6.8% of USA mortgages outstanding also accounted for 43% of the foreclosures begun duringthat quarter.
By October 2007, approximately 16% of subprime adjustable rate mortgages
(ARM) were either 90-days delinquent or the lender had begunforeclosureproceedings, roughlytriple the rate of 2005.
By January 2008, the delinquency rate had risen to 21%.
and by May2008 it was 25%.
The value of all outstanding residential mortgages, owed by USA households to purchaseresidences housing at most four families, was US$9.9 trillion as of year-end 2006, and US$10.6trillion as of midyear 2008.
During 2007, lenders had begun foreclosure proceedings on nearly1.3 million properties, a 79% increase over 2006.
As of August 2008, 9.2% of all mortgagesoutstanding were either delinquent or in foreclosure.
936,439 USA residences completedforeclosure between August 2007 and October 2008.
Understanding financial leverage.Credit risk arises because a borrower has the option of defaulting on the loan he owes.Traditionally, lenders (who were primarilythrifts) bore the credit risk on the mortgages theyissued. Over the past 60 years, a variety of financial innovations have gradually made it possiblefor lenders to sell the right to receive the payments on the mortgages they issue, through a process calledsecuritization.The resulting securities are called mortgage backed securities
(MBS) andcollateralized debt obligations (CDO). Most American mortgages are now held by
mortgage pools, the generic term for MBS and CDOs. Of the $10.6 trillion of USA residentialmortgages outstanding as of midyear 2008, $6.6 trillion were held by mortgage pools, and $3.4trillion by traditional depository institutions.
This "originate to distribute" model means that investors holding MBS and CDOs also bear several types of risks, and this has a variety of consequences. There are four primary types of risk:
1.Credit risk - the risk that the homeowner or borrower will be unable or unwilling to pay back the loan;
2.
Asset price risk - the risk that assets (MBS in this case) will depreciate in value, resultingin financial losses,markdownsand possiblymargin calls;
3.
4.
Counterpartyrisk - the risk that a party to a contract will be unable or unwilling to upholdtheir obligations.
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