuffle
 
 9 Oct
PM’s misogyny speech in parliament
; Slipper resigns
Newspoll in the field 5-7 October
Primary vote: ALP 33, Coalition 452PP: ALP 46, Coalition 54PM approval: 36, disapproval 50Preferred PM: Gillard 43, Abbott 333 Oct Kevin Rudd comments on car industry support debate 28 SeptKevin Rudd holds press conference 
and defends Lindsay Tanner’s
remarks. "Mr Swan's contributed to it, Mr Burke's contributed to it,Ms Roxon's contributed to it and now Mr Tanner has as well," MrRudd told reporters.28 Sept Martin Ferguson swipes Julia Gillard over electricity prices
 
Newspoll delayed by one week due to long weekend in most states26 Sept
Lindsay Tanner’s
 Gang of Four piece in The Australian and associated
 
media appearances 17 SeptPeter Hartcher on latest Nielsen poll: Today's poll allows her defenders to make this case: stick with Gillardbecause her comeback is working, Abbott is in deepening difficulty,there is a year to the next election and she deserves a chance tocontinue to rebuild.Yet this is not an open-and-shut response to the prospect of anotherKevin Rudd leadership challenge because today's poll also contains astriking finding - if Labor replaced Gillard with Rudd, its fortuneswould be transformed.A Rudd leadership would give Labor the same scale of victory over theAbbott Coalition as Rudd delivered against the John Howard Coalitionin 2007.Rudd could do it again, on these numbers.
 
Newspoll in the field 14-16 September
Primary vote: ALP 36, Coalition 412PP: ALP 50, Coalition 50PM approval: 36, disapproval 52Preferred PM: Gillard 46, Abbott 3215 SeptPeter Hartcher 
 
“
It was a moment of ironic tang for some in the room. Some caucusmembers remembered hearing Julia Gillard justify her coup againstKevin Rudd by saying that she was not so much troubled by the Ruddgovernment's difficulties but by the fact that he seemed to have noplan to get out of difficulty.
”
 
“
The Gillard government says it is a year from an election, yet it is sobusy campaigning that it is getting very sloppy at governing. TheLabor caucus craves a strategy but it is getting a campaign and not avery rational one.
”
 12 Sept Rudd interviewed on 730 from China10-12SeptPM on bereavement leave
Newspoll in the field 31 Aug
 –
2 September
Primary vote: ALP 33, Coalition 462PP: ALP 45, Coalition 55PM approval: 31, disapproval 57Preferred PM: Gillard 39, Abbott 381 SeptPeter Hartcher 
on Rudd’s launch of the Whitlam biography:
 The truth is that the complaints about Rudd's temper and egosim,guilty though he was, were trivial in the scheme of things. They werean ex post facto rationalisation for an ill-considered coup. They werenot a serious disqualification for a prime minister, especially a Laborone.The public, after all, heard all the stories yet still rate Rudd aspreferred Labor leader by a factor of two to one. Only the caucus ishaving grave difficulty in getting over its own confected outrage. Inthe months ahead, the caucus will allow the polls to dictate whetherit's time.28AugustRudd launches Whitlam biography 27AugustPeter Hartcher reports on the latest Nielsen poll, which shows a smallrecovery for Labor.In other words, as Stirton puts it, ''the result for Labor has gone frombeing catastrophic to standard, garden-variety landslide''. An electiontoday would see Labor suffer a defeat of about the same magnitudeas the Keating government suffered at the hands of John Howard in1996.Now, as then, the mood is simply that Labor's time is up. The Gillardgovernment has done nothing to change that mood.
Notes
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