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MemoPNANewHampshire 102612

MemoPNANewHampshire 102612

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Published by ProjectNewAmerica

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Published by: ProjectNewAmerica on Oct 26, 2012
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10/31/2012

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www.projectnewamerica.com www.usaction.org  @PNAmerica @USAction
 
TO:
Interested Parties
FROM:
Project New America and USAction
DATE:
October 26, 2012
RE:
Obama now up by 3 points in New Hampshire
A statewide survey of 500 likely voters in New Hampshire was conducted by Grove Insight October 24-25 using professional interviewers. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence. The data reported here closely mirrors party registration in New Hampshire -- 34% of the sample are registered Republicans, 29% are registered Democrats, and 37% are unaffiliated with either party.
President Obama Leads by Three
 Barack Obama is ahead by three percentagepoints (47% to 44%). Women (56% to 37%)are making the difference for Obama here
 –
thegender divide is deep with Romney securingmajority support from men (39% Obama, 52%Romney).
 There are a number of signs that indicate the
President’s
lead could expand. Obama isconsiderably more popular (52% favorable,46% unfavorable) than Romney is (48%favorable, 51% unfavorable) in the GraniteState.
 There is a lot of perceived distance betweenthe two contenders on three important measures. Obama is seen as understanding middle class strugglesmore so than Romney by 15 points. The President also gets his biggest edge of the polls we haveconducted this week
for offering “calm and steady leadership in a time of crisis,” (+11).
 New Hampshire voters may also be suffering from a little Romney fatigue. While fairly close elsewhere,
voters here are more inclined to see Romney as “too willing to say or do anything to get elected” by 11
percentage points.
 
Who does it better describe
Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney? [Names rotated] 
Obama Romney
Understands the struggles middle class families face
 
49
34
Offers calm and steady leadership in a time of crisis
 
48
37
Trust to make decisions that are in the best interest of peoplelike you
 
47
45
Too willing to say or do anything to get elected
 
35
46 
0%20%40%60%80%
2%7%
 Presidential Vote
New Hampshire
Romney 43%Lean Romney 1%Obama 45%Lean Obama 2%
UndecidedOther 
+3
47%44%

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