Professional Documents
Culture Documents
11
Republic of Korea
Economic Bulletin
The Green Book : Current Economic Trends
Overview
2. Private consumption
3. Facility investment
12
4. Construction investment
14
16
18
20
8. Employment
22
9. Financial markets
9.1 Stock market
9.2 Exchange rate
9.3 Bond market
9.4 Money supply & money market
26
30
32
36
40
Policy Issues
Korea Expands Economic Relations to Africa and Qatar
42
47
Statistical Appendices
51
US
US gross domestic product growth (advanced estimates) in the third quarter of 2012 was 2.0
percent at an annualized rate, up from the previous quarters 1.3 percent. Labor and other
economic indicators improved.
Helped by a big increase in durable goods sales, domestic spending, which accounts for 70
percent of the US economic activity, led the recovery. Domestic spending increased 2.0 percent
in the third quarter of this year, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous quarter. Durable
goods sales rose 8.5 percent, rebounding from the previous quarters 0.2 percent contraction.
Government spending grew for the first time in nine quarters, thanks to the federal governments
increased military expenditures, contributing to a 0.71 percentage points increase in economic
growth. Government spending in the third quarter of this year increased 3.7 percent, up 4.4
percentage points from the previous quarters 0.7 percent contraction, while military spending
rose 13.0 percent, bouncing back from the previous quarters 0.2 percent contraction.
Industrial production and personal consumption expenditure in September all rose month-onmonth, while the ISM Manufacturing Index for October rose for two successive months above
the base level of 50, and consumer confidence also hit the highest since September 2007,
indicating that the economy may be picking up.
ISM Manufacturing Index (base=50)
54.1 (Jan 2012)
52.4 (Feb)
53.4 (Mar)
54.8 (Apr)
53.5 (May)
49.7 (Jun)
49.8 (Jul)
49.6 (Aug)
51.5 (Sep)
51.7 (Oct)
74.3 (Aug)
78.3 (Sep)
82.6 (Oct)
75.3 (Feb)
76.2 (Mar)
76.4 (Apr)
79.3 (May)
73.2 (Jun)
72.3 (Jul)
In October, the jobless rate was 7.9 percent, falling below 8 percent for two months in a row,
while nonfarm payroll employment increased by 171,000, up from the previous months
148,000.
Nonfarm payroll increase (m-o-m, thousand)
275 (Jan 2012)
259 (Feb)
143 (Mar)
68 (Apr)
87 (May)
45 (Jun)
181 (Jul)
192 (Aug)
148 (Sep)
171 (Oct)
Housing prices rose for seven months in a row in August, but housing markets were mixed
with month-on-month sales of existing homes decreasing 1.7 percent while those of new
homes rising 5.7 percent.
Case-Shiller home price index (seasonally adjusted)
203.4 (Dec 2006)
136.8 (Feb)
137.6 (Mar)
138.8 (Apr)
140.2 (May)
141.6 (Jun)
142.0 (Jul)
142.7 (Aug)
8.0 (Feb)
-3.8 (Mar)
1.7 (Apr)
2010
Real GDP
2011
Annual Annual
2
3.1 (May)
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep
Oct
2.4
1.8
0.1
2.5
1.3
4.1
2.0
1.3
2.0
1.8
2.5
3.1
1.0
1.7
2.0
2.4
1.5
2.0
0.7
8.6
-1.3
14.5
19.0
9.5
7.5
3.6
-1.3
-3.7
-1.4
-1.4
4.1
1.4
12.1
20.5
8.5
14.4
Industrial production
5.3
4.1
1.2
0.2
1.7
0.9
1.4
0.6
-0.1
-1.4
0.4
3.8
4.7
1.5
1.0
1.0
0.8
1.2
0.5
0.9
0.5
0.8
-3.4
2.5
9.0
-5.2
-0.2
3.1
4.6
-0.7
2.3
8.1
-1.7
9.6
9.0
8.9
9.1
9.1
8.7
8.3
8.2
8.1
8.1
7.8
7.9
1.6
3.1
1.3
1.0
0.8
0.2
0.6
0.2
0.6
0.6
0.6
Consumer prices
1. Preliminary
November 2012
3. Seasonally adjusted
1-1
1-2
1-3
Economic Bulletin
China
The Chinese economy continued to slow down, falling to 7.4 percent in the third quarter,
down 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous quarter, but economic indicators such
as exports as well as consumption and investment increased since September.
September exports soared by 9.9 percent year-on-year, considerably up from the previous
months 2.7 percent increase, while retail sales and fixed asset investment rose.
(Percentage change from same period in previous year)
Q1
2011
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
20121
Q3
10.3
9.2
9.7
9.5
9.1
8.9
8.1
7.6
7.4
2010
Annual Annual
Real GDP
Aug
Sep
15.7
13.9
14.9
13.9
13.8
12.8
11.6
9.5
9.1
8.9
9.2
24.5
25.1
32.5
27.0
28.0
28.0
21.3
20.8
21.0
20.7
21.0
Retail sales
18.4
17.1
17.1
18.2
17.3
17.5
14.9
13.9
13.5
13.2
14.2
Exports
31.3
20.3
26.4
22.0
20.5
14.3
8.9
10.5
4.5
2.7
9.9
3.3
5.4
5.1
5.7
6.3
4.6
3.8
2.9
1.9
2.0
1.9
5.5
6.0
7.0
6.9
7.1
3.1
0.1
-1.4
-3.3
-3.5
-3.6
Industrial production
Consumer prices
Producer prices2
1. Preliminary
Japan
The Japanese economy continued to decline, with industrial production and exports
decreasing and consumer prices falling for a fourth consecutive month since June.
With exports slowing down since June, the current account continued to post a deficit for
three months in a row, while retail sales also slipped after subsidies on environment-friendly
vehicles ended on September 21.
Current account balance (billion)
-1,481 (Jan 2012)
25 (Feb)
-87 (Mar)
2010
Annual
Annual
4.4
-0.8
17.3
Real GDP
Industrial production
-524 (Apr)
-917 (May)
Q1
2011
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
-2.0
-0.5
1.8
0.1
1.3
0.3
-2.4
-2.0
-4.0
4.3
-0.4
1.3
-2.0
-1.3
-4.1
Aug
Sep
2.5
-1.2
-2.7
-1.6
-1.0
0.7
5.2
3.2
1.7
0.4
Exports (y-o-y)
26.1
-2.6
2.7
-8.1
0.6
-5.4
-2.0
5.2
-5.8
-10.3
-0.7
-0.3
-0.5
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
0.3
0.1
-0.4
-0.3
1. Preliminary
Sources: Japan's Cabinet Office, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Ministry of Finance, Statistics Bureau of Japan
Eurozone
Despite some bright spots in industrial output and retail sales, the eurozone economy is
slowing down overall, with the manufacturing PMI falling and a record high unemployment
rate continuing.
Manufacturing PMI (base = 50)
46.9 (Dec 2011)
49.0 (Feb)
47.7 (Mar)
45.9 (Apr)
45.1 (May)
45.1 (Jun)
44.0 (Jul)
45.1 (Aug)
46.1 (Sep)
10.9 (Feb)
11.0 (Mar)
11.2 (Apr)
11.3 (May)
11.4 (Jun)
11.5 (Jul)
10.7 (Dec)
Annual
Q1
2011
Q2
Real GDP
2.0
1.4
0.6
Industrial production
7.4
3.5
0.9
Retail sales
0.9
-0.5
20.1
1.6
Exports (y-o-y)
Consumer prices (y-o-y)
1. Preliminary
Source: Eurostat
November 2012
Q1
Q2
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
-2.1
-0.5
-0.5
0.3
-1.2
0.2
13.0
9.4
8.3
2.8
2.7
2.9
Q3
Q4
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.8
-0.1
-0.4
12.7
21.5
2.7
2.5
20121
Q3
Aug
Sep
0.6
-0.6
0.1
8.6
8.1
10.4
2.7
2.7
2.5
2.6
2.6
1-4
1-5
1-6
Economic Bulletin
2. Private consumption
Private consumption (advanced estimates of GDP) climbed 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter
and 1.5 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2012.
(Percentage change from previous period)
20111
2010
Private consumption
y-o-y
20121
Annual
Q2
Q3
Q4
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
4.4
0.7
1.2
0.4
2.3
0.6
0.8
3.9
3.9
3.0
2.9
3.0
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.2
-0.4
1.0
0.4
0.6
2.1
-1.1
1.6
1.1
1.5
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
Retail sales in September rose 1.5 percent month-on-month and 2.5 percent year-on-year as
the sale of durable goods, semi-durable goods and non-durable goods all increased.
Despite a decrease in sales of home appliances due to lower seasonal demand, durable
goods sales rose 0.5 percent month-on-month thanks to a surge in sales of automobiles
helped by the end of auto strikes and the individual consumption tax cut. Semi-durable and
non-durable goods sales rose 1.9 percent month-on-month respectively thanks to the
absence of temporary factors, such as typhoons and holiday effects.
(Percentage change from previous period)
2010
2011
2012
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q31
Aug1
Sep1
6.7
4.3
1.5
0.1
1.6
-1.3
1.0
0.2
1.6
-3.1
1.5
5.4
5.7
4.7
1.9
2.0
1.0
1.7
-0.4
2.5
14.8
10.8
4.3
-0.5
1.8
-2.4
3.0
1.3
4.4
-3.6
0.5
11.1
5.9
5.9
-4.9
3.6
-11.3
2.8
8.1
-0.8
-13.5
17.5
6.8
4.2
0.8
0.7
1.2
-0.3
-0.3
-0.3
-1.3
-5.3
1.9
2.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
2.1
-0.5
0.7
-1.0
1.6
-1.3
1.9
1. Preliminary
2. Durable goods: Automobiles, electronic appliances, furniture, telecommunications devices, etc.
3. Semi-durable goods: Clothing, footwear, etc.
4. Non-durable goods: Food, medicine, cosmetics, fuel, tobacco, etc.
Source: Statistics Korea
Department stores and nonstore retailers saw their sales decrease while large discount
stores and specialized retailers saw their sales increase.
(Percentage change from previous period)
2010
2011
2012
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q31
Aug1
Sep1
- Department stores
8.8
8.1
2.2
0.5
1.2
-0.6
-0.8
1.1
0.8
-3.7
-2.9
- Large discounters
4.5
3.9
1.2
1.0
0.2
0.3
-1.2
-2.1
2.3
4.2
0.5
- Specialized retailers2
5.7
3.3
1.3
-0.5
2.1
-3.1
1.5
-0.2
1.9
-5.8
2.1
15.6
8.6
1.4
1.2
2.8
0.6
2.7
2.4
0.3
-3.2
-7.6
- Nonstore retailers
1. Preliminary
2. Specialized retailers are defined as stores carrying a few (1 to 3) specialized items.
Source: Statistics Korea
November 2012
2-1
Private consumption
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
2-2
2-3
Economic Bulletin
October retail sales are expected to remain unchanged from the previous month thanks to
an increase in automobile sales.
Year-on-year credit card sales growth slowed down in October due to the base effect from
the previous month.
Department store and discount store sales decreased year-on-year as demand for gifts and
food & beverages fell after the holidays.
Gasoline sales increased due to a fall in gasoline prices.
Gasoline prices (won per liter)
2,023 (Sep, 4th week)
Sales of domestically made cars rebounded thanks to the individual consumption tax cut on
September 11, posting a year-on-year growth for the first time in five months.
(y-o-y, %)
2012
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
24.9
14.5
18.3
15.3
13.7
13.7
8.0
15.7
9.7
2.9
1.6
-3.4
1.0
-2.0
-1.3
-6.9
-0.8
-1.3
-6.4
3.2
-2.4
-5.7
-7.2
-8.2
-3.3
0.2
-7.4
4.4
4.1
5.6
5.2
8.2
-2.1
-2.7
0.7
6.3
6.4
-9.8
-6.9
1.3
-3.7
-4.0
-20.2
-3.1
4.3
Sources: Credit Finance Association of Korea, Ministry of Knowledge Economy, Korea National Oil Corporation, Korea Customs Service, Korea Automobile
Manufacturers Association, Ministry of Strategy and Finance (for October data)
Amid external and domestic uncertainties, consumer confidence has been slow to recover,
but as inflation remains low and employment picks up, conditions for consumption are
improving. The individual consumption tax reduction will lead to a moderate increase in
retail sales.
Consumer sentiment in October fell below the base level of 100 for a third successive month
due to economic uncertainties.
Consumer sentiment index (CSI, base=100)
98 (Jan 2012) 100 (Feb)
99 (Sep) 98 (Oct)
101 (Mar)
104 (Apr)
105 (May)
2.5 (Apr)
2.5 (May)
2.2 (Jun)
101 (Jun)
100 (Jul)
99 (Aug)
2.6 (Mar)
1.5 (Jul)
1.2 (Aug)
2.0 (Sep)
2.1 (Oct)
10
November 2012
419 (Mar)
455 (Apr)
472 (May)
365 (Jun)
470 (Jul)
364 (Aug)
685 (Sep)
2-4
2-5
2-6
Economic Bulletin
11
3. Facility investment
Facility investment (advanced estimates of GDP) decreased 4.3 percent quarter-on-quarter
and 6.0 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2012.
(Percentage change from previous quarter)
20111
2010
Facility investment
Annual
Annual
25.7
-
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
3.7
-1.6
4.7
-1.8
-4.3
10.3
-7.0
-4.3
10.3
7.7
1.2
-3.3
8.6
-3.5
-6.0
31.2
4.1
-1.9
5.0
-2.5
-2.5
11.4
-7.5
8.3
1.9
-0.7
3.7
0.9
-11.2
6.1
-4.6
y-o-y
- Machinery
- Transportation equipment
20121
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
The facility investment index in September rose 6.2 percent month-on-month due to an
increase in transportation equipment and machinery investment. On a yearly basis,
however, the index fell 8.2 percent.
