Project New America and USAction
November 2, 2012
New Statewide Poll in Michigan Shows President Obama up by Seven Points
A statewide telephone survey of 500 likely voters in Michigan was conducted by Grove Insight October 31
to November 1
using professional interviewers. Quotas were set to ensure calling into cell phone only households. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.
Michigan voters see Obama, not Romney, as the
Barack Obama is currently ahead of Mitt Romney byseven percentage points (48% to 41%). One keyreason for
because Michiganvoters are much more inclined to believe he
By nearly 20 points, voters
important economic sectors than Romney (53%Obama, 34% Romney). In the head-to-head matchup,Obama leads 84% to 9% among those who believe thePresident
will be better for the auto industry.
Connected to this, the President also has considerably
-buildthe middle class economy
aneconomy that extends well beyond the automotive sector.
The President also has a double-digit lead in the early vote (49% to 39% among already voted).
There are two other trends of significance. While the President has a big lead with women (50% to 39%) he alsohas a slight edge among men (46% to 44%). And while
lead among younger voters is a given (51% to39%), he is also up a bit over Romney among voters over age 50 (46% to 43%).
Another challenge for Romney is that voters are not terribly willing to take his message at face value. Nearly half (45