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Interested Parties Project New America and USAction October 26, 2012 Obama now up by 3 points in New Hampshire

A statewide survey of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire was conducted by Grove Insight October 24-25 using professional interviewers. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. The data reported here closely mirrors party registration in New Hampshire -- 34% of the sample are registered Republicans, 29% are registered Democrats, and 37% are unaffiliated with either party.

President Obama Leads by Three Barack Obama is ahead by three percentage points (47% to 44%). Women (56% to 37%) are making the difference for Obama here the gender divide is deep with Romney securing majority support from men (39% Obama, 52% Romney). There are a number of signs that indicate the Presidents lead could expand. Obama is considerably more popular (52% favorable, 46% unfavorable) than Romney is (48% favorable, 51% unfavorable) in the Granite State.

Presidential Vote New Hampshire

80% 60% 40% 20%

+3 47% 44%

2%
0%
Obama 45% Other Lean Obama 2% Romney 43% Lean Romney 1%

7%
Undecided

There is a lot of perceived distance between the two contenders on three important measures. Obama is seen as understanding middle class struggles more so than Romney by 15 points. The President also gets his biggest edge of the polls we have conducted this week for offering calm and steady leadership in a time of crisis, (+11). New Hampshire voters may also be suffering from a little Romney fatigue. While fairly close elsewhere, voters here are more inclined to see Romney as too willing to say or do anything to get elected by 11 percentage points.

Who does it better describe Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? [Names rotated]
Obama Romney

Understands the struggles middle class families face Offers calm and steady leadership in a time of crisis Trust to make decisions that are in the best interest of people like you Too willing to say or do anything to get elected

49 48 47 35 www.usaction.org @USAction

34 37 45 46

www.projectnewamerica.com @PNAmerica

Demographic comparisons between this Grove Insight poll, the voterfile and other recent public surveys conducted in New Hampshire
Grove Insight Poll October 24-25 The actual voter file Granite State Poll October 17-21

Voters ages 18-49 Voters over age 50 Women Men Registered Republicans No Party Affiliation Registered Democrats

39 59 52 48 34 37 29

NA NA 53 47 33 38 29

37 60 51 49 27 38 30

www.projectnewamerica.com @PNAmerica

www.usaction.org @USAction