(Percentage change from previous quarter)
2010
20121
2011
Annual
Annual
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q31
Jul
Aug1
24.2
0.7
-1.5
-5.0
11.3
-3.3
-9.3
1.5
-13.9
6.2
-3.1
-4.7
9.3
-0.4
-7.1
1.3
-14.2
-8.2
29.4
1.7
-2.2
-3.1
10.2
-4.6
-8.6
3.2
-9.9
1.3
4.5
-4.1
1.6
-12.9
14.7
5.1
-13.3
-5.9
-33.2
38.4
Sep1
20121
2011
Annual
Annual
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q31
Jul
Aug1
Sep1
8.3
11.0
3.4
11.5
-2.4
-18.5
-8.9
-6.8
-12.8
-7.6
-5.4
8.8
-7.1
-12.0
2.2
20.2
-5.1
8.3
- Public
-37.7
11.2
6.1
-3.1
104.5
-47.3
25.0
72.7
30.2
-32.6
- Private
18.3
11.0
3.2
14.7
-10.8
-15.0
-11.5
-13.4
-15.8
-5.6
Machinery imports
40.4
7.1
9.3
1.0
15.1
-4.3
-12.2
-6.3
-23.4
-5.6
80.9
79.9
79.6
78.0
79.9
78.9
75.3
77.0
73.7
75.2
8.9
1.6
1.0
0.8
0.8
-1.8
-2.9
-3.4
-3.3
-2.1
1. Preliminary
2. Production growth rate minus production capacity growth rate in the manufacturing sector (%p)
Sources: Statistics Korea, Korea International Trade Association
12
November 2012
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
86
87
90
85
81
70
75
72
70
3-1
Facility investment
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
3-2
3-3
Economic Bulletin
13
4. Construction investment
Construction investment (advanced estimates of GDP) in the third quarter of 2012 increased
0.2 percent quarter-on-quarter, but decreased 0.1 percent year-on-year.
(Percentage change from previous quarter)
20111
2010
Construction investment
20121
Annual
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
-3.7
-5.0
-4.4
3.5
-0.5
0.1
-1.2
-0.4
0.2
-11.0
-4.2
-4.0
-2.1
1.5
-2.1
-0.1
- Building construction
-1.6
-4.1
-5.3
4.5
-1.1
-0.6
3.8
-3.6
-6.2
-6.0
-3.2
2.3
0.3
1.0
-7.7
4.4
y-o-y
1. Preliminary
2. National accounts
Source: The Bank of Korea
The value of completed construction (constant) in September increased 3.9 percent month-onmonth thanks to an increase in building construction. On a yearly basis, the value fell 6.6 percent.
(Percentage change from previous quarter)
2010
2011
2012
Annual
Annual
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
-3.3
-6.7
-4.3
5.7
-6.8
-8.4
-0.5
-7.0
-8.4
-3.7
2.2
-4.5
-5.1
Q31
Jul
Aug1
Sep1
-4.5
0.9
5.9
-7.2
3.9
-3.7
-10.8
-4.9
0.2
-7.9
-6.6
4.9
-3.4
-10.2
0.9
10.6
-11.3
7.9
6.6
-11.2
3.3
1.0
0.6
-2.2
-0.4
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
2011
2012
Annual
Annual
Q3
Q4
Q1
-17.7
4.0
1.5
22.4
36.6
3.3
-1.9
25.4
Q31
Jul
Aug1
Sep1
0.8
-10.4
23.8
-29.9
-14.8
-20.9
-9.6
-14.1
-16.4
0.1
Q2
-8.9
10.9
9.8
40.6
31.3
-4.3
-2.8
57.3
-22.0
-10.7
-28.3
-6.6
-11.0
-1.1
44.5
11.5
-24.4
-4.7
-49.4
-25.3
19.3
9.9
58.7
-14.8
8.7
1.2
-7.3
9.4
-27.3
1.4
1. Preliminary
Sources: Statistics Korea, Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs
Housing markets have yet to recover, but building permits, a leading indicator, increased
year-on-year and construction orders fell at a slower pace.
Housing transaction growth (y-o-y, %)
-29.8 (Mar 2012)
-26.8 (Apr)
-20.2 (May)
-29.3 (Jun)
-22.1 (Jul)
-34.6 (Aug)
-44.3 (Sep)
However, some leading indicators such as construction orders fell and confidence in the
industry weakened, so the developments need to be watched for a while.
2012
14
November 2012
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
69.9
66.4
65.4
63.8
65.7
59.0
70.6
58.9
4-1
Construction investment
Source: The Bank of Korea (national accounts)
4-2
4-3
Economic Bulletin
15
-4.7 (May)
-5.6 (Jun)
-7.7 (Jul)
-6.7 (Aug)
-2.5 (Sep)
Exports to China and ASEAN countries increased while exports to the EU rebounded, though
slightly, due to a base effect.
Exports to China (y-o-y, %)
-3.2 (Apr 2012)
-5.1 (May)
-2.6 (Jun)
-4.9 (Jul)
-4.7 (Aug)
1.0 (Sep)
5.7 (Oct)
Average daily exports in October was US$2.05 billion, down from the previous years
US$2.07 billion, but up compared to the average daily exports of US$1.99 billion between
January to September this year.
Average daily exports (US$ billion)
2.07 (Oct 2011), 1.97 (Q1 2012), 2.10 (Q2), 1.79 (Aug), 2.07 (Sep), 1.99 (Jan-Sep), 2.05 (Oct)
(US$ billion)
2011
2012
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Sep
Oct1
Jan-Oct1
555.21
130.99
142.69
141.24
140.37
134.88
140.21
133.31
45.57
47.16
455.56
(y-o-y, %)
19.0
29.6
18.7
21.4
9.0
3.0
-1.7
-5.6
-2.0
1.2
-1.3
2.01
1.98
2.08
2.03
1.98
1.97
2.09
1.90
2.07
2.05
1.99
Exports
524.41
123.91
134.29
134.92
131.26
133.54
130.68
125.37
42.51
43.36
432.95
(y-o-y, %)
23.3
26.1
27.2
27.7
13.4
7.7
-2.7
-7.1
-6.1
1.5
-0.7
1.91
1.87
1.96
1.96
1.85
1.95
1.96
1.79
1.93
1.89
1.89
Imports
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
Trade balance
1. Preliminary
Source: Korea Customs Service
16
November 2012
2012
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Sep
Oct1
Jan-Oct1
30.80
7.08
8.40
6.30
9.16
1.34
9.54
7.94
3.07
3.80
22.61
5-1
5-2
Exports by type
Source: Korea Customs Service & Ministry of Knowledge Economy (export and import trend)
5-3
Imports by type
Source: Korea Customs Service & Ministry of Knowledge Economy (export and import trend)
Economic Bulletin
17
2011
Jul
Aug1
Sep1
-1.8
-0.9
0.8
Annual
Q3
Sep
Q2
Q3
0.4
1.2
-0.1
-2.0
6.9
5.3
7.4
1.5
0.4
0.2
0.3
0.7
0.3
1.1
-0.1
-2.4
-2.1
-1.1
1.0
7.0
5.3
7.4
1.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.7
6.7
4.9
7.7
0.1
-2.6
-2.1
-3.1
3.6
3.3
2.5
4.2
-0.1
-1.6
1.4
-4.8
1.4
10.8
7.7
11.9
0.5
-3.8
-5.7
-1.4
6.2
20.8
9.9
9.9
-2.9
-2.8
0.1
4.7
-2.8
79.9
79.6
79.0
78.9
75.3
77.0
73.7
75.2
5.4
4.3
4.2
3.3
3.2
3.5
3.4
2.8
Mining and manufacturing production may improve given the normalization of automobile
production and an increase in exports of semiconductors and other IT products.
Automobile exports (US$ billion)
3.43 (Jan 2012) 4.41 (Feb)
3.48 (Sep) 3.87 (Oct)
4.57 (Mar)
4.17 (Apr)
3.94 (May)
4.50 (Jun)
3.73 (Jul)
2.52 (Aug)
3.83 (Apr)
4.23 (May)
4.35 (Jun)
3.94 (Jul)
4.10 (Aug)
2.23 (Apr)
2.31 (May)
2.17 (Jun)
2.31 (Jul)
2.38 (Aug)
4.31 (Mar)
18
November 2012
2.16 (Mar)
6-1
Industrial production
Source: Statistics Korea (industrial activity trend)
6-2
6-3
Economic Bulletin
19
1.6 (May)
3.5 (Jun)
1.4 (Jul)
-7.2 (Aug)
8.9 (Sep)
Hotels & restaurants declined 0.8 percent as poor consumer confidence dampened service
activity in hotels and bars.
Hotels (y-o-y, %)
6.5 (Feb 2012) 5.5 (Mar)
1.9 (Apr)
3.7 (May)
3.3 (Jun)
1.0 (Jul)
-2.2 (Aug)
-4.2 (Sep)
-4.2 (Mar)
-1.1 (Apr)
-0.4 (May)
-2.3 (Jun)
-2.5 (Jul)
-0.5 (Aug)
-0.6 (Sep)
Financial & insurance services continued to improve for the fourth consecutive month, rising
1.7 percent helped by increases in the value of stock transactions.
Real estate & renting declined 0.1 percent as real estate transactions decreased amid the
prevailing wait-and-see attitude before September 24 tax cuts take effect. They were a part
of measures to boost the real estate market announced in early September.
(Percentage change from previous period)
Weight
2010
2011
Annual Annual
2012
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q31
Aug1 Sep1
100.0
3.9
3.3
1.6
0.2
1.3
-0.5
1.0
0.1
0.9
-0.1
0.7
3.8
1.4
1.4
0.7
-0.7
0.1
0.6
0.7
-2.3
0.3
3.9
21.8
5.7
- Transportation services
9.0
11.9
7.7
1.2
8.4
1.7
2.6
-1.6
1.0
-1.0
1.5
-0.2
0.0
-0.4
0.8
-0.5 -0.4
1.0
-0.3
-1.5
-0.2
2.5
-0.4
-0.4
-0.8
4.4
1.1
0.5
2.8
0.3
1.0
0.5
0.3
1.0
1.0
-1.8
2.9
1.7
1.7
15.3
4.6
7.3
3.0
0.1
2.7
0.1
1.4
6.3
-8.5
-10.2
4.8
-0.5
- Business services
2.9
7.5
10.8
- Educational services
3.3
-2.2
-0.3
-6.4
-0.2
3.1
1.1
1.1
-0.1
0.3 -1.5
2.0
1.0
1.4
1.8
-0.9
1.2
-1.3
0.5
4.3
0.8
0.9
0.2
0.4
1.7
1.1
-0.9
-0.9
-0.4
2.0
2.4
0.2
-0.9
1.7
0.4
1.2
-1.3
-0.1
1.4
0.1
6.0
8.8
6.3
3.3
0.6
1.4
1.6
1.7
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.9
-0.4
2.3
1.1
0.0
0.7
0.1
4.3
-2.7
-1.1
0.0
-1.2
- Membership organizations
3.8
4.3
1.1 -0.3
1.1
-0.3
-2.1
-0.2
0.4
0.9
-1.4
1.8
0.4
5.1
0.0
0.1
-0.5
0.2
3.1
1.0
3.8
-1.9
-3.6
7.8
1. Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Service activity is expected to slow in October, led by financial & insurance services.
Daily stock transaction value (trillion won)
8.2 (Jan 2012)
20
November 2012
9.8 (Feb)
7.6 (Mar)
6.9 (Apr)
6.3 (May)
5.8 (Jun)
5.8 (Jul)
6.2 (Aug)
7.9 (Sep)
6.8 (Oct)
els
& re
serv
tail
l&
ntin
e se
ranc
es
ion
rvic
l, sc
i
tech entific
nica &
l se
rv
iona
& re
insu
Bus
bus iness f
ices
ines acil
s su ity m
ppo ana
rt se gem
rvic ent
es
Edu
&
cati
ona
l se
rvic
es
Hea
serv lthcare
ices & s
ocia
l we
lfar
e
Ente
r
serv tainm
ices ent
, cu
ltur
al &
spo
Me
rts
m
& o bersh
ther ip o
pers rgan
ona izat
l se ions
Sew
rvic , re
es
pair
mat erage,
e
w
r
i
acti als r aste
vitie eco
very manag
s
& re eme
med nt,
iatio
n
ess
tate
ncia
l es
Prof
Rea
Fina
icat
ices
stau
rant
s
Pub
lish
serv i n g
ices & c o
mm
un
Hot
ion
& re
rtat
ale
spo
oles
Tran
Wh
ex
7-3
l ind
7-2
Tota
7-1
Service industry
Economic Bulletin
21
8. Employment
The number of workers on payroll in September increased by 685,000 from a year earlier to
25,000,000 and the employment rate rose by 0.9 percentage points year-on-year to 60.0
percent.
Amid strong employment growth, the number of workers increased significantly in
September due to the base effect from last years Chuseok holiday, which fell on the same
week as the September employment survey.
Employment grew in most sectors, including manufacturing, construction and services.
By status of workers, the number of regular workers continued to rise while that of daily and
unpaid family workers temporarily spiked due to last years Chuseok base effect. Unpaid
family workers are counted as employed only when they worked more than 18 hours during
the week when the employment survey is conducted. Last year, the number of unpaid family
workers fell because the number of work days and hours had declined.
