To: Interested PartiesFrom: David Mermin, Bob Meadow, and Brittany StalsburgRe: Recent polling on the CA-36 raceDate: October 30, 2012A new Lake Research Partners poll
of California’s 36
Congressional District shows
Democrat Dr. Raul Ruiz leading incumbent Republican Mary Bono Mack by 6 pointsamong voters who have already voted and those who are likely to vote combined
.Among only voters who have not yet voted,
Ruiz leads by 11 points.
Republicans are ata slight advantage in party registration, but CA-36 is clearly leaning Democratic this year,with Obama leading Romney by 7 points. Voters increasingly are hearing about Ruiz andhis contrasts with Bono Mack are resonating well. The data also indicate that
attacks on Ruiz have been weak and ineffective
. The race in District 36 remainsextremely close and competitive, with Ruiz very well situated to win this seat.
Lake Research Partners conducted a poll of 409 likely 2012 general election voters in California’s 36
Congressional District. Live telephone interviews were conducted in English and Spanish from October 20-22, 2012.Sampling error is +/- 4.9%.