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FOR RELEASE: JANUARY 26, 2009
MORE VOTERS BLAME KENNEDY FOR FAILED SENATE BID,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY NEW YORK STATE POLL FINDS;REPUBLICANS BACK GILLEBRAND MORE THAN DEMOCRATS
Caroline Kennedy and her aides are more to blame than Gov. David Paterson and his team for thecontroversy surrounding her failed bid for New York’s U.S. Senate seat, voters say 49 – 15 percent in a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 12 percent blame both camps,while 24 percent are undecided. New York State voters approve 46 – 30 percent, with 24 percent undecided, of Gov.Paterson’s selection of Albany area U.S. Rep. Kirsten Gillebrand for the Senate seat, theindependent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. Men approve 48 – 29 percentwhile women approve 44 – 31 percent. Republicans back the selection 56 – 27 percent, a wider margin than the 41 – 35 percent among Democrats. Independent voters back her 49 – 21 percent.Upstate voters back the choice 55 – 25 percent, while suburban voters approve 35 – 32 percent and New York City voters approve 41 – 34 percent.By a 25 – 10 percent margin, New York State voters have a favorable opinion of Gillebrand, but 63 percent say they don’t know enough about her to make a decision. Her favorability upstate is 34 – 8 percent with 58 percent who don’t know enough about her to decide.“Blame for dithering over the choice of a U.S. Senator falls mostly on Caroline Kennedy.But there’s an inside-baseball element in this – a lot of New Yorkers say they simply don’t knowwho’s at fault,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.“Kirsten who? Senator-to-be Kirsten Gillebrand is smart to instantly do let’s-get-acquainted visits with black and Hispanic leaders. New Yorkers aren’t unfriendly, but two-thirdsof them don’t know much about her.”“And as expected, the new Senator is more popular upstate than downstate.”
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Maurice Carroll, DirectorQuinnipiac University Polling InstituteRubenstein Associates, Inc.,Public RelationsPat Smith (212) 843-8026
 
Quinnipiac University Poll/January 26, 2009 – page 2
While more New York State voters approve of Paterson’s selection of Gillebrand, theysplit on their judgment of how he selected a new Senator, with 44 percent approving and 42 percent disapproving. Republicans approve 52 – 39 percent, while Democrats split 42 – 43 percent.Paterson’s overall approval stands at 50 – 30 percent, down from 53 – 25 percent in aJanuary 15 Quinnipiac University poll. Paterson’s approval among Republican voters is up, from41 – 38 percent to 45 – 39 percent, while approval among Democrats is down from 62 – 18 percent to 54 – 24 percent.“New Yorkers give Paterson a split decision on how he handled the Senate selection,despite the critical news coverage. He hurt himself among Democrats, while Republicans areliking him a little better these days,” Carroll said.Because of Gillebrand’s pro-gun position and her backing by the National Rifle Assn., 36 percent of New York State voters, including 50 percent of Democrats, are less likely to vote for her when she runs for election next year, while 17 percent are more likely to vote for her. Another 41 percent say this doesn’t make a difference.“In the Congressional district she’s represented, NRA support is a plus. Not state-wide,”Carroll said.From January 23 – 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,047 New York State registeredvoters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio andnationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed –http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml,or call (203) 582-5201.
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1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his jobas Governor?Tot Rep Dem Ind Men WomApprove 50% 45% 54% 53% 50% 50%Disapprove 30 39 24 28 32 29DK/NA 20 15 22 19 18 21UpState..... UpStateUrban Othr Total NYC SubApprove 52% 43% 45% 55% 51%Disapprove 31 36 35 26 29DK/NA 17 21 20 19 20TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling hisjob as Governor?Jan 26 Jan 15 Dec 24 Aug 6 Jun 12 Apr 172009 2009 2008 2008 2008 2008 Approve 50 53 53 64 56 50Disapprove 30 25 29 14 17 10DK/NA 20 22 18 22 27 392. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Paterson handled the processof selecting a new United States senator to fill Hillary Clinton's senate seat?Tot Rep Dem Ind Men WomApprove 44% 52% 42% 43% 48% 41%Disapprove 42 39 43 43 40 44DK/NA 14 9 15 13 12 15UpState..... UpStateUrban Othr Total NYC SubApprove 52% 48% 49% 47% 31%Disapprove 31 38 36 42 53DK/NA 17 15 15 11 153. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Paterson's selection of KirstenGillibrandto fill Hillary Clinton's senate seat?Tot Rep Dem Ind Men WomApprove 46% 56% 41% 49% 48% 44%Disapprove 30 27 35 21 29 31DK/NA 24 17 24 30 23 25UpState..... UpStateUrban Othr Total NYC SubApprove 61% 54% 55% 41% 35%Disapprove 25 25 25 34 32DK/NA 14 21 20 25 33
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