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NEW POLL: Murphy’s Lead Expands to Six,Momentum Growing Heading into Final Stretch
October 25 2012
Gotham Research Group poll
mirrors Quinnipiac Poll ; Murphy up 47-41 overall,51-39 among womenMurphy lead grows following debates; Strong plurality think he did a better job
Rocky Hill—Today, the Murphy campaign released the following memorandum from Gotham Research Group ona poll conducted for the campaign. This new poll comes one day after the independent Quinnipiac poll showedthat Murphy has taken a six point lead in the campaign.“The trend in Connecticut is clear: the more voters learn about Linda McMahon’s right-wing Republican views,and the more they see the candidates debate the issues that matter to them, the more they move toward ChrisMurphy,” said Eli Zupnick, a spokesman for the Murphy campaign. “As recent polls have shown, Chris’smomentum is growing as he campaigns across the state discussing his work creating jobs, investing in the middleclass, and fighting for women and their health care rights. Voters are seeing through Linda McMahon’s $80 millioncampaign of stale smears and attack ads, and just as we saw in 2010, she has clearly hit a ceiling as voters focuson the election and make their final decision about the race.”
MEMORANDUMTo:
Kenny Curran, Campaign Manager, Chris Murphy for Senate
NEW POLL: Murphy’s Lead Expands to Six, Momentum Grow...http://www.chrismurphy.com/news/entry/new-poll-murphys-lea...1 of 310/25/12 2:57 PM
From:
Jeffrey Levine, Ph.D.
Subject:
Recent 2012 Connecticut U.S. Senate Race Polling
Date:
October 25, 2012
Key Findings
The results of a recent survey of registered likely voters in Connecticut demonstrate that CongressmanChris Murphy now has a clear lead over Linda McMahon in the close race for U.S. Senate.
The survey, conducted October 22-24, demonstrates that Murphy currently has a 6-point lead over McMahon (47% to 41%).These results track closely with the most recent October 19-22 Quinnipiac Poll that shows Murphy with a6-point lead over McMahon (49% to 43%) – a 7-point swing from the October 4 Quinnipiac survey whichshowed McMahon with a 1 point lead over Murphy (48% to 47%).Murphy has a 68-point advantage over McMahon among Democrats (80% to 12%) and a 12-point leadamong women (51% to 39%).Consistent with the October 19-22 Quinnipiac Poll, the gap between the candidates among men hasnarrowed; Murphy now has a 1-point edge among men (44% to 43%). TotalSample
GenderPartisanship
WomenMenDemocratIndep.RepublicanChris Murphy47%51%44%80%35%10%Linda McMahon41%39%43%12%46%81%Undecided11%10%11%7%17%8%
“Suppose the election for U.S. Senate were being held today between (ROTATE) Democrat Chris Murphy and Republican Linda McMahon, for whom would you vote?” Source: Gotham Research Group Poll of 400 likely voters, conducted October 22-24, 2012. Margin of error is +/-4.9%.
Those who saw the recent debates between Murphy and McMahon declare Murphy to be the clear winner (42% - Murphy did a better job vs. 33% - McMahon did a better job), including women (45% to33%), men (40% to 33%), and Independents (32% to 30%)
.Conclusion
Despite McMahon’s monetary advantage, Murphy has opened up a lead, gained ground among key demographicgroups, and is in a strong position as the race enters its final 13 days.
Methodology
NEW POLL: Murphy’s Lead Expands to Six, Momentum Grow...http://www.chrismurphy.com/news/entry/new-poll-murphys-lea...2 of 310/25/12 2:57 PM
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