Changes in number of unpaid family workers (thousand, y-o-y)
-23 (May 2012)
-16 (Jun)
31 (Jul)
17 (Aug)
2010
Annual
Number of employed (million)
90 (Sep)
2011
Q4
Annual Sep
Q1
2012
Q3
Q2
Q4
Aug
Sep
Q1
Q2
Q3
23.83 23.99 24.24 24.32 23.46 24.57 24.48 24.46 24.86 25.00 23.93 25.00 24.99
58.7
58.9
59.1
57.4
57.4
59.9
59.5
59.4
59.7
60.0
57.8
60.2
60.0
(Seasonally adjusted)
58.7
58.7
59.1
58.8
58.8
59.1
59.1
59.2
59.5
59.5
59.3
59.4
59.5
323
358
415
264
423
402
363
474
364
685
467
430
506
405
393
440
323
451
399
414
497
384
672
498
454
504
- Manufacturing
191
269
63
-48
228
112
-12
-75
80
139 -102
-66
85
33
57
-2
-50
-3
-41
-35
71
-35
58
79
33
17
200
80
386
434
224
331
472
514
330
466
541
491
397
- Construction
- Services
- Agriculture, forestry & fishery
-82
-35
-25
-59
-28
-51
-23
-20
13
-31
-24
- Wage workers
517
532
427
275
519
421
392
374
224
484
360
281
317
Regular workers
697
699
575
547
605
621
572
500
494
527
413
379
485
Temporary workers
-34 -114
-78
-60
-88 -137
-76
-10
-96
-86
110
73
-79
-53
43 -163 -171
-70 -213
-11
-96
-19
-29
100
140
201
108
150
189
88 -115
-39
34
125
123
111
149
173
143
Daily workers
-146
- Non-wage workers
-194 -174
-11
Self-employed workers
-118 -146
-89
- Male
181
212
238
181
266
221
208
257
225
349
238
242
284
- Female
142
146
177
83
157
181
155
216
139
336
230
188
223
- 15 to 29
-43
-57
-35
-49
-74
-1
-18
-82
-59
-8
-57
- 30 to 39
-4
17
-47 -104
-34
-13
-83
-56
42
64
-65
-80
33
- 40 to 49
29
50
57
12
77
59
46
47
-7
61
28
12
- 50 to 59
294
287
291
241
286
294
270
315
218
326
326
260
273
47
60
149
114
143
137
131
185
192
293
178
251
245
- 60 or more
Source: Statistics Korea
22
November 2012
8-1
8-2
8-3
Economic Bulletin
23
2010
2011
Annual
Q4
920
808
855
Q3
Q4
Aug
Sep
Q1
Q2
Q3
865
786
740
764
752
947
841
770
31
-10
-65 -100
-101
-3
-88
-68
-6
-82
-23
-16
- Male
-7
-16
-48
- Female
38
-17
-39
-70
-32
-48
-41
-12
-6
-54
-19
-16
-61
-32
29
-40
-27
14
-28
-4
3.7
3.3
3.4
3.0
4.2
3.4
3.1
2.9
3.0
2.9
3.8
3.3
3.0
(Seasonally adjusted)
3.7
3.4
3.4
3.2
3.8
3.4
3.2
3.1
3.1
3.1
3.5
3.3
3.1
- 15 to 29
- 30 to 39
8.0
7.1
7.6
6.3
8.8
7.9
6.7
7.1
6.4
6.7
8.2
8.1
6.8
3.5
3.2
3.4
3.1
4.0
3.5
3.2
2.9
2.8
2.7
3.2
3.2
2.8
- 40 to 49
2.5
2.2
2.1
2.0
2.5
2.1
2.0
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.4
2.0
2.0
- 50 to 59
2.5
2.3
2.1
2.2
2.7
2.0
2.1
1.8
2.3
2.2
2.3
2.0
2.2
- 60 or more
2.8
1.9
2.6
2.2
4.5
2.3
2.1
1.8
2.1
1.7
4.4
2.0
1.9
Q1
2012
Q2
Annual Sep
758 1,028
The economically inactive population in September was down 123,000 from a year earlier to
15,940,000, while the labor force participation rate rose by 0.8 percentage points to 61.8
percent.
The number of those economically inactive due to old age (up 154,000) increased while
those due to rest, time-off and leisure (down 250,000) and education (down 13,000)
decreased.
2011
2010
Annual
Q4
Annual Sep
Q1
2012
Q2
Q3
Q4
Aug
Sep
Q1
Q2
Q3
Economically inactive population (million) 15.84 15.96 15.95 16.07 16.39 15.56 15.85 16.01 16.04 15.94 16.50 15.67 15.90
Labor force participation rate (%)
61.0
60.8
61.1
61.0
59.9
62.0
61.5
61.1
61.5
61.8
60.1
62.3
61.8
(seasonally adjusted)
61.0
60.8
61.1
60.6
61.1
61.2
61.0
61.1
61.4
61.4
61.4
61.4
61.4
143
133
112
294
138
66
191
53
180 -123
103
110
57
-125 -107
-5
25
-44
-16
17
23
-14
-7
- Childcare
- Housework
201
189
101
248
130
27
143
103
162
-5
85
181
101
- Education
12
55
-51
-50
-16
-39
-78
-69
18
-13
-28
-64
- Old age
80
25
-45
-32 -103
-58
-22
155
154
76
174
156
-56
-27
182
202
163
193
131
-84 -250
126
-71
-142
24
November 2012
241
8-4
Employment rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trend)
8-5
Unemployment rate
Source: Statistics Korea (employment trend)
8-6
Economic Bulletin
25
9. Financial market
9.1 Stock market
The Korean stock price index in October fell 4.2 percent to 1,912 points from the previous
months 1,996 points.
Though the Bank of Korea (BOK) cut the benchmark interest rate to 2.75 percent from 3.00
percent on October 11, the KOSPI Composite declined due to concerns over a global
economic slowdown and weak domestic performance in the third quarter.
Foreign investors became net sellers of Korean stocks in October, selling 1.1 trillion won
compared to buying 3.3 trillion won in the previous month.
(End-period, point, trillion won)
KOSPI
KOSDAQ
Sep 2012
Oct 2012
Change1
Sep 2012
Oct 2012
Change1
1,996.2
1,912.1
-84.1 (-4.2%)
523.8
508.3
-15.5 (-3.0%)
Market capitalization
1,150.6
1,103.6
-47.0 (-4.1%)
114.8
111.9
-2.9 (-2.5%)
5.2
4.3
-0.9 (-17.3%)
2.68
2.50
-0.18 (-6.72%)
34.4
34.2
-0.2 (-0.6%)
8.06
8.31
0.25 (+3.10%)
2009
2010
2011
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Sep
2012
Oct
Change1
Won/Dollar
1,259.5
1,164.5
1,134.8
1,151.8
1,111.4
1,090.7
5.6
Won/100 Yen
1,396.8
1,264.5
1,393.6
1,481.2
1,425.37
1,370.74
8.1
1. Appreciation from the end of the previous year (%); the exchange rate is based on the closing price at 3:00 p.m., local time.
26
November 2012
9-1
Stock prices
9-2
9-3
Economic Bulletin
27
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Dec
Sep
Oct
Change1
4.60
5.02
3.02
2.01
2.51
3.29
3.01
2.74
-27
CD (91 days)
4.86
5.82
3.93
2.88
2.80
3.55
3.09
2.85
-24
4.92
5.74
3.41
4.44
3.38
3.34
2.79
2.77
-2
5.29
6.77
7.72
5.56
4.27
4.21
3.30
3.29
-1
5.00
5.78
3.77
4.98
4.08
3.46
2.87
2.84
-3
M1
M2
Lf
2008
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Annual
Q2
2012
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Jul
Aug
4
Aug1
444.54
-1.8
16.3
11.8
6.6
7.5
4.8
2.6
1.8
3.6
5.4
4.0
14.3
10.3
8.7
4.2
3.5
3.8
4.4
5.3
5.6
6.0
5.74
1,822.94
8.4
2,410.94
11.9
7.9
8.2
5.3
4.3
5.3
6.2
7.5
8.5
7.8
Bank deposits expanded in September while asset management company (AMC) deposits
declined by a larger margin. Bank deposits grew significantly as instant access deposits
soared from inflows of Chuseok bonuses. AMC deposits fell as money market funds (MMF)
plunged due to withdrawals of corporate funds, and also as profit-taking selling continued
in equity funds.
(Monthly change, end-period, trillion won)
2009
2010
2011
2012
Annual
Annual
Sep
Annual
Sep
Aug
Sep
Sep1
Bank deposits
54.8
36.9
-3.3
58.9
6.8
0.7
6.2
1,121.8
AMC deposits
-27.6
-16.7
-2.0
-16.6
3.0
-0.1
-9.2
1,315.1
28
November 2012
9-4
Interest rates
Source: The Bank of Korea
9-5
9-6
Economic Bulletin
29
47.72 (Sep)
42.07 (Sep)
The service account swung to a surplus of US$0.32 billion from a deficit of US$0.26 billion,
as the travel account improved due to the end of the summer vacation season and the
construction service surplus widened.
Overseas travelers (million)
1.30 (Jul 2012)
1.34 (Aug)
1.06 (Sep)
The primary income account surplus narrowed to US$0.2 billion from US$0.44 billion as the
investment income balance declined due to a decrease in dividend payments. The secondary
income account deficit was reduced to US$0.1 billion from US$0.18 in the previous month.
(US$ billion)
2011
2012
Annual
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Aug
Sep1
Jan-Sep1
Current account
26.51
2.61
5.49
7.00
11.52
2.56
11.14
14.71
2.50
6.07
28.46
- Goods balance
30.95
5.84
7.66
7.20
10.25
2.62
8.48
13.49
2.51
5.64
24.63
- Service balance
-4.38
-2.54
-0.80
-1.20
0.15
-0.65
2.31
0.65
-0.26
0.32
2.32
- Income balance
2.46
0.39
-0.82
1.31
1.58
1.48
0.82
1.04
0.44
0.20
3.35
-2.52
1.08
-0.55
-0.42
-0.47
-0.89
-0.47
-0.47
-0.18
-0.10
-1.84
Current transfer
1. Preliminary
The capital and financial account (preliminary) in September posted a net outflow of
US$5.17 billion.
Capital & financial account balance (US$ billion)
-1.25 (Q1 2012)
7.98 (Q2)
-13.61 (Q3)
-0.6 (Aug)
-5.17 (Sep)
-22.96 (Jan-Sep)
Net outflow in direct investment widened to US$2.38 billion from the previous months
US$1.61 billion due to an increase in overseas direct investment.
Despite a decrease in foreign investment in stocks, the net inflow in the portfolio investment
account widened to US$2.67 billion from US$0.58 billion as foreign investors debt
securities investment switched to a net inflow.
Net inflow in financial derivatives expanded to US$0.36 billion from US$0.07 billion, while
the other investment account switched to a net outflow of US$4.46 billion from a net inflow
of US$1.46 billion as financial institutions increased overseas deposits.
The current account in October is expected to maintain a surplus, helped by a goods account
surplus resulting from a trade surplus in September.
30
November 2012
Economic Bulletin
31
3.9 (Mar)
3.8 (Apr)
3.7 (May)
5.2 (Feb)
3.5 (Mar)
1.7 (Apr)
2.1 (May)
-1.2 (Jun)
-1.0 (Jul)
0.3 (Aug)
-2.4 (Sep)
(%)
2011
2012
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Month-on-Month
-0.2
0.1
0.4
0.5
0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.1 -0.2
Year-on-Year
3.6
4.2
4.2
3.4
3.1
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.2
3.2
3.5
3.6
3.2
2.5
1.9
1.8
1.6
1.5
0.4
0.7
-0.1
1.5
1.2
2.0
2.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
2.6
2.8
2.7
2.5
2.6
1.7
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.2
1.2
1.4
1.4
3.6
4.5
4.4
3.3
2.8
2.0
2.0
2.2
1.8
0.8
0.6
1.7
1.6
The prices of agricultural and oil products decreased with improving weather conditions,
while those of manufactured products and public utilities remained stable.
Agricultural, livestock & fishery product prices fell 2.5 percent month-on-month. Agricultural
prices turned negative (down 2.6%, m-o-m) and the prices of livestock and fishery products
also decreased 3.6 percent and 0.7 percent each.
The prices of manufactured products fell 0.2 percent from the previous month. The prices of
oil (up 0.1%, m-o-m) and processed goods (unchanged, m-o-m) stabilized, while those of
durable goods (down 0.2%, m-o-m) and non-durable goods (down 0.9%, m-o-m) decreased.
Public service prices, which include public utilities and transportation, remained unchanged
from the previous month. Personal service prices climbed 0.3 percent month-on-month due
to a slight increase in dining out expenses (up 0.2%, m-o-m) and personal services prices
excluding dining out costs (up 0.3%, m-o-m).
Agricultural,
Oil
livestock & fishery Manufactured
products products
products
Public
utilities
Housing
rents
Public
services
Personal
services
-0.1
-2.5
-0.2
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.3
Contribution (%p)
-0.09
-0.22
-0.06
0.01
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.09
Year-on-Year (%)
2.1
5.9
2.2
2.1
3.7
3.5
1.1
0.7
Contribution (%p)
2.10
0.47
0.70
0.12
0.18
0.32
0.15
0.21
32
November 2012
11-1 Prices
Source: Statistics Korea (consumer price trend) & The Bank of Korea (producer prices)
Economic Bulletin
33
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Apr
May
Jun
2012
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Dubai crude
61.9
78.1
105.9
117.3
107.3
94.4
99.1
108.6
111.2
109.0
Brent crude
61.7
79.7
110.0
120.0
109.7
95.2
102.7
113.0
113.0
111.6
WTI crude
61.9
79.5
95.1
103.4
94.7
82.4
87.9
94.1
94.5
89.5
Domestic oil products prices continued the downward trend due to falling international oil
product prices.
Gasoline prices (won/liter)
2,017.2 (Oct 1)
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Gasoline prices
1,600.7
1,710.4
1,929.3
2,058.7
2,035.8
1,968.8
1,901.4
1,971.3
2,024.5
2,005.7
Diesel prices
1,397.5
1,502.8
1,745.7
1,865.6
1,839.6
1,777.7
1,726.6
1,784.8
1,836.7
1,820.8
2012
International grain prices mostly fell in October due to an increase in sowing areas in South
America, while non-ferrous metal prices kept the downward trend as poor economic data led
to concerns over falling demand.
The prices of major grains fell, led by soybeans, as the production forecast for this year was
upgraded and as the sowing areas in South America increased, but Ukraines plan to impose
a ban on wheat exports put an upward pressure on prices.
Prices of grain in October (m-o-m, %)
Corn (-1.7), soybeans (-8.1), wheat (-2.3), coffee (-4.2), raw sugar (4.7)
Non-ferrous metal prices fell overall due to demand concerns stemming from poor economic
data in major countries.
Prices of non-ferrous metals in October (m-o-m, %)
Lead (-1.0), zinc (-4.0), tin (3.1), aluminum (-3.1), nickel (0.1), copper (-0.1)
Reuters index*
(Period average)
2009
2010
2011
Annual
Annual
Annual
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
2,079
2,553
3,062
2,969
2,912
2,876
3,065
3,108
3,172
3,110
34
November 2012
2012
Economic Bulletin
35
2012
Nationwide
1.6
2.5
Seoul
2.6
Gangnam2
3.9
Gangbuk
9.6
Q2
Q3
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
0.0
0.6
0.1
-0.5
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.2
-2.2
-0.4 -3.7
-0.5
-0.1
-1.6
-0.3
-0.5
-0.5
-0.6
-1.8
-0.6 -4.3
-0.7
-1.2
-1.9
-0.4
-0.6
-0.6
-0.8
0.9
-2.7
-0.2 -3.0
-0.4
-0.7
-1.3
-0.2
-0.5
-0.3
-0.5
0.7
-2.9
0.4
-3.2
-0.5
-0.9
-1.3
-0.3
-0.4
-0.4
-0.6
5 metropolitan cities
2.8
8.7
20.3
3.0
1.6
1.0
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.2
1. Weekly trends
3. Northern Seoul
0.07
0.03
0.02
0.05
Nationwide apartment rental prices climbed at a faster pace in October (up 0.6%, m-o-m).
