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Memo PNAOhio 102912

Memo PNAOhio 102912

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Published by ProjectNewAmerica

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Published by: ProjectNewAmerica on Oct 30, 2012
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11/07/2013

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TO:
Interested Parties
FROM:
Project New America and
USAction
 
DATE:
October 30, 2012
RE:
New Statewide Poll in Ohio Shows President Obama up 3 Over Mitt Romney
 A statewide telephone survey of 500 likely voters in Ohio was conducted by Grove Insight October 28-29 using professional interviewers. Quotas were set to ensure calling into cell phone only households. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.
President Obama Leads in Ohio
 
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by three pointsOhio (48% to 45%). The gap in strong support is abit wider (+4), with 44% firmly in the President’scamp and 40% solidly behind Romney.
 
Women provide the lead for Obama (52% to 43%)while the race is close among men (45% to 48%).The gap is even wider among blue-collar, non-college women (54% to 42%).
 
While not exactly news, it is worth reporting that thePresident has locked the African American vote(94% to 4%).
 Obama’s lead can be explained by his advantage on three important fronts: a champion of the middle class,steady judgment and for having a plan to move the country forward. By a margin of 8 points, Obama isseen as more likely than Romney to build a middle class economy. He is also credited for having “thesteadiness and judgment to be Commander-in-Chief.” In addition, voters are slightly more likely to seeObama as the candidate with a concrete plan by four points. And, by a slight three percentage point edge,Romney is seen as someone who is “too willing to say or do anything to get elected.”
Who does it better describe – Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney?  [Names rotated] 
 
Obama Romney
Will work to re-build the middle class economy
 
48
40
Has the steadiness and judgment to be Commander-in-Chief 
 
48
40
Has a concrete plan to move our country forward
 
45
41
Too willing to say or do anything to get elected
37 
40 
0%20%40%60%80%
2%5%
 Presidential Vote – Ohio
+
3
 
48
%
 
45
%
 

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