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Analyst: Tim Cper, Yel SanEditr: David Sndn, Liz MartinsSb-Editrs: Neil JnsnPrdctin: Angela Evans/Lisa Crc/Melissa Ck Pblisers: Ricard Lndesbrg/Jnatan FerzeCpy Deadline: Nvember 21 2008

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SPECIAL REPoRT

Obama: The World Awaits

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Business Monitor International Ltd

oBAMA: ThE woRLD AwAITS

Cntents

Intrdctin .............................................................................................................5

Te wrld Aaits ...................................................................................................................5

wy obama wn ....................................................................................................7Ecnmic Analysis: Tg Cices Fr obama .......................................................8

CHART: PEOPLE UNEMPLOYED FOR 15 WEEKS OR MORE (‘000S) ....................................................................8CHART: WAGES & SALARIES AS % OF GDP ......................................................................................................8CHART: NUMBER EMPLOYED IN MANUFACTURING (‘000S) .............................................................................9CHART: DEBT SERVICE AS PROPORTION OF DISPOSABLE PERSONAL INCOME (%) ..........................................9CHART: SAVINGS RATE, PERSONAL INCOME AND RETAIL SALES.....................................................................10CHART: US–TRADE BALANCE IN REAL TERMS (US$ BN) ...................................................................................11

Energy Plicy: A Ne Era Aead? .........................................................................12Implicatins of obama’s healt Plan ..................................................................14

CHART: HEALTHCARE IN THE US ....................................................................................................................14CHART: US – FEDERAL SPENDING IN FISCAL YEAR 2007 ................................................................................14CHART: PERCENT OF GDP SPENT ON HEALTHCARE IN THE FIFTEEN LEADING PHARMACEUTICALMARKETS DURING 2006

............................................................................................................15

obama Presidency: Geplitical Implicatins ......................................................16

Idealism Vs Breacracy And Te ‘Realities of Per’ ......................................................17Dmestic Vs Glbal Adiences ............................................................................................17

CHART: DEFENSE BUDGET FORECASTS – CONSTANT FY2009 US$ (BN) ........................................................17CHART: SELECTED COUNTRIES, DEFENCE BUDGETS, US$BN (2007) ..............................................................18

Te Strategic Cmprmise ..................................................................................................18 Asia: Cina, Nrt Krea And Tariffs ..................................................................................19

CHART: SELECTED COUNTRIES, TOTAL ACTIVE TROOPS (2007) ......................................................................19

Erpe And A ‘Resrgent’ Rssia .........................................................................................20Latin America: A Ne Engagement? ..................................................................................20 Africa: A Ne Special Relatinsip? ...................................................................................21

Middle East – S Mc T Prve ............................................................................22

CHART: BMI POLITICAL RISK RATINGS (IRAQ AND SELECTED ME STATES) ........................................................22CHART: IRAQ – CIVILIAN FATALITIES AND MULTIPLE FATALITY BOMBINGS PER MONTH ..................................22

Cagt Beteen Iraq And A hard Place .............................................................................22

CHART: IRAQ – SUNNI-SHI’A POPULATION, AS % OF TOTAL ..........................................................................23CHART: IRAQ – US TROOPS WOUNDED AND KILLED PER MONTH .................................................................23CHART: IRAN – RECENT SANCTIONS AGAINST IRAN’S NUCLEAR PROGRAMME..............................................24

Iran: Green Ligt Fr Nclear Prgramme? ......................................................................24Stability T Prevail over Demcracy Elseere ..................................................................25

CHART: IRAN – SHAHAB 3 MISSILE MAXIMUM RANGE (KM) ............................................................................25CHART: IRAN–SHAHAB 3 MISSILE MAXIMUM RANGE (KM) ..............................................................................25CHART: TIMELINE – SYRIA-ISRAELI RELATIONS ................................................................................................26

A wrd on Te Glf ............................................................................................................27Final Tgts ......................................................................................................................27

CHART: POLL – PERCENTAGE OF RESPONDENTS SATISFIED WITH THEIR NATIONAL GOVERNMENT ...............27CHART: POLL - WAS THE ELECTION OF HAMAS A GOOD THING FOR THE PALESTINIAN PEOPLE? ................27

Afganistan: Ptential Nigtmare ........................................................................28