Rental prices in the Seoul metropolitan area and 5 metropolitan cities rose 0.6 percent and
0.7 percent, respectively.
Apartment rental price increase in major districts in Seoul (m-o-m, %)
Gangnam (0.7), Seocho (1.8), Songpa (1.4), Gangdong (0.7), Yangcheon (0.8)
2012
Q2
Q3
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nationwide
4.5
8.8 16.2
3.5
1.3
0.9
0.2
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.6
0.20
0.13
0.14
0.14
Seoul
8.1
7.4 13.4
1.4
0.4
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.5
0.7
0.22
0.14
0.15
0.11
Gangnam
10.4
8.8 12.5
1.5
0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.6
0.9
0.29
0.19
0.21
0.17
5.4
5.6 14.6
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.5
0.4
0.14
0.07
0.07
0.03
5.6
7.2 13.9
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.6
0.20
0.12
0.13
0.12
5 metropolitan cities
4.6
2.0
1.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.7
0.20
0.16
0.12
0.14
Gangbuk3
1. Weekly trends
3. Northern Seoul
Apartment sales transactions in September decreased 16.6 percent from the previous
months 31,361 to 26,165, and were down 47.9 percent from 50,260 a year earlier.
2009 2010
2011
53
48
55
51
38
36
November 2012
2012
Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
51
50
55
55
77
18
39
47
45
46
37
31
26
Economic Bulletin
37
0.11 (Mar)
0.11 (Apr)
0.10 (May)
0.10 (Jun)
0.03 (Jul)
-0.01 (Aug)
-0.02 (Sep)
Land price increase in areas excluding the Seoul metropolitan area slowed down, rising 0.10
percent month-on-month, while Sejong City (up 0.51%, m-o-m) posted the highest growth
rate in the nation for the seventh straight month.
Land price increases in areas excluding Seoul metropolitan area (m-o-m, %)
0.13 (Feb)
0.14 (Mar)
0.14 (Apr)
0.14 (May)
0.13 (Jun)
0.13 (Jul)
0.11 (Aug)
0.10 (Sep)
2009
2010
2011
2012
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4 Jan-Sep Q1
Q2
Q3
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Nationwide
-0.31
0.96
1.05
1.17
0.29
0.30
0.29
0.29
0.75
0.30
0.33
0.12
0.10
0.07
0.03
0.02
Seoul
-1.00
1.40
0.53
0.97
0.40
0.28
0.17
0.12
0.29
0.17
0.26 -0.14
Gyeonggi
-0.26
1.22
1.49
1.47
0.26
0.38
0.43
0.39
0.85
0.34
0.34
0.17
0.11
0.10
Incheon
1.37
1.99
1.43
0.66
0.17
0.18
0.15
0.15
0.34
0.21
0.16 -0.03
0.05
0.05
0.03
Nationwide land transactions in September were 133,000 land lots, down 11.6 percent from
the previous month and down 22.0 percent from 171,000 a year earlier.
Monthly land transactions decreased in Seoul (down 17.0%, m-o-m), Busan (down 17.5%,
m-o-m), North Chungcheong Province (down 18.2%, m-o-m), and South Gyeongsang
Province (down 19.6%, m-o-m).
Transactions of vacant land decreased 10.8 percent year-on-year to 62,000 lots, making up
46.7 percent of the total amount of transactions.
2011
2012
Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Annual1 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Nationwide
208
203
187
Seoul
26
22
16
Gyeonggi
45
46
Incheon
13
10
November 2012
Aug Sep
208 184 183 171 184 195 240 129 165 187 182
186
163
167
150
133
18
14
15
14
15
15
19
12
14
15
15
13
12
10
41
43
37
36
36
37
39
48
24
30
37
36
35
32
34
30
27
10
10
1. Monthly average
Source: Korea Land & Housing Corporation
38
Jul
Economic Bulletin
39
The cyclical indicator of the leading composite index fell 0.7 points from the previous month.
Five components of the leading composite index, such as the value of construction orders
received and domestic shipment of machinery, were lower compared to the previous month
while four components, including KOSPI and the ratio of job openings to job seekers, rose.
Components of the leading composite index in September (m-o-m)
KOSPI (2.0%), ratio of job openings to job seekers (0.8%p), international commodity prices (3.2%), indicator
of inventory cycle (0.2%p), value of construction orders received (-11.2%), consumer expectations index
(-0.5p), domestic shipment of machinery (-2.4%), spreads between long & short term interest rates
(-0.1%p), ratio of export to import prices (-0.9%)
2011
2012
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul1
Aug1
Sep1
0.1
1.0
1.3
-1.1
-0.2
0.6
-0.2
0.2
-1.7
0.8
(y-o-y, %)
1.6
-1.0
8.7
0.5
0.4
1.8
0.3
1.5
-0.2
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.8
0.1
0.2
-0.1
0.4
0.6
0.0
0.3
99.6 100.0
99.6
99.4
98.9
98.9
99.1
98.6
98.6
(m-o-m, p)
0.0
-0.2
0.4
-0.4
-0.2
-0.5
0.0
0.2
-0.5
0.0
0.4
0.7
1.0
0.4
0.4
0.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
-0.1
99.0
99.2
99.9
99.8
99.8
99.4
0.0
0.2
0.7
-0.1
0.0
40
November 2012
99.8
-0.4
0.7
0.2
-0.2
-0.7
Economic Bulletin
41
Policy Issues
Korea Expands Economic Relations
to Africa and Qatar
The Korean government had two economic cooperation meetings in October; one being the
Korea Africa Economic Cooperation Conference (KOAFEC) and the other the Korea-Qatar
High-level Meeting. The KOAFEC was attended by representatives from 35 of the 54 African
countries, and participants discussed a wide range of issues from inclusive growth to
financial aid. Meanwhile, at the Korea-Qatar High-level meeting, the two countries discussed
all possible forms of bilateral economic cooperation from trade, investment and industrial
cooperation to agricultural, science and technology, healthcare and medical service, and
culture and sports cooperation.
The KOAFEC, held biannually since 2006, has become a major cooperation channel between
Korea and the African countries, and this years meeting adopted an action plan that
includes African aid projects, such as the KOAFEC Trust Fund (KTF), Economic Development
Cooperation Fund (EDCF) and Knowledge Sharing Program (KSP). The plan amounts to
US$590 million, and is composed of 37 cooperation projects spanning six areas, including
infrastructure development, information & communications technology, human resource
development, rural development, green growth partnership and knowledge sharing on
development experience.
42
November 2012
Projects
Amount
(US$ million)
Fund
0.3
KTF
0.978
KTF
0.232
KTF
0.46
KTF
0.306
KTF
86.0
EDCF
6.0
EDCF
57.5
EDCF
68.0
EDCF
50.0
EDCF
100.0
EDCF
Projects
Amount
(US$ million)
Fund
0.5
KTF
0.3
KTF
0.5
KTF
60.0
EDCF
0.3
KTF
0.3
KTF
Projects
Amount
(US$ million)
Fund
0.3
KTF
0.5
KTF
0.3
KTF
50.0
EDCF
Economic Bulletin
43
Projects
Amount
(US$ million)
Fund
0.497
KTF
1.0
KTF
0.551
KTF
45.0
EDCF
Projects
Amount
(US$ million)
Fund
45.0
EDCF
0.33
KTF
Projects
Research on effective and transparent fiscal spending to improve Malawis social
welfare program
Amount
(US$ million)
Fund
0.15
KTF
Research on developing manufacturing industry in the five East African nations and
enhancing regional cooperation
0.389
KTF
0.167
KTF
0.84
KTF
0.39
KTF
Training program for urban development public officials from eight African countries
0.17
KTF
9.0
KSP
0.28
KSP
0.20
KSP
0.30
KSP
At the KOAFEC, the Korea Development Institute (KDI) and African Development Bank (AfDB)
presented the results from their joint research regarding Koreas inclusive growth experience
and Africas challenges. The presentation was broken up into the four subtopics of
governance, regional integration and trade, education, and social security, and Koreas
policy responses over time for each respective subtopic were given. African representatives
expressed their interest in Koreas relatively harmonious achievement of both growth and
construction of a social safety net, and hoped to strengthen cooperation with Korea.
44
November 2012
Through bilateral meetings with finance ministers from Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda, the
Democratic Republic of Congo and Sudan, investment protection agreements, double
taxation avoidance agreements, and prospects of expanding the EDCF and KSP were
discussed. The African representatives requested active support regarding the entry of
Korean enterprises into their industries, and increased cooperation in the areas where real
solutions to economic and social problems can be found through the cooperation.
(US$ million, %)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
20121
48
131
208
240
321
378
292
372
164
6,773
7,302
11,820
22,620
23,970
20,395
24,371
25,769
11,360
% to Total FDI
0.7
1.8
1.8
1.1
1.3
1.9
1.2
1.4
1.4
Number of new
companies investing
14
21
27
39
41
43
34
30
17
FDI in Africa
Koreas total FDI
(US$ million)
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
20121
Madagascar
29
134
110
286
166
296
139
Libya
37
33
67
34
14
South Africa
28
22
0.1
17
32
Algeria
0.3
0.6
Nigeria
117
26
10
Egypt
10
Sudan
0.1
Mauritius
79
11
0.2
Equatorial Guinea
62
17
Ghana
15
27
Country
(US$ million, %)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
29.9
42.4
51.3
73.8
107.1
97.5
142.6
181.4
% to total ODA
8.6
8.8
12.8
14.0
18.5
15.8
15.3
17.6
- Loans
15.0
24.6
25.2
21.9
33.6
28.3
41.2
60.1
- Grants
14.9
17.8
26.1
51.9
73.5
69.2
101.4
121.3
Economic Bulletin
45
46
November 2012
Economic
News Briefing
Economic Bulletin
47
2010
20121
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
2.2
(8.7)2
1.4
(7.6)
0.7
(4.5)
0.6
(4.9)
1.3
(4.2)
0.8
(3.5)
0.8
(3.6)
0.3
(3.3)
0.9
(2.8)
0.3
(2.3)
0.2
(1.6)
Manufacturing
4.2
3.7
2.1
0.5
3.3
1.2
1.1
-0.3
2.0
-0.2
-0.2
Construction
0.5
-0.7
-1.8
-2.6
-4.3
1.8
2.8
-0.2
-1.7
-2.7
2.9
1.7
0.3
0.4
1.0
1.0
0.3
0.4
0.7
1.1
0.5
0.1
Private consumption
0.7
0.7
1.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
0.2
-0.4
1.0
0.4
0.6
Government consumption
3.0
0.3
-0.2
0.5
0.7
0.8
1.2
-0.8
3.4
-0.3
0.9
Facility investment
4.4
7.3
4.6
-0.2
-1.6
4.7
-1.8
-4.3
10.3
-7.0
-4.3
Construction investment
GDP
Services
1.0
-4.0
-0.9
-1.9
-4.4
3.5
-0.5
0.1
-1.2
-0.4
0.2
3.2
7.3
2.6
3.2
4.1
0.4
2.1
-2.7
4.2
-1.4
2.8
Goods imports4
5.3
6.2
3.4
0.4
3.2
2.7
1.4
-3.6
4.0
-1.8
1.9
1.6
1.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.6
1.0
0.2
0.9
1.2
Goods exports
48
November 2012
2012
2008
2009
2010
Overall ranking
23
19
16
Starting a business
126
53
60
24
24
23
23
22
26
26
Getting electricity
11
Registering property
67
71
74
71
75
Getting credit
12
15
15
12
Protecting investors
70
73
74
79
49
Paying taxes
43
49
49
38
30
12
Enforcing contracts
Resolving insolvency
12
12
13
13
14
Area
Economic Bulletin
49
50
November 2012
Statistical
Appendices
Tables & Figures
1. National accounts
2. Production, shipment and inventory
3. Production capacity and operation ratio
4. Consumer goods sales index
5. Consumer goods shipment index and consumer sentiment index
6. Machinery orders received, domestic machinery shipment,
and estimated facility investment index
7. Value of construction completion and domestic construction orders received
8. Composite indices of business cycle indicators and BSI
9. Balance of payments (I)
10. Balance of payments (II)
11. Prices
12. Employment
13. Financial indicators
14. Monetary indicators
15. Exchange rates
Economic Bulletin
51
1. National accounts
(year-on-year change, %, chained 2005 year prices)
Real GDP
Period
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011P
Final
consumption
expenditure
Agri., fores.
