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Memo Pna Oh2.110212

Memo Pna Oh2.110212

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Published by ProjectNewAmerica

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Published by: ProjectNewAmerica on Nov 03, 2012
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12/04/2012

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TO:
Interested Parties
FROM:
Project New America and USAction
DATE:
November 3, 2012
RE:
New Statewide Poll in Ohio Shows President Obama Leading by Four Points
A statewide telephone survey of 500 likely voters in Ohio was conducted by Grove Insight November 1-2, 2012 using professional interviewers. Quotas were set to ensure calling into cell phone only households. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence.
The President is starting to see daylight in overallsupport and on key factors deciding this race
 Barack Obama is currently ahead of Mitt Romney byfour percentage points (49% to 45%).
 This is due, in part, to his lead in several key factorsdriving vote choice in this race. By a margin of eightpoints, voters view Obama as the man with the planto move our country forward. He is also seen ascandidate who will work to re-build the middle classeconomy (+8 over Romney).
 The president has also seen a meaningful uptick inhis job approval ratings in the past several days,which could be a function of his response toSuperstorm Sandy. His positive approval numbersare up by five points and his disapproval numbers have dropped by four.
 
Claims of inaccuracy of the Romney “Jeep” ad may also be hurting the challenger’s credibility
.
Ohio voters believe Romney is better described as the candidate who “you can’t really believe whathe says” (+
7 for Romney).
 The President also has a big lead among the early vote (56% to 39%)
indication that the
Democrats’
ground game is working.
 
Who does it better describe
Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney?  [Names rotated] 
 
Obama Romney
Will work to re-build the middle class economy
 
50
42
Has a concrete plan to move our country forward
 
49
41
You can’t really believe what he says
 
38
45
0%20%40%60%80%
1%4%
 Presidential Vote
Ohio
+4
49%45%
Romney 40%Lean Romney 5%Obama 46%Lean Obama 3%UndecidedOther 

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