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CA-21 FM3 for John Hernandez (Oct. 2012)

CA-21 FM3 for John Hernandez (Oct. 2012)

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Published by Daily Kos Elections

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Oct 22, 2012
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10/22/2012

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2425 Colorado Avenue, Suite 180
 Santa Monica, CA 90404Phone: (310) 828-1183Fax: (310) 453-65621999 Harrison Street, Suite 1290Oakland, CA 94612Phone: (510) 451-9521Fax: (510) 451-0384
TO: Interested PartiesFROM: Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associates (FM3)RE: Results of Survey in California Congressional District 21DATE: October 17, 2012A recent survey of likely voters conducted by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin, Metz & Associatesshows
Small Business Advocate John Hernandez and California State Legislator DavidValadao in a statistical tie in a competitive race for
California’s 21
st
Congressional District.
i
 When voters are read the names of the candidates and their official ballot designations, Hernandezreceives 37 percent of the vote, and Valadao receives 41 percent, with nearly a quarter of voters(22%) undecided.
F
IGURE
1:
 
Congressional District 21 Vote
41%37%22%
0% 15% 30% 45% 60%
Total ValadaoTotal HernandezUndecided
 The survey results also show that there is an opportunity for Hernandez to make up groundamong Democrats, who make up nearly half of voters in the district. Barack Obama and JoeBiden hold 50 percent of the vote in this district compared to Mitt Romney and
Paul Ryan’s 39

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