& fisheries
Manufacturing
4.6
4.0
5.2
5.1
2.3
0.3
6.3
3.6
9.1
1.3
1.5
4.0
5.6
3.2
-4.4
-2.0
10.0
6.2
8.1
7.2
2.8
-1.5
14.7
7.2
1.0
4.6
5.1
5.1
2.0
1.2
4.1
2.2
Construction
Facilities
2.1
1.9
3.4
4.2
-1.9
-1.0
5.8
-1.1
1.3
-0.4
0.5
1.4
-2.8
3.4
-3.7
-5.0
3.8
5.3
8.2
9.3
-1.0
-9.8
25.7
3.7
2004
I
II
III
IV
5.2
5.9
4.8
2.7
8.2
7.6
8.3
11.6
10.9
12.9
10.4
6.2
-0.1
1.3
1.0
1.8
2.3
4.9
3.1
-1.4
5.3
4.2
1.2
-3.5
-0.6
6.4
7.7
1.8
2005
I
II
III
IV
2.7
3.4
4.5
5.1
0.4
4.8
3.8
-3.1
4.8
3.9
6.7
9.3
2.7
4.7
5.9
4.9
-0.3
1.8
1.5
3.9
-3.1
0.9
-0.3
0.3
3.4
2.8
4.1
10.8
2006
I
II
III
IV
6.1
5.1
5.0
4.6
3.9
-0.3
-1.4
4.2
9.4
9.1
8.7
5.4
5.8
4.9
4.6
5.1
3.8
0.1
4.0
5.7
1.9
-4.2
-0.5
5.1
7.2
8.0
12.0
5.7
2007
I
II
III
IV
4.5
5.3
4.9
5.7
1.6
7.0
8.2
-0.7
4.5
7.2
6.3
10.2
5.1
5.4
5.3
4.7
7.3
5.7
1.5
3.1
4.4
2.0
-0.2
0.4
12.6
13.0
4.0
8.0
2008
I
II
III
IV
5.5
4.4
3.3
-3.3
7.8
4.6
4.3
6.5
8.9
8.3
5.3
-9.4
4.3
3.0
2.4
-1.7
-0.6
0.6
2.1
-8.7
-2.5
-0.5
0.4
-7.7
2.8
2.0
5.3
-13.3
2009
I
II
III
IV
-4.2
-2.1
1.0
6.3
2.5
0.0
5.0
5.0
-13.6
-7.1
1.8
13.1
-2.2
0.7
1.5
4.8
-7.5
-3.0
-1.0
6.2
1.6
4.3
3.2
4.0
-21.9
-18.1
-9.4
12.2
2010
I
II
III
IV
8.7
7.6
4.5
4.9
-0.1
-2.2
-7.8
-5.9
22.4
17.6
9.5
11.0
6.1
3.6
3.5
3.0
11.2
5.8
5.6
2.3
1.8
-4.7
-4.9
-5.2
29.6
32.0
26.3
16.9
2011P
I
II
III
IV
4.2
3.5
3.6
3.3
-7.9
-1.9
-4.1
3.7
10.0
7.5
6.3
5.4
2.6
2.7
2.3
1.3
-2.1
0.7
-1.5
-1.8
-11.0
-4.2
-4.0
-2.1
10.3
7.7
1.2
-3.3
2012P
I
II
III
2.8
2.3
1.6
0.7
-1.6
-0.1
4.1
2.6
1.3
2.2
1.7
1.9
4.6
-2.1
-2.0
1.5
-2.1
-0.1
8.6
-3.5
-6.0
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
52
November 2012
Economic Bulletin
53
2. Production, shipment and inventory See graphs 6-1, 6-3, 7-1, 7-2 & 7-3
(constant prices, 2005 = 100)
Period
2010
2011
Production
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Shipment
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Inventory
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Service
production
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
139.1
148.8
16.2
6.9
133.5
142.1
14.4
6.5
135.6
163.6
17.4
20.7
122.9
127.0
3.9
3.3
2010
I
II
III
IV
129.8
141.0
139.0
146.6
25.4
18.8
10.9
11.7
124.0
135.1
132.7
142.0
20.9
15.9
9.9
11.9
124.6
127.7
134.6
135.6
7.5
17.5
19.1
17.4
119.9
122.9
121.6
127.3
6.2
4.2
2.3
3.2
2011
I
II
III
IV
143.6
151.2
146.1
154.0
10.6
7.2
5.1
5.0
138.7
144.8
139.3
146.4
11.9
7.2
5.0
3.3
137.4
142.7
149.0
163.6
10.3
10.0
10.7
20.7
123.1
126.8
127.1
130.8
2.8
3.2
4.5
2.7
2012
I
II
III
149.1
153.4
146.9
3.8
1.5
0.4
142.5
146.6
139.5
3.0
1.5
0.3
159.0
155.7
156.9
16.0
9.8
5.8
126.2
128.9
129.1
2.5
1.7
1.6
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
129.3
119.1
141.1
140.0
140.0
142.9
143.1
136.5
137.3
145.3
145.3
149.2
37.0
18.3
22.4
19.5
20.6
16.5
14.8
15.9
2.9
13.4
11.2
10.7
123.1
113.6
135.2
134.7
133.4
137.3
135.7
131.0
131.4
140.8
141.4
143.9
31.4
13.3
18.8
16.5
17.2
13.9
13.0
15.3
2.4
13.5
11.7
10.6
119.8
123.3
124.6
126.3
129.9
129.7
134.1
134.5
134.6
133.5
132.8
135.6
-3.3
4.8
7.5
12.5
16.5
17.5
20.3
20.1
19.1
18.8
16.9
17.4
118.5
116.7
124.4
121.5
123.3
124.0
122.4
120.9
121.6
123.2
123.8
134.9
5.7
6.2
6.6
3.8
4.8
4.0
3.8
3.3
-0.2
3.3
3.8
2.5
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
146.9
129.8
154.0
149.7
151.5
152.3
148.7
142.9
146.8
154.6
153.7
153.7
13.6
9.0
9.1
6.9
8.2
6.6
3.9
4.7
6.9
6.4
5.8
2.8
141.4
125.2
149.6
144.6
144.4
145.4
135.9
136.5
141.3
147.0
145.8
147.0
14.9
10.2
10.7
7.3
8.2
5.9
3.1
4.2
7.5
4.4
3.1
2.4
135.4
137.1
137.4
137.3
140.2
142.7
147.2
150.4
149.1
153.1
157.4
163.6
13.0
11.2
10.3
8.7
7.9
10.0
9.8
11.8
10.8
14.7
18.5
20.7
124.1
116.9
128.2
125.2
127.4
128.4
127.0
126.8
126.2
127.4
127.2
137.1
4.7
0.2
3.1
3.0
3.3
3.5
3.8
4.9
3.8
3.4
2.7
1.6
143.7
148.4
155.2
149.6
155.9
154.6
148.9
143.4
148.3
-2.1
14.4
0.6
0.0
2.9
1.6
0.2
0.3
0.7
137.2
141.7
148.5
142.8
149.0
148.0
141.0
135.0
142.6
-2.6
13.5
-0.5
-1.0
3.5
2.1
1.1
-1.0
0.8
164.0
164.0
159.0
158.6
160.7
155.7
157.8
164.2
156.9
21.4
20.0
16.0
16.2
15.3
9.8
7.7
9.5
5.8
124.7
123.6
130.4
126.7
129.9
130.0
129.2
128.2
129.9
0.6
5.6
1.6
1.0
2.4
1.4
1.5
0.8
2.5
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
54
November 2012
Period
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Operation
ratio index
(2005=100)
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Average
operation
ratio (%)
128.7
135.7
7.9
5.4
101.7
100.5
8.4
-1.2
80.9
79.9
Production
capacity index
(2005=100)
2010
2011
2010
I
II
III
IV
124.9
127.3
130.4
132.1
6.8
7.9
8.6
8.1
97.1
105.3
99.3
105.0
18.8
10.5
1.5
4.7
80.3
81.9
80.6
80.8
2011
I
II
III
IV
133.7
135.2
136.0
138.1
7.0
6.2
4.3
4.5
99.0
103.7
98.0
101.4
2.0
-1.5
-1.3
-3.4
82.2
79.9
79.6
78.0
2012
I
II
III
138.3
139.6
140.4
3.4
3.3
3.2
97.6
101.0
93.3
-1.4
-2.6
-4.8
79.9
78.9
75.3
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
124.2
124.5
125.9
126.3
127.4
128.3
129.5
130.6
131.1
131.6
131.9
132.9
6.2
6.5
7.5
7.3
8.2
8.3
8.5
9.0
8.3
8.2
8.2
8.0
96.9
88.1
106.4
105.8
103.5
106.7
104.9
96.1
96.8
106.1
104.8
104.2
31.5
10.4
16.2
12.4
10.9
8.4
6.2
5.6
-6.6
7.1
4.3
3.0
79.2
80.5
81.2
81.7
81.7
82.2
81.7
80.4
79.7
79.5
80.5
82.3
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
133.1
133.4
134.5
135.0
135.2
135.4
135.7
135.8
136.6
137.8
138.2
138.2
7.2
7.1
6.8
6.9
6.1
5.5
4.8
4.0
4.2
4.7
4.8
4.0
101.6
88.5
106.8
103.0
103.1
104.9
101.0
95.3
97.6
102.9
101.9
99.5
4.9
0.5
0.4
-2.6
-0.4
-1.7
-3.7
-0.8
0.8
-3.0
-2.8
-4.5
83.6
81.8
81.3
79.4
79.9
80.5
79.9
79.8
79.0
78.8
78.4
76.9
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
138.2
138.3
138.5
138.7
139.8
140.3
140.4
140.4
140.4
3.8
3.7
3.0
2.7
3.4
3.6
3.5
3.4
2.8
92.6
97.6
102.6
98.8
102.4
101.9
97.5
88.7
93.7
-8.9
10.3
-3.9
-4.1
-0.7
-2.9
-3.5
-6.9
-4.0
80.5
81.0
78.1
79.2
79.3
78.1
77.0
73.7
75.2
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Economic Bulletin
55
4. Consumer goods sales index See graphs 2-2, 2-3, 2-4 & 2-5
(constant prices, 2005 = 100)
Period
2010
2011
Consumer
goods
sales
index
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Semi-durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Non-durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
121.2
126.4
6.7
4.3
157.1
174.0
14.8
10.8
113.5
118.3
6.8
4.2
113.8
115.0
2.2
1.1
2010
I
II
III
IV
116.6
118.8
120.4
128.8
9.5
4.8
7.6
5.2
148.7
149.9
158.5
171.5
29.6
5.6
17.0
10.6
105.9
114.6
100.4
133.3
2.7
6.4
6.5
10.9
110.8
112.9
118.0
113.4
2.9
3.4
3.2
-0.4
2011
I
II
III
IV
122.9
125.6
126.0
131.2
5.4
5.7
4.7
1.9
167.3
175.9
175.6
177.3
12.5
17.3
10.8
3.4
112.0
120.3
104.5
136.5
5.8
5.0
4.1
2.4
112.4
112.2
120.1
115.3
1.4
-0.6
1.8
1.7
2012
I
II
III
125.3
126.9
128.1
2.0
1.0
1.7
173.3
179.7
186.8
3.6
2.2
6.4
112.8
120.8
102.7
0.7
0.4
-1.7
115.0
113.4
120.5
2.3
1.1
0.3
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
115.5
113.9
120.3
116.5
121.2
118.8
120.8
116.6
123.9
125.8
127.8
132.9
6.5
12.5
9.7
7.3
3.6
3.7
9.0
9.3
4.8
4.3
6.9
4.6
145.5
141.4
159.2
144.5
147.1
158.0
163.9
154.4
157.1
165.3
171.9
177.3
39.8
21.9
28.4
16.6
2.2
0.0
18.6
26.0
7.7
14.2
12.0
6.1
108.4
99.7
109.6
113.6
120.9
109.2
103.4
90.1
107.6
129.8
133.0
137.0
4.6
2.7
1.0
3.9
6.7
8.8
8.4
4.2
6.4
11.8
9.2
11.7
108.2
111.7
112.6
110.5
116.0
112.1
115.4
116.3
122.3
111.7
111.9
116.7
-5.7
12.6
3.1
3.5
2.6
4.2
4.2
3.0
2.5
-4.2
2.5
0.6
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
128.2
113.5
126.9
122.6
128.6
125.7
127.5
123.1
127.5
128.8
129.3
135.6
11.0
-0.4
5.5
5.2
6.1
5.8
5.5
5.6
2.9
2.4
1.2
2.0
164.9
153.7
183.2
167.0
175.8
184.9
185.5
173.3
167.9
169.8
183.0
179.0
13.3
8.7
15.1
15.6
19.5
17.0
13.2
12.2
6.9
2.7
6.5
1.0
120.1
101.7
114.1
120.9
126.4
113.7
107.5
93.4
112.6
134.7
130.2
144.6
10.8
2.0
4.1
6.4
4.5
4.1
4.0
3.7
4.6
3.8
-2.1
5.5
119.2
104.6
113.3
109.0
115.9
111.7
117.7
119.5
123.1
114.8
112.2
119.0
10.2
-6.4
0.6
-1.4
-0.1
-0.4
2.0
2.8
0.7
2.8
0.3
2.0
129.2
119.6
127.0
123.0
131.4
126.4
131.0
122.6
130.7
0.8
5.4
0.1
0.3
2.2
0.6
2.7
-0.4
2.5
168.0
170.8
181.1
167.5
183.7
187.9
199.1
179.2
182.2
1.9
11.1
-1.1
0.3
4.5
1.6
7.3
3.4
8.5
119.4
104.2
114.9
120.1
128.8
113.4
108.8
89.3
110.1
-0.6
2.5
0.7
-0.7
1.9
-0.3
1.2
-4.4
-2.2
121.9
108.4
114.7
110.6
117.5
112.2
118.3
118.5
124.8
2.3
3.6
1.2
1.5
1.4
0.4
0.5
-0.8
1.4
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
56
November 2012
Period
2010
2011
Domestic consumer
goods shipment index
(2005=100)
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Non-durable
goods
Y-o-Y
change (%)
Consumer
sentiment index
122.4
121.1
5.2
-1.1
140.5
135.4
4.0
-3.6
115.2
115.3
5.8
0.1
2010
I
II
III
IV
118.9
120.2
122.6
128.1
10.4
4.7
2.3
3.9
137.3
140.2
140.3
144.1
21.1
0.2
0.6
-2.5
111.4
112.2
115.5
121.7
5.8
7.2
3.1
7.3
2011
I
II
III
IV
121.3
117.9
121.7
123.3
2.0
-1.9
-0.7
-3.7
135.5
135.2
137.1
133.9
-1.3
-3.6
-2.3
-7.1
115.6
111.0
115.5
119.1
3.8
-1.1
0.0
-2.1
2012
I
II
III
119.9
120.7
121.8
-1.2
2.4
0.1
135.5
136.9
132.2
0.0
1.3
-3.6
113.6
114.3
117.6
-1.7
3.0
1.8
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
124.2
110.7
121.7
120.8
117.6
122.2
122.4
121.3
124.1
129.7
128.7
125.9
15.4
6.6
9.0
7.3
3.6
3.2
2.9
9.4
-4.3
6.6
8.6
-2.9
136.5
130.2
145.1
136.0
136.2
148.4
146.7
134.7
139.6
146.7
145.8
139.9
37.9
12.7
15.4
12.8
-3.2
-6.3
0.3
7.1
-4.4
5.2
-0.6
-10.9
119.2
102.8
112.3
114.8
110.2
111.7
112.7
116.0
117.9
122.9
121.9
120.2
7.4
3.8
5.9
5.0
7.4
9.2
4.4
10.6
-4.2
7.3
13.7
1.3
113
111
110
110
111
112
112
110
109
108
110
109
