THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEYOF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS
THE CALIFORNIA POLL
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Friday, November 2, 2012MORE VOTERS NOW FAVOR DEATHPENALTY'S REPEAL (PROP. 34), BUTYES VOTE LESS THAN A MAJORITY.PROP. 32 (PAYROLL DEDUCTIONS FORPOLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS)OPPOSED BY A WIDE MARGIN.
IMPORTANT: Contract for this service issubject to revocation if publication or broadcasttakes place before release date or if contents aredivulged to persons outside of subscriber staff prior to release time. (ISSN 0195-4520)By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin FieldThe latest
finds that for the first time supporters outnumber opponents of Proposition 34,the statewide ballot initiative to repeal the death penalty and replace it with life in prison withoutparole. Currently 45% of this state’s likely voters are voting Yes while 38% are voting No. But, arelatively large 17% remain undecided.One of the factors propelling the increase in support of the initiative relates to the growingperception that the death penalty is more expensive to administer than housing a person in prisonfor life. When asked about this in the current survey, 53% of likely voters now say the death penaltyis more expensive than life in prison, while 31% think it is more expensive to house a convictedfelon for life. This represents a significant change in voter opinion compared to past
measures. A September 2011
found slightly more believing life in prison was moreexpensive than the death penalty (43% to 41%), while in 1989 greater than a two to one majorityfelt this way (54% to 26%).The poll also finds more voters moving to the No side on Proposition 32, the initiative to prohibitpayroll deductions for campaign contributions. At present 50% of likely voters are intending to voteNo on Prop. 32, while 34% are in favor. This sixteen-point plurality against the measure is morethan twice the six point deficit observed in mid-September.These results come from the final pre-election
conducted by telephone among likelyvoters in California in six languages and dialects. A total of 1,566 likely voters were surveyed.Interviewing was administered in two consecutive waves, with 815 interviews conducted October17-24 and 751 completed October 25-30.