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CIRCLE - 2012 Election Night Release

CIRCLE - 2012 Election Night Release

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Published by Luna Media Group
CIRCLE - 2012 Election Night Release
CIRCLE - 2012 Election Night Release

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Published by: Luna Media Group on Nov 07, 2012
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11/07/2012

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EXIT POLLS: Youth Represent 19% of Voters, Up 1 Point from ‘08
 
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
 
CONTACT
:Brad Luna, 202-812-8140 (cell)
 
CIRCLE to Release Exclusive Turnout Estimate Tomorrow
 
Joint Press Call w/  Rock the Vote  at 12noon (ET) to Discuss Turnout & Provide Analysis 
Medford/Somerville, Mass.
 
 –
Young people (ages 18-
29) represented 19% of the voters in today’s election, with
President Obama winning the majority of those votes over Governor Romney by 60% to 36%, according to the earlyreleased National Exit Poll (NEP) conducted by Edison Research. This is one point higher than in 2008, when youngvoters represented 18 percent of voters in the presidential election, according to the NEP. (Note that Early NationalExit Poll data are subject to reweighting.)
 
 
(CIRCLE)-the preeminent youth researchers at Tufts University - will be releasing an exclusive
 
 youth turnout estimate for the 2012 election. Turnout is the only statistic reflecting either an
increase or decrease in youth voting this election. CIRCLE’s exclusive youth turnout number
and further analysis will be discussed duringa national press conference call being held by 
 
CIRCLE and Rock the Vote tomorrow (Wednesday) at 12noon (ET).
To reserve a line on thecall please RSVP to brad@lunamediagroup.com. 
“The role young people would play during this election has been a major question in American politics for over a year,and it seems the answer is that they have been as big a force at the polls in 2012 as in 2008,” said CIRCLE Director Peter Levine. “They
again supported President Obama, although not as lopsidedly as in 2008. Until tomorrow, it willbe unclear whether youth turnout--or the turnout of any group--rose or fell, but young people were proportionately well
represented in the 2012 electorate.”
 
The 19% share does not indicate how many young people voted or whether there was a rise in youth turnout. In2004, the youth share of the vote remained constant even though youth turnout rose. Young people represent about21% of the voting-eligible populati
on, according to CIRCLE’s analysis of Census data.
 
The youth share (percentage of voters who are young) has stayed steady since 1996 as more people of every agehave voted. Youth turnout, on the other hand, has grown consistently, with half of all 18-29 year olds voting in the2008 election. See data table here: http://www.civicyouth.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/Table1_Nov6.jpg
Young voters preferred Obama over Romney by 60% to 36%
 
in the National Exit Polls. That represented a somewhatnarrower margin than in the 2008 election, in which Obama took 66% of young voters. Before 2008, in elections from1976 through 2004, young voters diverged by an average of only about 2 percentage points from the popular vote asa whole. See data table here: http://www.civicyouth.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/Table2_Nov6th.jpg
Further analysis of the youth vote choice from the National Exit Polls provided by CIRCLE, includes:
 

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