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
130.2
106.3
127.3
118.8
115.8
119.2
120.2
122.2
122.6
124.3
121.5
124.2
4.8
-4.0
4.6
-1.7
-1.5
-2.5
-1.8
0.7
-1.2
-4.2
-5.6
-1.4
134.0
126.1
146.5
133.7
132.0
139.9
142.5
132.9
136.0
132.5
131.4
137.8
-1.8
-3.1
1.0
-1.7
-3.1
-5.7
-2.9
-1.3
-2.6
-9.7
-9.9
-1.5
128.7
98.4
119.6
112.8
109.3
110.9
111.3
117.9
117.3
121.0
117.5
118.7
8.0
-4.3
6.5
-1.7
-0.8
-0.7
-1.2
1.6
-0.5
-1.5
-3.6
-1.2
108
105
98
100
104
102
102
99
99
100
103
99
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
10
120.4
117.3
122.1
119.7
123.2
119.4
122.1
118.6
124.7
-
-7.5
10.3
-4.1
0.8
6.4
0.2
1.6
-2.9
1.7
-
128.2
136.6
141.6
129.4
139.1
142.3
141.8
120.9
133.9
-
-4.3
8.3
-3.3
-3.2
5.4
1.7
-0.5
-9.0
-1.5
-
117.2
109.5
114.2
115.9
116.9
110.2
114.2
117.7
120.9
-
-8.9
11.3
-4.5
2.7
7.0
-0.6
2.6
-0.2
3.1
-
98
100
101
104
105
101
100
99
99
98
Economic Bulletin
57
2011
Estimated
facility investment
index
(2005=100)
Domestic
machinery
shipment
excluding ship
(2005=100)
Total
Public
Private
25,240
2,599
22,641
13,848
133.1
134.2
Manufacturing
2011
I
ll
III
IV
6,445
6,676
5,703
6,416
470
728
404
998
5,975
5,948
5,300
5,418
3,695
3,677
3,109
3,367
126.7
144.5
133.3
127.9
127.8
147.3
128.4
133.2
2012
I
ll
III
6,292
5,440
5,193
960
383
504
5,332
5,057
4,689
2,986
2,770
2,366
138.5
143.9
123.9
130.3
137.2
119.6
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2,009
2,045
2,391
1,951
2,113
2,611
1,990
1,800
1,913
1,977
2,317
2,122
115
122
233
99
142
487
152
115
137
301
474
223
1,894
1,923
2,158
1,853
1,971
2,124
1,838
1,685
1,776
1,676
1,843
1,899
1,109
1,146
1,441
1,155
1,186
1,336
1,027
1,006
1,076
966
1,124
1,277
123.3
112.4
144.5
134.4
146.8
152.3
133.7
135.0
131.3
114.8
129.3
139.3
121.5
118.3
143.7
137.5
149.4
154.9
135.2
124.1
125.8
122.5
127.3
149.8
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
2,012
2,490
1,790
1,816
1,883
1,741
1,855
1,569
1,768
115
712
133
98
82
204
263
150
92
1,131
1,013
842
941
972
858
802
707
856
129.3
139.8
146.4
141.3
144.9
145.5
135.4
115.8
120.5
119.7
132.5
138.6
134.0
135.2
142.4
129.0
115.6
114.3
11.0
11.2
12.8
0.7
1.4
2011
1,897
1,778
1,658
1,719
1,801
1,537
1,593
1,420
1,676
Y-o-Y change (%)
11.0
2011
I
ll
III
IV
19.5
10.0
3.4
11.5
-10.5
81.1
6.1
-3.1
22.7
4.9
3.2
14.7
26.8
3.1
3.1
21.0
5.4
5.7
-3.1
-4.7
9.2
3.6
-2.9
-3.7
2012
I
ll
III
-2.4
-18.5
-8.9
104.5
-47.3
25.0
-10.8
-15.0
-11.5
-19.2
-24.7
-23.9
9.3
-0.4
-7.1
2.0
-6.9
-6.9
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
15.6
28.0
16.2
9.0
-0.8
21.4
-1.7
6.8
6.1
18.0
33.9
-9.6
-32.1
14.0
-6.3
-22.3
23.4
205.2
44.9
8.0
-19.1
197.7
333.3
-72.8
20.7
29.0
19.3
11.4
-2.2
6.7
-4.3
6.7
8.8
6.4
13.7
24.3
9.8
29.8
40.9
9.4
-10.8
13.1
-3.9
12.0
2.5
0.0
13.6
54.4
19.4
-0.2
-0.2
2.2
11.7
3.5
-3.0
-2.9
-3.2
-10.9
-2.8
-1.0
11.5
14.1
4.0
0.2
8.5
2.2
-0.2
-3.5
-5.3
-4.7
-4.5
-2.0
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
0.1
21.8
-25.1
-6.9
-10.9
-33.3
-6.8
-12.8
-7.6
0.2
485.1
-43.0
-1.2
-42.4
-58.1
72.7
30.2
-32.6
0.1
-7.5
-23.2
-7.2
-8.6
-27.6
-13.4
-15.8
-5.6
2.0
-11.6
-41.6
-18.6
-18.1
-35.8
-21.9
-29.7
-20.4
4.9
24.4
1.3
5.1
-1.3
-4.5
1.3
-14.2
-8.2
-1.5
12.0
-3.5
-2.5
-9.5
-8.1
-4.6
-6.8
-9.1
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
58
November 2012
Period
Type of order
Private
Public
Private
35,508
51,273
93,428
28,459
60,333
Public
91,638
2011
Type of order
Domestic
construction
orders received
(total)
Value of
construction
completion
(total)
2011
I
ll
llI
lV
19,088
23,904
21,499
27,146
7,325
9,324
7,841
11,017
10,852
13,182
12,533
14,706
16,276
25,101
19,638
32,413
4,095
6,307
6,593
11,463
11,102
17,509
12,245
19,477
2012
I
ll
llI
19,195
21,925
20,760
7,496
8,731
7,400
10,778
12,143
12,317
22,232
25,304
17,595
5,640
5,557
5,463
15,959
18,782
11,550
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
6,208
5,247
7,633
7,053
7,430
9,422
6,786
6,901
7,813
8,022
7,945
11,179
2,480
2,015
2,831
2,724
2,817
3,783
2,432
2,513
2,896
2,963
3,250
4,804
3,475
2,991
4,386
3,978
4,222
4,982
4,046
4,056
4,431
4,678
4,300
5,729
4,927
4,088
7,262
6,670
6,984
11,448
5,098
7,300
7,240
7,111
8,745
16,556
1,330
1,397
1,369
1,432
1,895
2,979
1,819
1,504
3,270
2,295
2,948
6,220
2,904
2,546
5,651
4,609
4,598
8,303
3,103
5,509
3,633
4,630
5,668
9,179
5,901
5,978
7,316
6,714
7,139
8,071
6,885
6,435
7,440
2,227
2,364
2,905
2,608
2,822
3,301
2,324
2,278
2,798
3,382
3,363
4,034
3,818
3,997
4,328
4,184
3,849
4,284
7,033
8,193
7,006
6,374
7,186
11,744
6,311
5,117
6,167
1,973
2,175
1,491
1,438
1,063
3,056
2,292
1,329
1,842
4,920
5,912
5,127
4,483
6,028
8,271
3,813
3,747
3,991
-0.7
1.0
4.0
-2.5
9.5
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
2011
2011
I
ll
llI
lV
-6.2
-0.7
-2.4
5.1
-2.1
2.2
0.5
2.5
-9.4
-5.4
-4.7
6.9
-11.8
-1.7
1.5
22.4
-49.2
-8.4
-3.1
54.2
20.2
3.8
6.7
11.3
2012
I
ll
llI
0.6
-8.3
-3.4
2.3
-6.4
-5.6
-0.7
-7.9
-1.7
36.6
0.8
-10.4
37.7
-11.9
-17.1
43.7
7.3
-5.7
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-4.5
-14.7
-0.8
-4.0
-4.0
4.7
-8.9
-3.4
5.3
8.8
-0.9
7.1
9.5
-12.6
-2.7
3.8
-0.8
3.3
-9.7
2.2
9.2
3.9
-0.1
3.4
-12.5
-17.2
-0.2
-10.7
-6.9
0.7
-8.3
-7.1
1.3
12.4
-2.3
10.4
-31.9
-16.0
14.2
0.1
-21.0
14.1
-32.8
72.8
-3.9
61.4
14.1
15.0
-46.6
-36.2
-59.6
-21.0
12.7
-12.2
-53.1
12.5
105.4
94.1
44.7
47.6
-33.3
10.7
119.0
3.0
-31.8
46.9
-8.4
101.8
-32.2
52.0
7.1
0.1
-5.0
13.9
-4.1
-4.8
-3.9
-14.3
1.5
-6.8
-4.8
-10.2
17.3
2.6
-4.2
0.2
-12.7
-4.5
-9.3
-3.4
-2.7
12.4
-8.0
-4.0
-5.3
-13.1
3.4
-5.1
-3.3
42.8
100.4
-3.5
-4.4
2.9
2.6
23.8
-29.9
-14.8
48.4
55.7
9.0
0.4
-43.9
2.6
26.0
-11.7
-43.7
69.4
132.2
-9.3
-2.7
31.1
-0.4
22.9
-32.0
9.9
2012
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8P
9P
P: Preliminary
Source: Statistics Korea
Economic Bulletin
59
Period
Leading
index
(2005=100)
Coincident
index
(2005=100)
Cycle of
coincident
index
(2005=100)
BSI (results)
BSI (prospects)
2008 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
115.8
115.3
114.7
114.4
113.9
113.0
112.3
112.8
113.7
114.4
114.5
114.9
119.9
120.4
120.7
120.8
120.8
120.4
120.3
120.6
121.1
121.1
120.1
118.1
103.1
103.0
102.9
102.6
102.1
101.4
100.9
100.7
100.7
100.3
99.1
97.1
95.2
95.6
101.1
101.7
98.1
79.1
80.8
83.1
76.8
64.6
53.7
52.4
103.0
94.8
102.1
98.1
104.7
95.3
83.2
80.8
98.3
84.9
63.7
55.0
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
115.5
116.6
117.4
119.7
121.5
123.7
124.6
125.6
126.7
128.5
130.1
131.0
116.7
116.7
117.7
119.2
120.0
122.0
123.0
123.8
124.7
125.8
126.8
127.5
95.6
95.2
95.6
96.4
96.7
97.7
98.3
98.5
98.8
99.2
99.6
99.7
58.1
62.4
89.0
93.7
100.9
96.6
98.5
96.0
110.5
107.5
103.8
104.8
52.0
66.0
76.1
86.7
103.8
100.2
98.7
99.8
117.0
116.5
109.0
105.9
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
131.5
131.5
131.5
131.2
131.6
132.1
132.9
133.2
133.5
133.0
133.3
133.5
128.2
129.4
130.2
131.1
131.8
132.4
133.3
133.6
133.6
133.5
134.0
135.0
99.8
100.3
100.5
100.7
100.8
100.9
101.1
100.9
100.5
99.9
99.9
100.2
99.2
98.7
113.1
108.9
111.9
109.4
105.0
98.6
104.1
104.3
103.5
102.1
103.1
102.3
116.2
111.2
113.4
108.9
107.3
100.7
111.1
113.1
107.1
104.2
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
134.6
134.8
134.7
134.3
134.8
135.7
136.4
136.6
136.6
136.8
137.1
137.7
136.7
137.1
137.6
137.5
138.2
139.1
140.0
140.7
140.7
141.1
141.1
141.7
101.1
100.9
100.8
100.3
100.4
100.6
100.8
100.9
100.4
100.3
99.8
99.8
99.1
92.2
107.8
98.4
98.9
99.6
96.2
86.8
96.4
95.0
93.0
90.1
101.8
98.0
113.5
99.3
104.3
104.3
101.3
98.9
96.3
101.4
96.4
94.8
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
138.7
140.1
140.6
141.2
141.3
142.8
143.7
144.0
143.8
-
141.9
143.1
143.3
143.6
143.5
144.9
145.0
144.9
145.4
-
99.6
100.0
99.6
99.4
98.9
98.9
99.1
98.6
98.6
-
88.6
92.2
101.4
97.5
95.7
90.4
82.1
84.4
89.3
88.9
-
88.3
91.0
106.1
98.4
104.7
98.3
89.7
82.7
99.5
97.0
92.5
60
November 2012
9. Balance of payments (I) See graphs 5-1, 5-2, 5-3, 10-1 & 10-2
(million US$)
Period
2010
2011
Current
balance
Goods
trade
balance
Exports
29,393.5
26,505.3
40,082.5
30,950.3
Imports
Services
trade
balance
Income
trade
balance
Current
transfers
461,444.9
552,564.3
421,362.4
521,614.0
-8,626.0
-4,377.4
1,015.9
2,455.8
-3,078.9
-2,523.4
2010
I
II
III
IV
67.8
10,734.7
10,121.7
8,469.3
4,296.2
12,307.0
11,566.2
11,913.1
100,951.1
117,120.4
116,756.4
126,617.0
96,654.9
104,813.4
105,190.2
114,703.9
-4,067.7
-200.0
-1,787.5
-2,570.8
595.6
-901.4
1,289.2
32.5
-756.3
-470.9
-946.2
-905.5
2011
I
II
III
IV
2,610.3
5,492.2
6,896.0
11,506.8
5,842.7
7,661.0
7,197.7
10,248.9
127,691.2
142,722.8
141,393.5
140,756.8
121,848.5
135,061.8
134,195.8
130,507.9
-2,538.0
-796.0
-1,198.2
154.8
387.9
-824.8
1,314.9
1,577.8
-1,082.3
-548.0
-418.5
-474.7
2012P
I
II
III
2,559.9
11,188.8
14,714.8
2,612.4
8,520.5
13,497.7
134,627.6
138,784.9
137,233.3
132,015.2
130,264.4
123,735.6
-648.4
2,312.7
654.4
1,487.6
821.4
1,041.3
-891.7
-465.8
-478.6
2010
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-599.5
-549.2
1,216.5
724.5
4,923.1
5,087.1
4,779.0
1,668.5
3,674.2
5,489.1
2,024.4
955.8
891.0
633.2
2,772.0
3,333.9
3,625.4
5,347.7
4,934.9
2,224.0
4,407.3
5,403.2
3,241.2
3,268.7
31,782.7
31,111.0
38,057.4
38,740.1
38,083.5
40,296.8
40,473.4
37,186.1
39,096.9
42,008.4
41,822.0
42,786.6
30,891.7
30,477.8
35,285.4
35,406.2
34,458.1
34,949.1
35,538.5
34,962.1
34,689.6
36,605.2
38,580.8
39,517.9
-1,596.2
-1,495.3
-976.2
-561.5
932.8
-571.3
-219.6
-630.1
-937.8
-352.6
-201.2
-2,017.0
456.5
549.9
-410.8
-1,514.5
390.0
