To: Friends of Peter FranchotFrom: Jill Normington/ Normington, Petts & AssociatesRe: Strength of FranchotDate: December 10, 2012
The following is a summary of findings from two telephone surveys, each conducted among registered Democrats in Maryland. Interviews were conducted May 14-16 and December 3-5, 2012. The sampling error for the surveys are ±4.0 and ±4.4 percentage points, respectively.
Comptroller Peter Franchot is well known and well-liked statewide. He and Lieutenant Governor AnthonyBrown have equivalent name identification and favorable ratings. Attorney General Doug Gansler and CountyExecutive Ken Ulman are less well-known. Franchot shows particular strength in the Baltimore media market,where he is the best known and most well-liked of any of the candidates. None of these numbers have changed significantly since May, lending little credence to the theory thatFranchot’s Democratic base might have eroded due to his prominent role in the slots referendum and recent policy differences with fellow party leaders.Most Democrats (53%) remain undecided 17 months from primary day, which is no surprise. A trial heatmatchup with all four potential candidates does show that voters are beginning to try to make sense of the potential field. Brown leads Franchot by single digits with Gansler and Ulman about 15 points behind.
Favorable Name ID