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CD19 October 2012 Crosstabs

CD19 October 2012 Crosstabs

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Published by: JimmyVielkind on Oct 30, 2012
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10/31/2012

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Siena College Research InstituteOctober 27-28, 2012649 Likely Voters Congressional District 19MOE +/- 3.8%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherCD 202010Other CD2010MFSchreibmanGibsonUlster/DutchessSullivan/Broome/Delaware/OtsegoMontgomery/Schoharie/Greene/Columbia/RennselaerUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherFavorable
69% 82% 59% 66% 69% 68% 63% 73% 79% 60% 68% 66% 71% 64% 72% 66% 66% 77%
Unfavorable
24% 15% 31% 26% 26% 23% 28% 20% 16% 32% 22% 23% 28% 27% 22% 26% 27% 19%
Don't know/No opinion
7% 3% 11% 7% 5% 9% 8% 6% 5% 7% 10% 11% 2% 8% 7% 9% 8% 4%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherCD 202010Other CD2010MFSchreibmanGibsonUlster/DutchessSullivan/Broome/Delaware/OtsegoMontgomery/Schoharie/Greene/Columbia/RennselaerUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherBarack Obama on the Democratic line
50% 88% 14% 51% 47% 52% 42% 57% 88% 17% 54% 51% 44% 47% 52% 42% 42% 72%
Mitt Romney on the Republican line
42% 7% 79% 39% 44% 40% 48% 37% 6% 77% 39% 38% 49% 41% 42% 53% 51% 19%
Someone else
1% 0% 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1%
Don't know/No opinion
7% 5% 7% 9% 7% 7% 8% 6% 4% 5% 7% 9% 6% 9% 5% 5% 5% 9%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherCD 202010Other CD2010MFSchreibmanGibsonUlster/DutchessSullivan/Broome/Delaware/OtsegoMontgomery/Schoharie/Greene/Columbia/RennselaerUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherRe-elect Gibson
43% 23% 63% 43% 50% 38% 46% 40% 8% 81% 36% 40% 55% 43% 43% 50% 51% 26%
Prefer someone else
39% 60% 21% 39% 37% 41% 37% 42% 75% 9% 42% 41% 35% 37% 41% 31% 36% 53%
Don't know/No opinion
18% 17% 16% 18% 13% 22% 17% 18% 18% 10% 23% 19% 10% 20% 16% 19% 13% 21%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherCD 202010Other CD2010MFUlster/DutchessSullivan/Broome/Delaware/OtsegoMontgomery/Schoharie/Greene/Columbia/RennselaerUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherJulian Schreibman on the Democratic line
43% 74% 13% 44% 39% 46% 39% 46% 49% 45% 34% 43% 42% 32% 35% 66%
Chris Gibson on the Republican line
48% 17% 80% 46% 54% 44% 53% 44% 42% 43% 59% 47% 49% 58% 57% 26%
Not voting
1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Don't know/No opinion
8% 9% 6% 9% 7% 9% 8% 8% 9% 11% 6% 9% 7% 9% 7% 7%
Q9. If the election for Member of Congress from the 19th Congressional District was held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:PartyPrevious Cong GenderRegionAgeReligionQ8. Chris Gibson is running for re-election to be a Member of Congress. As things stand now, would you vote to re-elect him or would you prefer someone else?PartyPrevious Cong GenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ7. If the 2012 election for President were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:PartyPrevious Cong GenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ6. Andrew CuomoPartyPrevious Cong GenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligion
CD19 October 2012 Crosstabs 2 of 4
 
Siena College Research InstituteOctober 27-28, 2012649 Likely Voters Congressional District 19MOE +/- 3.8%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherCD 202010Other CD2010MFSchreibmanGibsonUlster/DutchessSullivan/Broome/Delaware/OtsegoMontgomery/Schoharie/Greene/Columbia/RennselaerUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherAbsolutely certain; there's no chance I willchange my mind
61% 58% 66% 58% 64% 58% 68% 55% 58% 64% 63% 54% 63% 54% 65% 65% 58% 59%
Fairly certain; it's unlikely I will change mymind
28% 32% 27% 26% 26% 30% 24% 31% 30% 25% 26% 33% 27% 33% 24% 25% 30% 29%
Not very certain; I very well may changemy mind
7% 7% 4% 9% 6% 7% 5% 8% 7% 6% 5% 11% 5% 8% 6% 6% 6% 9%
Not certain at all; there's a good chance Iwill change my mind
4% 2% 3% 6% 3% 4% 3% 5% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3%
Don't know/No opinion
1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
TotalDemRepInd/OtherCD 202010Other CD2010MFSchreibmanGibsonUlster/DutchessSullivan/Broome/Delaware/OtsegoMontgomery/Schoharie/Greene/Columbia/RennselaerUnder5555 andolderCathProtOtherJulian Schreibman
35% 15% 54% 36% 40% 31% 40% 30% 10% 62% 30% 33% 43% 35% 35% 44% 38% 21%
Chris Gibson
18% 30% 8% 18% 17% 20% 19% 18% 38% 2% 18% 16% 21% 18% 19% 18% 16% 22%
Vol: Both
8% 9% 6% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 5% 7% 7% 9% 8% 8% 5% 9% 8%
Vol: Neither
4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 5% 6% 2% 3% 5% 3% 6% 4%
Don't know/No opinion
35% 41% 30% 33% 31% 38% 29% 40% 39% 28% 40% 38% 26% 37% 33% 29% 31% 46%
Q11. Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think has been waging the more negative campaign?PartyPrevious Cong GenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligionQ10. How likely would you say you are to vote for [CANDIDATE NAME]? Are you...PartyPrevious Cong GenderVote ChoiceRegionAgeReligion
CD19 October 2012 Crosstabs 3 of 4

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