223.1
359.9
540.2
389.1
654.2
-775.6
153.9
-350.8
-237.0
-168.5
-533.4
-25.1
87.6
-296.2
-465.6
-184.4
-215.7
-240.0
-449.8
2011
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
154.7
1,126.1
1,329.5
1,277.6
2,183.9
2,030.7
3,773.6
292.6
2,829.8
4,132.9
4,564.6
2,809.3
1,557.9
1,530.8
2,754.0
3,327.6
1,633.8
2,699.6
4,728.0
371.5
2,098.2
3,547.2
3,997.2
2,704.5
42,662.8
37,228.3
47,800.4
47,879.4
47,149.8
47,693.6
48,555.9
45,634.9
47,202.7
46,451.7
46,656.2
47,648.9
41,104.9
35,697.2
45,046.4
44,551.8
45,516.0
44,994.0
43,827.9
45,263.4
45,104.5
42,904.5
42,659.0
44,944.4
-1,640.9
-569.1
-328.0
-178.8
15.5
-632.7
-690.9
-577.9
70.6
2.8
357.2
-205.2
703.7
542.6
-858.4
-1,581.9
517.3
239.8
72.3
699.6
543.0
643.5
445.6
488.7
-466.0
-378.2
-238.1
-289.3
17.3
-276.0
-335.8
-200.6
118.0
-60.6
-243.5
-178.7
2012P 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-968.8
557.3
2,971.4
1,734.0
3,574.9
5,879.9
6,144.3
2,504.3
6,066.2
-1,624.0
1,310.1
2,926.3
1,750.8
1,751.9
5,053.8
5,340.6
2,514.0
5,643.1
41,383.8
45,863.0
47,380.8
45,820.3
46,162.8
46,801.8
46,620.5
42,895.6
47,717.2
43,007.8
44,552.9
44,454.5
44,069.5
44,446.9
41,748.0
41,279.9
40,381.6
42,074.1
-128.8
-1,219.3
699.7
549.7
1,593.0
170.1
593.3
-262.2
323.3
1,191.7
613.4
-317.5
-422.0
341.6
901.8
401.9
435.5
203.9
-407.7
-146.9
-337.1
-144.5
-75.6
-245.7
-191.5
-183.0
-104.1
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
Economic Bulletin
61
Period
Capital &
financial
account
Direct
investment
Portfolio
investment
Financial
derivative
2010
2011
-27,478.5
-31,964.6
-22,184.3
-15,694.0
42,479.8
10,312.2
828.9
-1,735.3
-21,414.4
-11,084.9
Changes in
reserve
assets
Errors and
omissions
-217.9
150.0
-26,970.6
-13,912.6
-1,915.0
4,960.1
Capital transfers
Other
& acquisition of
investment non-financial
assets
2010
I
II
III
IV
743.2
-8,818.0
-9,103.9
-10,299.8
-2,873.4
-2,898.6
-6,617.3
-9,795.0
11,725.9
7,207.0
15,659.9
7,887.0
829.9
-882.1
-241.4
1,122.5
-191.2
-6,727.8
-7,519.0
-6,976.4
-179.8
20.3
-8.2
-50.2
-8,568.2
-5,536.8
-10,377.9
-2,487.7
-811.0
-1,916.7
-1,017.8
1,830.5
2011
I
II
III
IV
-2,754.1
-6,808.0
-8,320.9
-14,081.6
-4,696.3
-4,138.1
-2,807.6
-4,052.0
-1,379.1
2,035.4
8,108.4
1,547.5
730.3
-542.9
-1,490.7
-432.0
6,251.6
-1,432.5
-18,692.6
2,788.6
-181.4
-111.9
235.5
207.8
-3,479.2
-2,618.0
6,326.1
-14,141.5
143.8
1,315.8
1,424.9
2,574.8
2012P I
II
III
-1,377.1
-7,968.0
-13,617.1
-7,203.3
-3,015.2
-5,428.9
15,156.1
5,481.3
5,778.8
1,355.0
-65.3
699.1
-4,232.7
-581.2
-10,624.9
134.3
284.3
76.7
-6,586.4
890.7
-4,118.0
-1,182.8
-3,220.8
-1,097.7
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-1,176.7
2,454.3
-534.4
1,044.1
-5,831.6
-4,030.5
-3,182.5
-615.0
-5,306.4
-4,519.4
-3,996.0
-1,784.4
-936.1
-549.9
-1,387.4
-1,102.5
-677.6
-1,118.5
-1,758.4
-1,139.5
-3,719.4
-6,893.6
-1,119.5
-1,781.9
171.9
2,771.5
8,782.5
6,093.5
1,073.0
40.5
8,698.4
1,650.2
5,311.3
8,528.1
2,243.9
-2,885.0
230.0
593.4
6.5
126.2
-799.8
-208.5
-227.3
124.6
-138.7
366.2
251.4
504.9
6,410.8
-912.6
-5,689.4
5,337.6
-12,610.7
545.3
-3,633.0
-25.7
-3,860.3
-3,814.4
-3,627.2
465.2
-70.6
-46.1
-63.1
-120.5
100.2
40.6
-0.5
12.0
-19.7
-47.1
-25.3
22.2
-6,982.7
598.0
-2,183.5
-9,290.2
7,083.3
-3,329.9
-6,261.7
-1,236.6
-2,879.6
-2,658.6
-1,719.3
1,890.2
1,776.2
-1,905.1
-682.1
-1,768.6
908.5
-1,056.6
-1,596.5
-1,053.5
1,632.2
-969.7
1,971.6
828.6
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-1,282.0
-1,996.2
524.1
394.7
-3,956.7
-3,246.0
-2,469.2
-1,690.6
-4,161.1
-4,391.9
-6,191.9
-3,497.8
-1,725.4
-1,635.1
-1,335.8
-7.38.8
-1,254.7
-2,144.6
327.1
-1,036.4
-2,098.3
-1,132.2
-2,077.1
-842.7
904.6
-3,004.0
720.3
4,575.0
-1,140.1
-1,399.5
9,258.3
-2,923.0
1,773.1
3,919.1
39.8
-2,411.4
569.3
-363.3
524.3
-206.2
165.1
-501.8
526.6
-1,868.6
-148.7
108.5
-379.9
-160.6
1,773.3
5,126.9
-648.6
-145.9
-821.7
-464.9
-6,581.0
4,638.4
-16,750.0
2,784.7
-6.2
-640.0
-120.7
-32.7
-28.0
-33.6
-49.9
-28.4
13.8
41.5
180.2
109.7
98.1
10.1
-2,683.1
-2,088.0
1,291.9
-3,055.8
-855.4
1,293.2
-6,014.0
-542.5
12,882.6
-10,181.7
-3,866.6
-93.2
1,127.3
870.1
-1,853.6
-1,672.3
1,772.8
1,215.3
-1,304.4
1,398.0
1,331.3
259.0
1,627.3
688.5
2012P 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1,305.6
-920.3
-1,762.4
157.7
-2,897.4
-5,228.3
-7,840.1
-605.0
-5,172.0
-2,013.3
-3,572.6
-1,617.4
-940.4
-1,382.0
-692.8
-1,443.6
-1,607.1
-2,378.2
7,737.0
6,115.2
1,303.9
-2,213.3
-937.1
-2,330.9
-2,529.2
580.9
2,668.7
434.2
214.1
706.7
320.5
-390.4
4.6
267.1
68.3
363.7
-2,190.4
-1,526.1
-516.2
2,667.4
-1,600.9
-1,647.7
-7,625.3
1,464.0
-4,463.6
-1.7
36.0
100.0
102.3
144.2
37.8
36.3
8.0
32.4
-2,660.2
-2,186.8
-1,739.4
221.2
1,268.8
-599.3
-1,603.8
-1,119.2
-1,395.0
-336.8
363.0
-1,209.0
-1,891.7
-677.5
-651.6
1,695.8
-1,899.3
-894.2
P: Preliminary
Source: The Bank of Korea
62
November 2012
Producer prices
(2005=100)
Period
All Items
Commodity
Service
Core
All items
Commodity
Export
Import
2010
2011
100.0
104.0
100.0
105.7
100.0
102.7
100.0
103.2
115.1
122.1
117.0
125.8
106.4
111.1
145.0
164.4
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
99.8
100.3
101.1
101.1
100.6
101.0
99.5
100.3
102.0
102.0
100.8
101.5
100.2
100.3
100.4
100.4
100.6
100.7
100.1
100.3
100.4
100.4
100.4
100.7
114.9
115.2
116.3
116.4
116.7
117.8
116.7
117.1
118.6
118.6
118.9
120.5
109.4
107.4
106.9
105.0
106.3
109.6
147.0
147.4
147.4
146.1
149.2
156.1
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
102.2
102.9
103.3
103.4
103.6
103.8
104.3
105.0
104.9
104.7
104.8
105.2
103.4
104.4
104.9
104.6
104.7
105.0
105.9
107.1
107.1
106.6
106.8
107.3
101.2
101.7
102.1
102.4
102.6
102.8
103.1
103.3
103.1
103.2
103.3
103.5
101.4
102.1
102.4
102.6
103.0
103.4
103.7
103.8
103.7
103.6
103.9
104.3
119.7
120.5
122.0
122.4
122.3
121.9
122.4
122.8
122.9
122.9
122.6
122.9
122.7
123.9
125.8
126.2
126.0
125.5
126.0
126.7
126.9
126.9
126.5
127.0
108.6
110.6
113.5
111.8
110.2
109.4
108.0
109.4
113.1
114.7
112.0
112.4
156.1
160.9
166.5
167.6
163.9
163.2
161.4
162.1
168.1
169.5
166.8
167.2
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
105.7
106.1
106.0
106.0
106.2
106.1
105.9
106.3
107.0
106.9
107.9
108.5
109.2
108.9
109.2
108.8
107.9
108.8
110.4
109.8
103.9
104.2
103.5
103.7
103.9
104.0
104.2
104.4
104.4
104.6
123.8
124.7
125.4
125.3
124.6
122.9
122.3
123.2
124.1
123.2
122.8
129.0
129.9
129.7
128.8
126.5
125.7
126.9
128.1
126.8
113.6
112.8
113.4
114.1
113.7
111.8
110.4
110.6
110.9
108.7
168.5
169.3
172.3
170.5
167.2
161.2
159.8
162.6
164.1
158.6
2010
2011
3.0
4.0
4.6
5.7
1.9
2.7
104.6
104.7
104.3
104.4
104.6
104.9
104.9
105.1
105.2
105.2
Y-o-Y change (%)
1.8
3.2
3.8
6.1
4.6
7.5
-2.6
4.4
5.3
13.4
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
2.5
2.7
3.4
3.7
3.0
3.0
3.8
4.1
5.8
6.4
4.9
4.9
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.7
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.5
1.7
3.4
3.1
4.0
5.0
4.9
5.3
4.1
3.7
5.0
6.1
5.7
6.5
0.3
-1.7
-0.4
1.0
1.9
4.3
7.5
5.7
7.8
8.1
8.2
12.7
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
3.4
3.9
4.1
3.8
3.9
4.2
4.5
4.7
3.8
3.6
4.2
4.2
5.2
5.9
6.1
5.0
5.2
5.8
6.4
6.8
5.0
4.5
6.0
5.7
2.0
2.3
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.9
2.9
3.0
2.7
2.8
2.7
2.8
2.1
2.6
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.5
3.6
3.5
3.3
3.2
3.5
3.6
6.2
6.6
7.3
6.8
6.2
6.2
6.5
6.6
5.7
5.6
5.1
4.3
7.7
8.2
9.1
8.4
7.6
7.6
8.0
8.2
7.0
7.0
6.4
5.4
4.9
5.6
9.1
7.7
3.3
-0.4
-1.3
1.8
5.8
9.2
5.4
2.5
14.1
16.9
19.6
19.0
13.2
10.5
9.8
10.0
14.0
16.0
11.8
7.1
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
3.4
3.1
2.6
2.5
2.5
2.2
1.5
1.2
2.0
2.1
4.4
3.9
4.1
4.1
4.3
3.6
1.9
1.6
3.1
3.0
2.7
2.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.4
3.2
2.5
1.9
1.8
1.6
1.5
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
3.4
3.5
2.8
2.4
1.9
0.8
-0.1
0.3
1.0
0.2
4.2
4.1
3.3
2.8
2.2
0.8
-0.2
0.2
0.9
-0.1
4.6
2.1
-0.0
2.0
3.2
2.2
2.2
1.1
-1.9
-5.2
7.9
5.2
3.5
1.7
2.1
-1.2
-1.0
0.3
-2.4
-6.4
Economic Bulletin
63
Unemployment (%)
Regular
Temporary
Daily
24,748
25,099
23,829
24,244
4,028
4,091
18,214
18,595
3.7
3.4
16,971
17,397
10,086
10,661
5,068
4,990
1,817
1,746
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
25,232
24,863
24,911
25,004
24,847
24,538
24,301
24,005
24,054
24,172
24,109
23,684
4,040
4,058
4,062
4,098
4,139
4,156
18,489
18,175
18,216
18,264
18,340
18,272
3.7
3.3
3.4
3.3
3.0
3.5
17,228
17,048
17,103
17,178
17,300
17,154
10,107
10,151
10,217
10,280
10,334
10,347
5,215
5,122
5,106
5,089
5,069
4,999
1,905
1,775
1,780
1,809
1,898
1,808
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
24,114
24,431
24,918
25,240
25,480
25,592
25,473
25,257
25,076
25,409
25,318
24,880
23,196
23,336
23,846
24,303
24,661
24,752
24,636
24,495
24,318
24,673
24,589
24,125
4,148
4,149
4,122
4,108
4,137
4,135
4,079
4,031
4,014
4,044
4,054
4,071
18,007
18,019
18,244
18,536
18,731
18,812
18,844
18,739
18,595
18,856
18,921
18,833
3.8
4.5
4.3
3.7
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.0
3.0
2.9
2.9
3.0
16,832
16,856
17,065
17,357
17,626
17,720
17,667
17,510
17,378
17,608
17,650
17,496
10,305
10,390
10,543
10,618
10,708
10,716
10,718
10,710
10,764
10,796
10,838
10,824
4,848
4,781
4,782
4,928
5,064
5,132
5,137
5,031
5,047
5,094
5,047
4,986
1,680
1,684
1,740
1,812
1,854
1,872
1,811
1,769
1,567
1,718
1,765
1,686
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
24,585
24,825
25,210
25,653
25,939
25,939
25,901
25,623
25,755
23,732
23,783
24,265
24,758
25,133
25,117
25,106
24,859
25,003
4,034
4,060
4,018
4,027
4,071
4,084
4,114
4,111
4,153
18,631
3.5
18,599
4.2
18,870
3.7
19,103
3.5
19,292
3.1
19,248
3.2
19,265
3.1
19,040
3.0
19,125
2.9
Y-o-Y change (%)
17,184
17,225
17,421
17,679
17,935
17,932
17,911
17,734
17,862
10,769
10,807
10,899
10,957
11,064
11,157
11,153
11,203
11,291
4,868
4,877
4,997
5,095
5,153
5,094
5,081
4,935
4,961
1,547
1,542
1,525
1,627
1,718
1,681
1,676
1,595
1,610
2010
2011
1.5
1.4
1.4
1.7
5.0
1.6
1.2
2.1
3.1
2.5
7.4
5.7
-0.7
-1.5
-7.4
-3.9
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
1.9
1.3
1.1
1.4
0.9
2.0
2.0
1.6
1.0
1.3
1.3
2.0
6.2
7.9
6.6
6.2
7.4
7.3
1.5
0.7
0.3
0.7
0.4
0.9
3.9
3.5
2.5
2.9
3.0
3.6
7.7
7.2
6.4
6.8
7.6
7.4
-0.8
0.1
-0.9
-1.6
-3.6
-1.5
-2.4
-6.1
-7.8
-4.4
-1.7
-2.2
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
0.1
1.6
2.2
1.5
1.5
1.7
1.0
1.7
0.7
1.6
1.9
1.4
1.4
2.1
2.0
1.6
1.5
1.9
1.4
2.0
1.1
2.1
2.0
1.9
5.7
6.7
5.1
2.9
2.5
2.9
1.0
-0.7
-1.2
-1.3
-2.1
-2.1
1.2
1.4
1.1
1.4
1.3
2.1
1.9
3.1
2.1
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.3
3.5
2.7
2.1
2.2
3.1
2.5
2.7
1.6
2.5
2.0
2.0
6.1
6.2
6.2
6.1
6.3
6.2
6.0
5.5
5.4
5.0
4.9
4.6
-0.3
-1.2
-3.9
-4.3
-3.0
-0.6
-1.5
-1.8
-1.2
0.1
-0.4
-0.3
-2.6
1.6
1.5
-1.3
-5.1
-3.4
-4.9
-0.3
-11.9
-5.0
-7.0
-6.7
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2.0
1.6
1.2
1.6
1.8
1.4
1.7
1.4
2.7
2.3
1.9
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.5
1.9
1.5
2.8
-2.8
-2.1
-2.5
-2.0
-1.6
-1.2
0.8
2.0
3.5
3.5
3.2
3.4
3.1
3.0
2.3
2.2
1.6
2.8
2.1
2.2
2.1
1.9
1.8
1.2
1.4
1.3
2.8
4.5
4.0
3.4
3.2
3.3
4.1
4.1
4.6
4.9
0.4
2.0
4.5
3.4
1.8
-0.7
-1.1
-1.9
-1.7
-7.9
-8.5
-12.3
-10.2
-7.4
-10.2
-7.5
-9.8
2.7
64
November 2012
Stock
Period
Call rate
(1 day)
CD
(91 days)
Corporate bonds
(3 years, AA-)
Treasury bonds
(3 years)
Treasury bonds
(5 years)
KOSPI
(end-period)
2008 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.2
5.2
4.9
4.0
3.3
5.8
5.3
5.3
5.4
5.4
5.4
5.5
5.8
5.8
6.0
5.6
4.7
6.6
6.3
6.1
5.9
6.2
6.7
7.0
7.1
7.5
8.0
8.6
8.4
5.4
5.1
5.2
5.0
5.3
5.7
6.0
5.8
5.8
5.1
5.0
4.0
5.5
5.1
5.2
5.0
5.4
5.8
6.0
5.8
5.8
5.2
5.2
4.3
1,624.68
1,711.62
1,703.99
1,825.47
1,852.02
1,674.92
1,594.67
1,474.24
1,448.06
1,113.06
1,076.07
1,124.47
2009 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.4
2.1
1.8
1.8
1.9
1.9
1.9
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
3.2
2.7
2.5
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.8
2.8
2.8
7.3
7.1
6.1
5.7
5.2
5.2
5.5
5.7
5.6
5.6
5.4
5.4
3.4
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.8
4.1
4.1
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
4.2
4.0
4.6
4.5
4.4
4.5
4.7
4.6
4.9
4.9
4.9
4.8
4.8
1,162.11
1,063.03
1,206.26
1,369.40
1,395.89
1,390.07
1,577.29
1,591.85
1,673.14
1,580.69
1,555.60
1,682.77
2010 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.2
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.9
2.9
2.8
2.5
2.5
2.5
2.6
2.6
2.7
2.7
2.7
2.8
5.4
5.3
5.0
4.7
4.5
4.7
4.8
4.7
4.4
4.1
4.2
4.2
4.3
4.2
3.9
3.8
3.7
3.8
3.9
3.7
3.5
3.2
3.4
3.3
4.8
4.8
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.3
3.9
3.7
4.0
4.0
1,602.43
1,594.58
1,692.85
1,741.56
1,641.25
1,698.29
1,759.33
1,742.75
1,872.81
1,882.95
1,904.63
2,051.00
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.0
3.2
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.2
3.3
3.3
2.9
3.1
3.4
3.4
3.5
3.5
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
3.6
4.5
4.7
4.5
4.5
4.4
4.4
4.5
4.2
4.2
4.3
4.2
4.2
3.7
3.9
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
3.8
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.4
3.4
4.3
4.4
4.1
4.1
4.0
3.9
4.0
3.7
3.6
3.6
3.5
3.5
2,069.73
1,939.30
2,106.70
2,192.36
2,142.47
2,100.69
2,133.21
1,880.11
1,769.65
1,909.03
1,847.51
1,825.74
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.3
3.1
3.0
3.0
2.8
3.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.5
3.3
3.2
3.1
2.9
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.3
4.0
3.9
3.0
3.4
3.3
3.3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.5
3.4
3.3
3.1
2.8
2.8
2.8
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.6
3.5
3.4
3.6
2.9
2.9
2.9
1,955.79
2,030.25
2,014.04
1,981.99
1,843.47
1,854.01
1,881.99
1,905.12
1,996.21
1,912.06
Economic Bulletin
65
Period
(billion won)
Reserve money
M1
M2
Lf
2010
2011
67,585.1
75,232.0
399,412.3
425,675.1
1,639,675.1
1,708,984.5
2,096,534.8
2,974,440.3
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
66,958.2
67,318.7
70,266.5
69,905.0
69,476.8
71,472.9
403,785.1
400,882.5
403,413.5
405,000.1
414,912.8
425,673.9
1,653,057.5
1,653,907.2
1,659,400.1
1,669,376.6
1,679,909.9
1,682,871.9
2,111,672.2
2,113.052.7
2,123.558.2
2,134,385.4
2,145,901.5
2,154,538.9
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
73,540.8
75,432.1
73,012.7
73,206.1
73,828.5
74,705.5
74,069.7
75,642.3
77,942.2
76,944.6
76,617.3
77,842.5
429,368.1
432,482.8
430,936.6
425,420.5
423,994.7
421,885.3
418,973.1
422,649.3
425,196.4
421,480.1
423,111.9
432,602.2
1,676,448.8
1,674,390.5
1,677,475.9
1,684,792.3
1,690,543.0
1,697,204.2
1,705,451.5
1,719,437.8
1,729,531.1
1,742,645.4
1,753,296.4
1,756,597.4
2,152,814.0
2,148,254.1
2,152,736.5
2,163,485.7
2,175,557.3
2,189,729.2
2,208,624.3
2,230,191.9
2,243,675.6
2,263,627.7
2,279,234.1
2,288,816.9
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
81,635.4
81,655.3
79,068.0
80,641.8
80,547.7
81,804.0
81,557.7
82,369.1
82,958.7
439,352.9
437,193.9
440,075.4
437,445.3
438,795.3
441,611.0
441,760.6
439,573.2
440,034.3
Y-o-Y change (%)
1,757,058.7
1,762,988.4
1,773,172.9
1,777,114.7
1,784,220.5
1,796,981.5
1,807,289.2
1,817,134.9
1,819,290.1
2,292,213.5
2,302,065.8
2,341,626.9
2,349,723.2
2,357,701.0
2,377,045.8
2,393,737.7
2,405,239.9
2,414,038.8
2010
2011
9.5
11.3
11.8
6.6
8.7
4.2
8.2
9.4
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
12.7
11.1
17.8
9.8
13.6
14.1
11.1
11.0
10.2
9.0
11.8
12.9
9.3
8.5
8.1
7.6
7.4
7.2
8.8
8.0
7.7
7.2
7.3
6.9
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13.0
13.3
11.2
13.9
8.8
12.8
10.6
12.4
10.9
10.1
10.3
8.9
12.6
11.5
11.6
9.6
7.4
5.4
3.8
5.4
5.1
4.1
2.0
1.6
6.5
5.0
4.3
3.9
3.7
3.0
3.2
4.0
4.2
4.4
4.4
4.4
6.6
5.2
4.7
4.5
4.4
4.0
4.6
5.5
5.7
6.1
6.2
6.2
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11.0
8.3
8.3
10.2
9.1
9.5
10.1
8.9
6.4
2.3
1.1
2.1
2.8
3.5
4.7
5.4
4.0
3.5
4.8
5.3
5.7
5.5
5.5
5.9
6.0
5.7
5.2
6.5
7.2
8.8
8.6
8.4
8.5
8.4
7.8
7.6
66
November 2012
/US$
/100
/Euro
Period
End-period
Average
End-period
Average
End-period
Average
2010
2011
1,138.9
1,153.3
1,156.3
1,108.1
1,397.1
1,485.2
1,320.6
1,391.3
1,513.6
1,494.1
1,532.9
1,541.4
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
1,187.2
1,189.1
1,142.0
1,126.6
1,157.3
1,138.9
1,207.3
1,179.9
1,167.0
1,123.4
1,126.2
1,147.6
1,370.0
1,406.0
1,363.3
1,390.7
1,373.4
1,397.1
1,377.7
1,380.2
1,384.2
1,371.1
1,366.6
1,376.7
1,552.4
1,505.9
1,556.0
1,569.3
1,518.3
1,513.6
1,540.3
1,523.3
1,518.7
1,559.6
1,541.3
1,515.4
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1,114.3
1,127.9
1,107.2
1,072.3
1,080.6
1,078.1
1,052.6
1,071.7
1,179.5
1,104.5
1,150.3
1,153.3
1,120.1
1,118.1
1,122.5
1,086.8
1,083.5
1,081.3
1,059.5
1,073.2
1,118.6
1,155.5
1,132.3
1,147.5
1,356.6
1,380.7
1,331.9
1,313.8
1,335.6
1,335.7
1,353.2
1,396.8
1,536.6
1,458.0
1,475.7
1,485.2
1,356.3
1,351.0
1,376.2
1,304.8
1,333.6
1,342.8
1,333.4
1,391.4
1,456.5
1,508.2
1,460.0
1,473.4
1,514.0
1,549.5
1,563.5
1,591.2
1,549.7
1,560.5
1,507.9
1,547.3
1,601.4
1,562.7
1,532.9
1,494.1
1,495.4
1,524.6
1,572.6
1,569.4
1,551.3
1,555.4
1,515.4
1,538.7
1,542.4
1,584.0
1,536.6
1,511.0
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1,125.0
1,126.5
1,137.8
1,134.2
1,177.8
1,153.8
1,136.2
1,134.6
1,118.6
1,094.1
1,145.9
1,123.4
1,125.9
1,135.6
1,154.3
1,165.5
1,143.4
1,131.7
1,124.8
1,106.3
1,473.1
1,399.2
1,380.7
1,412.0
1,489.1
1,453.8
1,453.6
1,444.0
1,441.1
1,374.5
1,488.7
1,433.7
1,364.1
1,393.9
1,447.1
1,469.1
1,446.4
1,438.4
1,438.6
1,400.9
1,478.2
1,516.3
1,513.4
1,501.7
1,456.6
1,435.0
1,393.1
1,419.6
1,444.3
1,418.3
1,477.2
1,486.0
1,487.1
1,495.6
1,478.6
1,462.3
1,407.0
1,402.8
1,446.0
1,436.0
2010
2011
-2.5
1.3
-9.4
-4.2
-3.1
5.4
-9.6
-1.3
-13.6
0.6
2010 7
8
9
10
11
12
-4.3
-4.5
-3.9
-6.2
-0.9
-2.5
-4.5
-4.7
-4.3
-4.4
-3.3
-1.6
5.4
5.5
3.4
5.9
1.9
10.6
3.0
5.8
3.9
5.4
4.8
5.8
-11.1
-15.4
-10.3
-11.9
-13.3
-9.6
-13.4
-13.8
-14.4
-10.5
-11.2
-11.1
2011 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
-3.6
-2.6
-2.1
-3.9
-10.0
-10.9
-11.3
-9.9
3.3
-2.0
-0.6
1.3
-1.6
-3.4
-1.3
-2.7
-6.8
-10.8
-12.2
-9.0
-4.1
2.8
0.5
0.0
5.4
6.3
9.4
10.7
1.3
-2.1
-1.2
-0.7
12.7
4.8
7.4
6.3
8.7
5.4
9.6
9.2
5.4
0.7
-3.2
0.8
5.2
10.0
6.8
7.0
-6.2
-1.3
3.0
7.6
5.1
5.8
-2.9
2.7
2.9
-0.4
1.0
-1.3
-8.1
-3.8
1.8
4.5
6.2
5.0
-1.6
1.0
1.6
1.6
-0.3
-0.3
2012 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1.0
-0.1
2.8
5.8
9.0
7.0
7.9
5.9
-5.2
-0.9
2.3
0.5
0.3
4.5
6.5
7.8
7.9
5.5
0.6
-4.2
8.6
1.3
3.7
7.5
11.5
8.8
7.4
3.4
-6.2
-5.7
9.8
6.1
-0.9
6.8
8.5
9.4
8.5
3.4
-1.2
-7.1
-2.4
-2.1
-3.2
-5.6
-6.0
-8.0
-7.6
-8.3
-9.8
-9.2
-1.2
-2.5
-5.4
-4.7
-4.7
-6.0
-7.2
-8.8
-6.3
-9.3
Economic Bulletin
67
Editor-in-Chief
Park Chun-Sup (MOSF)
Editorial Board
Lauren Kang (MOSF)
Lee Seong-Pyo (KDI)
Lee In-Sook (KDI)
Coordinators
Kim Dae-Hyun (MOSF)
Lee Ji-Youn (KDI)
Editors
Cho Eun-Hyung (MOSF)
David Friedman (MOSF)
Park Jin (KDI)